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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Quizb 6y 16 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 18 (4) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 37 (6) | 18 (5) | 20 (5) | 22 (4) | 17 (6) | 26 (2) | 29 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Russian Doctord 1y 5 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | - | 32 (1) | 14 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 14 | 13 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Legendary Queenb 1y 3 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 30 (1) | 18 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 18 | 15 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Perryd 1y 6 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (3) | 18 (6) | 18 (6) | 22 (4) | 35 (5) | 55 (1) | 32 (4) | 70 (1) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 17 | 26 | 30 | 15 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Clay Twisterb 3y 5 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 23 (2) | 19 (5) | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 23 (3) | 25 (2) | 25 (6) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Scullys Eddied 4y 16 | D W Wright — 0% R12 W0 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | - | 25 (2) | 21 (4) | 25 (3) | 24 (2) | 22 (4) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 22 (5) | 28 (2) | 25 (4) | 31 | 28 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Quiz | 17.01 | 17.21 | 17.52 | 48 | +0.51 | 1 win from 8 | |
| 2 | Russian Doctor | 17.79 | 17.79 | 17.79 | 21 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 1 | |
| 3 | Legendary Queen | 17.45 | 17.45 | 17.45 | 38 | 0.00 | trial-heavy | |
| 4 | Swift Perry | 17.04 | 17.19 | 17.35 | 51 | +0.31 | Closer profile | |
| 5 | Clay Twister | 16.84 | 17.06 | 17.31 | 57 | +0.47 | Fader profile | |
| 6 | Scullys Eddie | 16.73 | 16.98 | 16.98 | 65 | +0.25 | Model pick |
Kinsley's 268-metre sprint starts with a sharp downhill run to the first bend, a gradient that rewards dogs who get away fast and punishes anything held up early. Today's data for this grade has the middle boxes doing the early damage — trap 4 leads at just over 20%, with trap 2 close behind, while the wide box in trap 6 has actually been the weakest starting point in this particular sample at 15.5%, a reversal of Kinsley's usual pattern where the wide draw is normally the strongest here. Scullys Eddie is the standout on the clock from that unfashionable trap 6 — quickest through the field on best, average and most recent times — and the model consensus is almost unanimous behind him. Swift Perry has the best raw performance figures in the race but is a confirmed closer, close to a fatal flaw on this downhill sprint, and will need the leaders to fold. Clay Twister, a fader by profile, could be involved early from trap 5 before fading out of it late.
The quickest dog in this field on every time measure — best, average and most recent — and the model's clear consensus pick, with the majority of the site's scoring systems independently landing on him. Form has been rock solid, six starts without a poor run, mixing places with a couple of near-misses, most recently second at odds-on favouritism. He's drawn in the wide box which has traditionally been the strongest starting point at this trip, even though today's specific grade data shows the middle boxes doing well too. On raw pace alone he looks the one to beat on a track where the sharpest dog away from the downhill run so often wins.
On raw figures the most accomplished dog in this line-up — the highest average performance rating in the field, having mixed it at a much higher level in recent months including a win at 462 metres. But the concern is how he wins his races: he's a confirmed closer, coming from off the pace, and Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend is about as unforgiving a test for that running style as any sprint in the country. If the pace up front is even moderate he may simply run out of ground. The one to consider as an each-way alternative to the selection, but the running style profile is against him.
Consistent if unspectacular around this circuit, with a win and several places from regular runs at this trip and grade — recent form reads 18, 23, 21, 29, 37, 18 with the peak coming in a bigger field over 462 metres rather than at this trip. On the clock she's only the fourth quickest in this field and the early pace pattern here rewards the fastest away, which counts against her. Trainer Heaton wins at a moderate 16% and there's little here to suggest today is the day she steps up. A place shout rather than a winning one.
Barely tested in open company — just the one graded run to his name, finishing last of six well beaten after a difficult passage. He does have a string of respectable trials behind him at this course and trip, but trial form doesn't transfer reliably into a competitive pack, and on his sole graded outing he showed nothing to back it up. The slowest recorded time in this field by some distance. Others have much stronger claims.
Has had four solo or paired trials at this course and distance plus one graded run, finishing third of six on debut. That trial-heavy background means her true assessable form is minimal — she's essentially unproven against a settled field like this one, and the promise she showed in trials hasn't yet been backed up in open company. Impossible to fully assess from this little competitive experience. Watch rather than back.
Fast away and tends to lead or race prominently before weakening in the closing stages — a fader by profile, which at least means she'll be involved at the business end of this downhill sprint even if she doesn't see it out. Form has been consistent in the low-20s with a runner-up effort last time out. Second quickest in the field on the clock behind the selection. Others fit the shape of this race slightly better, but she can't be ruled out of a place.
Key insight: At D5 grade this sample has traps 2 and 4 sharing the lead at just over 20%, with trap 6 the weakest box at 15.5% — a reversal of Kinsley 268m's usual wide-box bias. Speed Rank 1 wins 21.2%, comfortably clear of Composite Rank 1 at 19.5%, confirming raw pace matters more than the blended model at this trip.
T1:16.1% T2:20.4% T3:17.0% T4:20.4% T5:17.4% T6:15.5%
1,446 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Quiz | 0.642 | 0.650 |
| 2 | Russian Doctor | 0.642 | — |
| 3 | Legendary Queen | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Swift Perry | 0.641 | 0.643 |
| 5 | Clay Twister | 0.637 | 0.645 |
| 6 | Scullys Eddie | 0.634 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.