| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Slippersd 5y 14 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 25 (5) | 32 (1) | 32 (1) | 16 (6) | 55 (4) | 66 (4) | 37 (3) | 71 (6) | - | 32 | 28 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ The Old Ole Taled 2y 8 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 23 (5) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 30 (2) | 19 (6) | 24 (3) | 18 (6) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 49 | 48 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 34 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ninja Berkleyd 1y 24 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 44 (4) | 56 (2) | 29 (6) | 68 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 37 | - | - | 50 | 35 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Deacon Hopeb 3y 17 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 19 (6) | 32 (1) | 24 (6) | 30 (2) | 26 (2) | 10 (6) | 20 (6) | 18 (6) | 21 (5) | 32 (1) | 42 | 32 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 25 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cactus Closedownb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 25 (4) | 33 (1) | 23 (4) | 29 (2) | 24 (4) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 30 (2) | 26 | 20 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Twoshookmend 3y 26 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 40 (5) | 48 (4) | 46 (4) | 64 (1) | 43 (5) | 53 (4) | 55 (2) | 51 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 (3) | 31 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommys Slippers | 16.63 | 16.89 | 16.90 | 49 | +0.27 | Fader | |
| 2 | The Old Ole Tale | 16.66 | 16.94 | 16.84 | 49 | +0.18 | Model pick, high suitability | |
| 3 | Ninja Berkley | No recorded form over 268m — all recent races have been at 462m. Times not comparable. | — | No 268m form | ||||
| 4 | Deacon Hope | 16.65 | 17.11 | 17.30 | 39 | +0.65 | Off form | |
| 5 | Cactus Closedown | 16.56 | 16.86 | 16.56 | 56 | 0.00 | Won LTO, fastest | |
| 6 | Twoshookmen | 16.73 | 16.76 | 16.78 | 53 | +0.05 | Best trap, Closer | |
The last of the sprints on tonight's card, back at D3 grade over Kinsley's downhill 268 metres. Traps 1 and 6 have shared the honours in this D3 sample at around 19%, with the two middle boxes in 3 and 4 lagging behind at under 14%. The Old Ole Tale draws the strongest agreement across the site's scoring systems of anyone in this field, backed up by some of the best course, track and distance suitability figures on the whole card. Ninja Berkley shows the biggest raw rating on paper, but that comes entirely from form at the longer 462-metre trip and she has no recorded time at all over this sprint distance, so it needs treating carefully. Cactus Closedown, fastest on the clock and a winner last time out, rounds out the leading contenders.
The dog the site's scoring systems agree on most strongly in this field, and his suitability figures for this exact trap, track and distance are among the best on the whole card — a real specialist at these conditions. Runner-up last time out and his recent form has been remarkably tight — 32, 32, 30, 30, 19, 24 — the most consistent profile in this race. Trainer strike rate is the best in the field at 22%. Trap 2 is a fair, roughly average draw, but the strength of everything else stacks up well.
Won last time out, albeit at a grade below tonight's company, and posts the fastest recorded time in this field along with the best most-recent time too. Recent form has been settled in the low-to-mid twenties — 33, 23, 29, 24, 21, 25 — a tidy, if unspectacular, level. Trap 5 is a fair draw here. The fastest dog in the race and stepping up only slightly in grade — the clearest threat to the selection.
Fast away and tends to lead before fading, drawn in one of the two strongest boxes in this D3 sample. Fourth last time out and form has been steady in the mid-twenties to low-thirties, with an old career-high of 55 showing there's more in the tank on his day. Some trial conditioning mixed into his recent preparation. A place claim on the draw alone, but the front two look stronger on the numbers.
Carries the biggest raw rating in this field, but every bit of it comes from form at the longer 462-metre trip — she has no recorded time at all over this sprint distance, so there's a genuine unknown over how her level translates down. Runner-up last time out at the longer trip. She's also drawn in one of the weaker boxes in this D3 sample. Interesting on class but a real unknown over the shorter trip.
Last of six last time out and the slowest recorded time in this field. Drawn in one of the two weakest boxes in this D3 sample too, a difficult combination. Recent figures have been modest — 19, 32, 24, 30, 26, 10 — without a standout performance. Hard to make a case against this kind of opposition tonight.
Comes from off the pace and does so reliably, drawn in the other strong box in this D3 sample. Fifth last time out at a tougher grade over the longer trip. Recent figures have been mixed — 40, 48, 46, 64, 43, 53 — with a solid peak a few runs back. The trap helps, but he's dropping in from a harder conditions set and the level needs confirming at this trip.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 6 have shared the top spot in this D3 sample at just under 19-20%, while the two middle boxes in traps 3 and 4 have lagged at under 14%. Composite Rank 1 wins 19.2%, roughly matching Speed Rank 1 at 18.2%.
T1:19.2% T2:16.5% T3:13.7% T4:14.0% T5:17.9% T6:19.4%
1,938 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommys Slippers | 0.630 | — | 0.599 |
| 2 | The Old Ole Tale | 0.633 | — | — |
| 3 | Ninja Berkley | — | 0.634 | — |
| 4 | Deacon Hope | 0.638 | 0.647 | — |
| 5 | Cactus Closedown | 0.630 | — | — |
| 6 | Twoshookmen | 0.625 | 0.631 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.