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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fast Fit Mollieb 4y 23 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 40 (5) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 63 (1) | 27 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (5) | 36 (4) | 48 (1) | - | 30 | 29 | 29 | 46 | 51 | 38 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Baybush Rushd 3y 6 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 47 (4) | 54 (3) | 42 (6) | 63 (1) | 33 (6) | 45 (4) | 59 (2) | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 26 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 48 | 44 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lauragh Ebonyd 2y 14 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 56 | 57 (2) | 58 (1) | 43 (4) | 22 (3) | 39 (3) | 45 (3) | 34 (4) | 40 (6) | 39 (3) | 64 (1) | 2 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 36 | 1 | 11/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hopeythedancerb 2y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 61 | 36 (6) | 63 (1) | 45 (3) | 62 (1) | 48 (3) | 45 (3) | 52 (2) | 54 (3) | 22 (4) | 50 (3) | 28 | 29 | 43 | 39 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Woodenstown Soulb 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 42 | 43 (4) | 49 (3) | 49 (4) | 49 (4) | 53 (3) | 35 (4) | 43 (3) | 54 (2) | 44 (4) | 53 (2) | 18 | 22 | 24 | 11 | 47 | 41 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Revilo Eagleb 4y 14 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 64 (1) | 45 (4) | 54 (4) | 37 (5) | 48 (2) | 45 (3) | 23 (5) | 39 (5) | 43 (5) | 30 (3) | 19 | 22 | 30 | 15 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Fit Mollie | 29.01 | 29.25 | 29.32 | 47 | +0.31 | All-Rounder | |
| 2 | Baybush Rush | 28.99 | 29.25 | 29.08 | 52 | +0.09 | Closer, danger | |
| 3 | Lauragh Ebony | 29.06 | 29.34 | 29.06 | 48 | 0.00 | Won LTO at lower grade | |
| 4 | Hopeythedancer | 29.00 | 29.13 | 29.05 | 54 | +0.05 | Won LTO, model pick | |
| 5 | Woodenstown Soul | 28.98 | 29.22 | 29.22 | 50 | +0.24 | Closer | |
| 6 | Revilo Eagle | 29.00 | 29.23 | 29.46 | 45 | +0.46 | Off recent form |
This A7 race over Kinsley's 462 metres sits right in the grade band where the blended model tends to struggle most at this track — the top-rated dog historically wins barely more than one time in six here, well below the track's better grades. Trap 3 has been the strongest box in this sample at just over 20%, trap 1 the weakest at under 12%. None of tonight's runners draw that trap, so the race is likely to be shaped more by pace and recent level than by the draw. Hopeythedancer is the exception to the model's usual struggles at this grade — she's the clear standout on every scoring system the site runs, having won last time out with the highest rating and speed figure in this field. Baybush Rush, coming from off the pace, is the clearest alternative if the leaders go too hard too soon.
Won last time out and stands out clearly on every scoring system the site runs — the highest blended rating in the field and by far the strongest agreement across the different models, with the majority independently landing on her. Also carries the fastest recorded speed rating and the best average and most recent times in this field. Recent form reads 63, 45, 62, 48, 45, 52 — a settled, competitive level with a peak that's clearly above this opposition. She's a fader by profile, quick out but prone to weakening late, which is a mild concern on this longer trip, but her overall edge is wide enough to make that secondary.
Comes from off the pace and does so reliably, third last time out with tidy recent figures — 54, 42, 63, 33, 45, 59. Second-fastest recorded time in this field and rates second on the blended model too. Trap 2 is a solid, above-average draw here. If the selection doesn't have things her own way up front, this is the type built to pick up the pieces late.
Versatile and consistent by pace profile, and runner-up last time out with a decent recent level — 51, 52, 63, 27, 23, 32, trending the right way. But trap 1 has been the weakest box in this A7 sample by a distance, and she's not the fastest or highest-rated in this field. Some claims but the draw is against her.
Won last time out but that was at a grade below tonight's, so there's a step up to prove. Fast away and tends to lead before fading, which could see her prominent early even if she doesn't last. Form has been mixed — 58, 43, 22, 39, 45, 34. Trap 3 has been the strongest box in this sample, a genuine plus in her favour. Capable of a bold showing but the grade rise is the question.
Comes from off the pace and posts the quickest single time in this field, but her overall level is a shade below the front two and form has been remarkably consistent without a standout — 43, 49, 49, 49, 53, 35. Fourth last time out. Trap 5 is a below-average draw in this sample. A place claim rather than a winning one.
Versatile in how he races but arrives out of sorts — fourth last time out and the slowest recent time in this field. Recent figures have bounced between the mid-twenties and mid-fifties without settling. Trainer strike rate is a positive at 22%. Trap 6 is a fair, middling draw. Needs a level up from recent evidence to trouble the front two.
Key insight: A7 sits in the grade band where Kinsley's composite has historically struggled most, with the top-rated dog winning only 17.3% — one of the weaker readings on the whole card. Trap 3 has been the strongest box at 20.2%, trap 1 the weakest at 11.7%, though none of tonight's runners occupy trap 1 or 3.
T1:11.7% T2:18.8% T3:20.2% T4:16.3% T5:15.4% T6:17.2%
1,775 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fast Fit Mollie | 51 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Baybush Rush | 42 | 66 | Closer |
3Lauragh Ebony | 57 | 33 | Fader |
4Hopeythedancer | 62 | 35 | Fader |
5Woodenstown Soul | 45 | 61 | Closer |
6Revilo Eagle | 49 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast Fit Mollie | 0.630 | 0.635 | — |
| 2 | Baybush Rush | — | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Lauragh Ebony | 0.640 | 0.634 | 0.569 |
| 4 | Hopeythedancer | 0.635 | 0.631 | — |
| 5 | Woodenstown Soul | — | 0.632 | — |
| 6 | Revilo Eagle | 0.628 | 0.632 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.