| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Rangerd 3y 6 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 51 | 40 (3) | 39 (5) | 45 (4) | 33 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (3) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 21 | 21 | - | 2 | 44 | 42 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dashgrove Shadowd 4y 26 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 61 (1) | 35 (4) | 44 (3) | 32 (1) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 51 (2) | 28 (6) | 32 (1) | 37 (6) | 28 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Elite Lizzieb 3y 7 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 63 | 48 (2) | 19 (5) | 50 (5) | 38 (3) | 38 (4) | 57 (1) | 31 (5) | 47 (2) | 21 (5) | - | 19 | 22 | 34 | 22 | 42 | 41 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alno Roseb 3y 25 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 31 | 23 (6) | 23 (3) | 25 (6) | 52 (3) | 30 (1) | 39 (5) | 25 (5) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | - | 31 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Crystal Aurorab 2y 5 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 56 (1) | 43 (4) | 58 (1) | 51 (2) | 63 (2) | 69 (1) | 45 (5) | 44 (6) | 16 (6) | 59 (2) | 21 | 25 | 32 | 46 | 54 | 45 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Paulinab 1y 4 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 61 | 38 (4) | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 44 (2) | 47 (3) | 24 (6) | 54 (2) | 30 (1) | 22 (3) | 13 | 28 | 20 | 21 | 44 | 47 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Ranger | 28.98 | 29.25 | 29.52 | 55 | +0.54 | All-Rounder | |
| 2 | Dashgrove Shadow | 29.22 | 29.42 | 29.55 | 48 | +0.33 | Weakest trap | |
| 3 | Elite Lizzie | 29.23 | 29.49 | 29.57 | 46 | +0.34 | Fader | |
| 4 | Alno Rose | 29.03 | 29.51 | 29.78 | 45 | +0.75 | Best trap, off form | |
| 5 | Crystal Aurora | 29.08 | 29.35 | 29.45 | 53 | +0.37 | Won LTO, top rated | |
| 6 | Swift Paulina | 29.11 | 29.39 | 29.18 | 56 | +0.07 | Model pick, fastest |
This A8 grade race over Kinsley's 462 metres is at the lower end of the grade ladder, where the track's usual inside bias softens and the outside boxes come into play more than they do at the top grades. Trap 4 has been the strongest box in this sample at just under 20%, but trap 6 has also held its own — a reminder that at this level the draw doesn't dominate the way it does further up the card. Crystal Aurora arrives on the back of a win last time out at this exact course and distance and carries the highest performance rating in the field by some distance. Swift Paulina rates highest on the blended model and is fastest on the clock, giving her a strong each-way case of her own. The rest of this field are more workmanlike and need the front two to under-perform.
Won last time out at this exact course and distance and carries the highest average performance rating in the field, ten points clear of the next best. She's a closer by profile, coming from off the pace, and her draw here in trap 5 isn't the outright best in this sample, but her level is high enough and her course-and-distance form strong enough that the running style and draw are secondary concerns. Recent figures read 56, 43, 58, 51, 63, 69 — a settled, competitive level throughout. The standout on raw ability in this field.
Rates highest on the blended model and posts the fastest recorded speed rating in the field, with plenty of trial experience layered on top of a solid run of graded form — 48, 50, 37, 44, 47, 24. Third last time out. At A8 grade the outside boxes hold up much better than they do higher up the card, so trap 6 isn't the handicap it would be at a tougher level. The clear alternative to the selection.
Versatile in how he races and posts the quickest recorded time in this field, though his overall level sits a rung below the front two — average performance rating in the low forties against Aurora's mid-fifties. Fifth last time out. Trap 1 has been one of the weaker boxes in this A8 sample. There's enough pace here for a place if the front two find trouble, but not enough to be the leading fancy.
Drawn in the weakest box in this A8 sample and without a standout figure to compensate — form has been steady but modest, 35, 44, 32, 42, 35, 51. Fourth last time out. Decent trainer strike rate at 22% is a small positive. There's little in the profile to suggest he troubles the leaders tonight.
Fast away and tends to lead before fading, which at least gets her involved through Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend. Fifth last time out and recent form has been up and down — 19, 50, 38, 38, 57, 31 — without settling into a clear level. Trap 3 is a solid, above-average draw here though. Capable of a place if the pace suits, but the front two look clearly superior.
Draws the best-performing box in this A8 sample and comes from off the pace, which suits the longer trip reasonably well. But she's out of form — third last time out and the slowest recorded time in this field, with recent figures reading 23, 25, 52, 30, 39, 25, well below this field's leaders. The trap is a genuine plus; the level isn't there to make full use of it right now.
Key insight: Trap 4 leads this A8 sample at 19.9%, but the spread is relatively flat compared to higher grades at this track — traps 3, 5 and 6 are all within two points of each other. Composite Rank 1 wins 18.5%, close to Speed Rank 1 at 19.1%, a fairly balanced signal for this grade.
T1:15.2% T2:14.7% T3:18.5% T4:19.9% T5:17.3% T6:17.8%
1,541 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crystal Ranger | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Dashgrove Shadow | 48 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Elite Lizzie | 62 | 20 | Fader |
4Alno Rose | 24 | 93 | Closer |
5Crystal Aurora | 39 | 71 | Closer |
6Swift Paulina | 57 | 35 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Ranger | — | 0.634 |
| 2 | Dashgrove Shadow | 0.626 | 0.635 |
| 3 | Elite Lizzie | 0.640 | 0.636 |
| 4 | Alno Rose | 0.633 | 0.642 |
| 5 | Crystal Aurora | 0.647 | 0.638 |
| 6 | Swift Paulina | 0.630 | 0.636 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.