| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Epic Estimated 3y 10 | L A Taylorson — 16% R263 W41 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 25 (2) | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 26 | 20 | - | 41 | 25 | 27 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Trickys Simbad 4yN/R 22 | R Holt — 10% R30 W3 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 21 (4) | 29 (4) | 42 (4) | 53 (4) | 32 (6) | 37 (4) | 44 (4) | 52 (2) | 49 (2) | 39 (4) | 14 | 28 | - | - | 33 | 22 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Good Carvelab 1y 2 | R A Draper — 27% R278 W76 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 24 (5) | 21 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 | 5 | - | - | 23 | 20 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Melb 2yN/R 27 | R A Draper — 27% R278 W76 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | - | 82 (1) | 48 (4) | 63 (2) | 40 (2) | 37 (3) | 52 (3) | 54 (4) | 45 (1) | 42 (1) | 26 (6) | 68 | 49 | - | 31 | 44 | 43 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hollys Jackd 1y 5 | D L Fretwell — 14% R160 W23 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 19 (6) | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 23 (3) | - | - | - | 18 | 23 | 13 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mr Boombasticd 3y 6 | S C Oxley — 25% R134 W34 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 29 (2) | 30 (2) | 26 (4) | 28 (2) | 28 (3) | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | 25 (4) | 31 | 32 | 26 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 3 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swift Mel | 16.09 | 16.30 | 16.50 | 72 | +0.41 | ||
| 1 | Epic Estimate | 16.43 | 16.87 | 16.43 | 57 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Mr Boombastic | 16.56 | 16.71 | 16.71 | 54 | +0.15 | ||
| 5 | Hollys Jack | 16.60 | 16.89 | 16.75 | 49 | +0.15 | ||
| 2 | Trickys Simba | 16.66 | 16.93 | 17.20 | 41 | +0.54 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 3 | Good Carvela | 16.88 | 16.90 | 16.88 | 43 | 0.00 |
Sheffield 280-metre sprint at D4 grade where trap 5 is the best draw at 24.6% from 134 runs, with trap 2 the worst at 16.8% from 161 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 24.9% here — the strongest single factor at D4 level. Swift Mel has the highest speed rating in the field by a massive margin at 72, which is exceptional for D4 level — over 15 points clear of the next fastest. Epic Estimate won last time and has the best composite score. Mr Boombastic has the best trainer in Oxley at 28%. This is a race where raw pace should win out — Swift Mel's speed advantage is enormous.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field with a speed rating of 72 — fifteen points clear of the next best. Her fastest time of 16.09 is over half a second quicker than anything else here, which at 280 metres is an enormous margin that translates to several lengths. Her average performance of 44 is also the best in the field by a wide margin. She is classified as a fader by pace profile, but at sprint distances the race is over before any fade kicks in — she breaks hard and the trip is too short for rivals to catch her. Trap 4 wins 22.2% from 167 runs which is a solid draw. Trainer Draper at 24% is competitive. The raw speed advantage is the entire story here — nothing else in this field is remotely close to her pace.
Won last time out at D4 level which is the strongest recent credential in the field. Has the best distance suitability at 41 and decent trap suitability at 26. Speed rating of 57 is the second-fastest, well behind Swift Mel's 72 but clear of the rest. Trap 1 wins just 17.0% from 154 runs at D4 Sheffield sprints which is a below-average draw. His trainer Taylorson has a 16% win rate which is the weakest in the race. The recent win proves he can compete here but the trap draw and speed gap to the selection are concerns.
Finished 4th last time at D4 with an average performance of 33, which puts him in the middle of this field. A closer by pace profile which is the wrong style for a 280-metre sprint where early pace decides everything — closers simply do not have enough track to make up ground over this short distance. His speed rating of 41 is the slowest in the field and his best time of 16.66 is nearly six-tenths behind the quickest. Trap 2 is the worst draw at D4 Sheffield sprints at just 16.8% from 161 runs. Wrong profile, slowest pace, worst trap — too many negatives stacking up.
Finished 5th last time and has only two career runs, both disappointing. Her average performance of 23 is the lowest in the field and she has zero distance suitability — no proven 280-metre form. Speed rating of 43 is second-slowest. Trap 3 wins 20.5% from 156 runs which is a decent draw, and her trainer Draper at 24% is competitive. But with just two poor runs and no sprint experience, there is nothing here to suggest she can compete with the faster, more experienced dogs in this field.
Placed 3rd last time at D4 level and drawn in the best-performing trap at Sheffield D4 sprints — trap 5 wins 24.6% from 134 runs. Speed rating of 49 is middling and his average performance of 24 is below the field leaders. Has some distance suitability at 25 which shows proven sprint form. The dominant trap draw would normally be a significant factor but the speed deficit to Swift Mel is too large. A place prospect at best who could benefit from the trap advantage to sneak into the frame.
Finished 2nd last time at D4 which is solid placed form. Trained by Oxley at 28% — the best handler in the race. Speed rating of 54 is decent and his best time of 16.56 puts him in the mix behind the leader. His distance suitability of 31 and trap suitability of 31 are both reasonable. Trap 6 wins 17.9% from 169 runs which is below average — not ideal. An honest runner who could place again but lacks the raw pace to trouble Swift Mel, and the outside trap does not help.
Key insight: T5 best at 24.6%. T2 worst at 16.8%. Speed R1 wins 24.9% — strongest factor at D4.
T1:17.0% T2:16.8% T3:20.5% T4:22.2% T5:24.6% T6:17.9%
941 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.