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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Echod 4y 24 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 37 | 38 (5) | 31 (5) | 30 (6) | 41 (4) | 49 (3) | 54 (2) | 44 (3) | 32 (6) | 58 (1) | 48 (3) | 23 | 23 | - | 13 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mandeville Mistb 2y 12 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 25 | 42 | 29 (6) | 39 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 39 | 18 | 6 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coolpeach Sarahb 2y 5 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 29 | 57 (3) | 37 (6) | 49 (4) | 35 (6) | 49 (2) | 42 (6) | 45 (5) | 56 (4) | 50 (3) | 55 (3) | 13 | 9 | - | 10 | 46 | 35 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Giftb 4y 24 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 48 (4) | 49 (4) | 65 (1) | 50 (2) | 22 (5) | 22 (4) | 56 (1) | 52 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 1 | 25 | - | 39 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Yeah Mickd 3y 110 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 56 | 64 (3) | 46 (5) | 43 (6) | 63 (2) | 58 (4) | 40 (6) | 45 (5) | 56 (3) | 67 (2) | 40 (6) | 24 | 27 | - | 10 | 53 | 51 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Twisted Logicb 3y 19 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 53 | 61 (2) | 53 (3) | 45 (4) | 61 (2) | 62 (2) | 40 (6) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | 66 (2) | 69 (2) | 36 | 34 | - | 43 | 57 | 53 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Echo | 29.21 | 29.39 | 29.57 | 31 | +0.36 | Giving weight | |
| 2 | Mandeville Mist | 29.51 | 29.51 | 29.51 | 25 | 0.00 | Trial-heavy, unproven | |
| 3 | Coolpeach Sarah | 28.56 | 29.06 | 29.42 | 50 | +0.86 | Best trap | |
| 4 | Grouchos Gift | 28.69 | 29.10 | 29.23 | 50 | +0.54 | Weakest trap | |
| 5 | Yeah Mick | 28.42 | 28.90 | 28.70 | 66 | +0.28 | Fastest, scratch mark | |
| 6 | Twisted Logic | 28.44 | 28.92 | 29.12 | 59 | +0.68 | Model pick, scratch mark |
This handicap over Kinsley's 462 metres still starts with that downhill run to the first bend, which continues to reward dogs who get there quickest even at the longer trip. Trap 3 has been the best-performing box in this handicap sample at just under 21%, trap 4 the weakest at just under 12%, though with staggered marks in play the draw carries less weight than the runners' raw pace. Both Twisted Logic and Yeah Mick run off the scratch mark tonight, meaning they're rated the two best dogs in the field and have to concede a start to the rest — and both are front-running types who like to get on with it from the gate, which suits this track down to the ground. The rest of the field are giving away real ground on both class and pace and need things to go their way.
Rates as the model's clearest overall pick in this field, with the most scoring systems independently landing on her and the highest blended rating of the six. Like Yeah Mick she runs off the scratch mark and races as a front runner, quick to the bend and happy to dictate — exactly the profile that Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend rewards. Third last time out at a tougher grade than tonight's. Trap 6 is a solid, above-average draw to go with the pace profile and model backing.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field on every recorded time measure and runs off the scratch mark, meaning he's rated among the very best here and gives away the most ground of anyone. He's a front runner by profile — quick to the bend and happy to lead — which suits Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend as well as any running style can. Third last time out at this exact conditions. The clear alternative to the selection and arguably has the faster raw gear of the two.
Giving away a fair chunk of the mark tonight and a confirmed closer besides, which is a tough combination on a track that rewards being handy early. Form has been steady if unspectacular — 38, 31, 30, 41, 49, 54 — and he was fifth of six last time out at a tougher grade. Trap 1 is a fair box in this sample. Needs to bridge a real gap in both mark and pace to figure.
Just one graded run to her name, well beaten in third, with the bulk of her recent conditioning coming through solo or paired trials rather than open racing. That trial-heavy background means there's very little reliable evidence to assess her on. The slowest recorded time in this field. Impossible to fully back given how little competitive experience she brings.
Drawn in the best-performing box in this handicap sample and comes from off the pace, which gives her more time to use it over the longer trip than she'd get at the sprint. Some of her recent conditioning has come via trials, adding a little uncertainty, but her open-race form has been steady in the mid-40s. Last of six last time out at a tougher grade, though. The trap is a genuine plus; the level and running style are the question marks.
Drawn in the weakest box in this handicap sample, which is a real structural negative for a dog whose running style — fast away before fading — depends on getting a clean break. Form has bounced around considerably: 49, 65, 50, 22, 22, 56. Fourth last time out. The draw and the inconsistency both count against her tonight.
Key insight: The blended model's top pick wins only 17.7% in this handicap sample, barely different to the second-best dog — one of the flatter reads on the card. Trap 3 has been the strongest box at 20.7%, trap 4 the weakest at 12.0%, though the staggered handicap marks dilute the draw's usual influence.
T1:15.8% T2:20.3% T3:20.7% T4:12.0% T5:12.9% T6:18.6%
889 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Echo | 35 | 72 | Closer |
2Mandeville Mist | 43 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Coolpeach Sarah | 43 | 75 | Closer |
4Grouchos Gift | 57 | 43 | Fader |
5Yeah Mick | 57 | 51 | Front Runner |
6Twisted Logic | 59 | 49 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Echo | — | 0.636 |
| 2 | Mandeville Mist | — | 0.641 |
| 3 | Coolpeach Sarah | — | 0.630 |
| 4 | Grouchos Gift | 0.633 | 0.630 |
| 5 | Yeah Mick | — | 0.625 |
| 6 | Twisted Logic | — | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.