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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Deecee Nikkib 3y 19 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 17 | 71 (1) | 52 (4) | 59 (2) | 51 (4) | 66 (2) | 60 (2) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 49 (4) | 75 (1) | 44 | 40 | 37 | 42 | 59 | 43 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Zeusd 1y 36 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 55 (3) | 57 (4) | 70 (1) | 45 (4) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | 19 | 34 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 37 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crystal Jessb 2y 17 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 47 | 51 (5) | 50 (4) | 69 (2) | 72 (1) | 64 (3) | 41 (6) | 56 (3) | 60 (2) | 36 (6) | 56 (4) | 29 | 32 | 9 | 26 | 58 | 49 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mingdrum Focusb 1y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 55 | 61 (3) | 35 (6) | 53 (4) | 55 (4) | 70 (1) | 64 (1) | 38 (5) | 62 (2) | 27 (3) | 23 (5) | 26 | 27 | 5 | 27 | 52 | 36 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cotswold Princed 2y 28 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 74 (1) | 44 (6) | 59 (4) | 49 (2) | 77 (5) | 72 (1) | 66 (1) | 75 (6) | - | - | 33 | 39 | 27 | 48 | 60 | 35 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deecee Nikki | 28.54 | 28.80 | 29.18 | 52 | +0.64 | Closer, danger | |
| 2 | Crystal Zeus | 28.67 | 28.89 | 28.78 | 54 | +0.11 | Fader | |
| 3 | Crystal Jess | 28.45 | 28.87 | 28.78 | 57 | +0.33 | Best trap, top rated | |
| 4 | Mingdrum Focus | 28.70 | 29.04 | 29.44 | 41 | +0.74 | Weakest in field | |
| 5 | Cotswold Prince | 28.39 | 28.74 | 29.30 | 53 | +0.91 | Month off, highest raw perf |
This A5 race over Kinsley's 462 metres runs with only five going to post tonight. Trap 3 has been the strongest box in this sample at just over 21%, trap 1 the weakest at under 14% — a pattern that lines up neatly with Crystal Jess, who gets that prime trap 3 draw and also carries the highest blended rating and fastest recorded speed of anyone in this field. Cotswold Prince has the biggest raw performance figure on paper but hasn't raced in a month, which is worth factoring in on freshness. Deecee Nikki is the most patient runner of the group, holding up well if the pace up front goes too hard too soon.
The highest-rated dog in this field on the blended model and the fastest on the clock too, and she's drawn in trap 3, the standout box in this A5 sample by a clear margin. Races in a versatile, balanced style that copes with however the pace unfolds. Fourth last time out but her figures have been consistently strong — 50, 69, 72, 64, 41, 56 — with genuine depth to her recent form rather than one flattering peak. The combination of best trap, top rating and fastest recorded time makes her the standout in this field.
A patient runner who holds back and produces her best work late — one of the most consistent closing profiles in this field. Fourth last time out with solid recent figures — 52, 59, 51, 66, 60, 75 — showing a genuine peak well above this level. Trap 1 has been the weakest box in this A5 sample, which works against a dog who needs time to get going. If the pace collapses up front, she's the type to pick up the pieces.
Fast away and tends to lead before fading in the closing stages. Third last time out and recent form has been mixed — 55, 57, 70, 45, 32, 19 — with an old peak of 70 showing there's ability there when it clicks. Trap 2 is a fair, if unremarkable, draw. Others have a stronger overall case tonight.
Last of six last time out and the slowest recorded time in this field. Recent form has been up and down — 35, 53, 55, 70, 64, 38 — with an old peak but nothing recent to match it. Trap 4 is a fair, middling draw. Hard to make a strong case against this kind of opposition.
The highest average performance rating in this field and the best trainer strike rate at 22%, but there's a catch — he hasn't raced in a month, which is a real layoff for a dog at this level, and his most recent run before that was a well-beaten sixth. Older form shows genuine quality, including a couple of big efforts in the 70s. If he's fresh and ready he could be dangerous, but the lack of a recent run is a real unknown.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the standout box in this A5 sample at 21.1%, comfortably clear of trap 1 at the bottom on 13.7%. The composite's top pick and second-best dog are statistically tied at this course and distance, so a clear rating gap combined with the best trap carries real weight.
T1:13.7% T2:17.3% T3:21.1% T4:17.2% T5:15.9% T6:18.2%
2,287 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Deecee Nikki | 20 | 100 | Closer |
2Crystal Zeus | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Crystal Jess | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Mingdrum Focus | 53 | 33 | All-Rounder |
5Cotswold Prince | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deecee Nikki | — | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Crystal Zeus | 0.634 | 0.625 | 0.610 |
| 3 | Crystal Jess | — | 0.627 | — |
| 4 | Mingdrum Focus | 0.634 | 0.628 | — |
| 5 | Cotswold Prince | — | 0.622 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.