Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Gemb 5y 17 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 33 (2) | 28 (2) | 31 (2) | 87 (3) | 75 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (2) | 41 (1) | 32 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 3 | 3/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Critical Katieb 1y 37 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 61 (2) | 38 (6) | 52 (4) | 61 (2) | 66 (2) | 23 (6) | 69 (1) | 67 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 44 | 32 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lamiab 2y 17 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 43 (4) | 33 (4) | 27 (1) | 34 (3) | 49 (5) | 44 (5) | 33 (1) | 24 (1) | - | - | 13 | 23 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ How Are Neverd 2y 8 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 31 (2) | 35 (1) | 25 (5) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 21 (6) | 27 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Norristown Mayb 2y 16 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 59 (2) | 61 (2) | 65 (2) | 59 (2) | 47 (4) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 44 (2) | 54 (4) | - | 31 | 31 | 17 | 21 | 32 | 20 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Seven Oclock Bobd 4y 16 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 32 (5) | 20 (5) | 37 (1) | 25 (5) | 47 (5) | 30 (2) | 23 (5) | 28 (4) | 22 (6) | 27 (3) | 28 | 24 | 22 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Gem | 16.60 | 16.72 | 16.74 | 51 | +0.14 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 2 | Critical Katie | 16.42 | 16.73 | 16.81 | 52 | +0.39 | Closer | |
| 3 | Lamia | 16.58 | 16.73 | 16.58 | 53 | 0.00 | Fader, weak trap | |
| 4 | How Are Never | 16.62 | 16.82 | 16.80 | 48 | +0.18 | Won LTO, weak trap | |
| 5 | Norristown May | 16.59 | 16.77 | 16.59 | 52 | 0.00 | All-Rounder, dropping in trip | |
| 6 | Seven Oclock Bob | 16.58 | 16.91 | 17.19 | 41 | +0.61 | Off recent form |
Back to the sprint trip at Kinsley, where the downhill run into the first bend continues to reward whoever gets away sharpest. At D3 grade the rail box in trap 1 and the wide box in trap 6 have shared the honours this sample, both winning around 19%, while the two middle boxes in traps 3 and 4 have lagged behind at under 14%. Crystal Gem ticks the most boxes here — top trap 1 draw, the highest blended rating in the field and the strongest agreement across the site's scoring systems. How Are Never won last time out at this exact course and distance and carries the best trainer strike rate in the race, even from a weaker box. The rest of this field need to find more than they've shown recently to trouble the front two.
Rates as the highest-graded dog in this field on the blended model and draws the most agreement across the site's scoring systems, and she's drawn in trap 1, one of the two strongest boxes in this D3 sample. Recent form has been tidy in the low thirties — 31, 33, 28, 31 — with an older career-high in the eighties suggesting real upside when everything clicks. Third last time out. The combination of top rating, strong consensus and a favourable draw makes her the clear standout.
Won last time out at this exact course, distance and grade, and carries the best trainer strike rate in the race at 22%. Recent form has been remarkably consistent — 35, 25, 22, 28, 28, 27 — the steadiest profile in this field. The one knock is the draw: trap 4 has been the weakest box in this D3 sample, which will make life harder than it should be. On raw evidence he's the biggest threat to the selection despite the tricky draw.
Comes from off the pace and does so reliably, with the fastest single time recorded in this field. But she was well beaten last time out at a much higher grade and trip, and her figures at this specific level have been mixed — 38, 52, 61, 66, 23, 69. Trap 2 is a fair, if unremarkable, draw. There's talent in there but the recent level doesn't quite match this field's leaders.
Fast away and tends to lead before losing ground late — a fader by profile — and she's drawn in trap 3, one of the two weakest boxes in this exact D3 sample. Fastest recorded speed rating in the field, but form has been steady rather than sharp — 33, 27, 34, 49, 44, 33. Fourth last time out. The draw works against her running style here.
Versatile in how she races and shares the highest average performance rating in the field with the selection, but her most recent run came at a much higher grade over the longer 462-metre trip, so there's a question over how that translates to this shorter sprint tonight. Runner-up last time out. Trap 5 is a reasonable draw. Capable of running well but the conditions switch adds some uncertainty.
Draws the other strong box in this D3 sample but arrives out of form — fifth last time out and the slowest recent time of this six. Figures have been middling — 20, 37, 25, 47, 30, 23 — without a standout recent effort. Trainer strike rate is decent at 22%, matching the danger, but the man himself hasn't shown enough lately to be backed with confidence. The trap is doing most of the work in his case for inclusion.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 6 have shared the top spot in this D3 sample at just under 19-20%, while the two middle boxes in traps 3 and 4 have lagged at under 14% — a clear rail-and-wide pattern at this grade. Composite Rank 1 wins 19.2%, roughly matching Speed Rank 1 at 18.2%, a more balanced picture than at some of today's other Kinsley races.
T1:19.2% T2:16.5% T3:13.7% T4:14.0% T5:17.9% T6:19.4%
1,938 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 285m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Gem | 0.622 | 0.627 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Critical Katie | 0.624 | — | — | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Lamia | 0.624 | — | 0.609 | 0.631 | 0.613 |
| 4 | How Are Never | 0.628 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Norristown May | 0.626 | — | — | 0.626 | — |
| 6 | Seven Oclock Bob | 0.631 | — | — | 0.640 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.