Thursday 16th July
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ La Florb 4y 19 | D L Fretwell — 14% R160 W23 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 35 (1) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (5) | 32 (5) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 35 (3) | 26 (1) | - | 32 | 19 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Twice On Sundaysd 1y 26 | J Sharp — 26% R105 W27 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 24 (5) | 23 (4) | 17 (5) | 25 (4) | 35 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (5) | 32 (1) | 29 (1) | - | 24 | 25 | 14 | 25 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mustang Gracieb 5y 28 | D L Fretwell — 14% R160 W23 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 22 (6) | 25 (5) | 26 (6) | 31 (4) | 34 (3) | 24 (5) | 30 (2) | 30 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Nans Migueld 2y 8 | L A Taylorson — 16% R263 W41 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 22 (5) | 18 (6) | 30 (6) | 61 (3) | 48 (6) | 37 (6) | 45 (6) | 71 (1) | 43 (5) | - | 3 | - | - | - | 23 | 15 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ A Fine Timed 3y 3 | M A P O'donnell — 16% R262 W43 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | - | 31 (2) | 18 (5) | 23 (5) | 49 (5) | 53 (4) | 63 (3) | 46 (2) | 51 (4) | 62 (3) | - | 22 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Fort Jukeboxd 5y 17 | E T Parker — 23% R173 W39 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 30 (4) | 36 (2) | 54 (5) | 57 (4) | 58 (2) | 63 (2) | 65 (2) | 60 (3) | 37 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 2 | 8/13F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mustang Gracie | 16.38 | 16.72 | 16.83 | 55 | +0.45 | ||
| 6 | Old Fort Jukebox | 16.54 | 16.58 | 16.59 | 59 | +0.05 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 1 | La Flor | 16.58 | 16.66 | 16.61 | 57 | +0.03 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Twice On Sundays | 16.58 | 16.96 | 17.26 | 41 | +0.68 | ||
| 4 | Nans Miguel | 16.83 | 16.98 | 16.83 | 44 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | A Fine Time | 16.93 | 17.20 | 17.47 | 28 | +0.54 | 0 wins from 10 |
Sheffield's 280-metre sprint features a short run to the first bend where early pace matters. At D3 grade, trap 3 dominates with a 27.0% win rate from 222 runs — comfortably the best draw — while trap 6 is the dead box at just 13.0% from 239 runs. The speed rank 1 dog wins 25.5% here, outperforming the composite. La Flor should set the pace from trap 1 with the most consistent recent form. Old Fort Jukebox has sharp early pace and the best speed rating but is trapped in the dead draw at 6. Mustang Gracie has the fastest best time in the field and the golden draw in trap 3, making her the main danger.
Won last time out at D4 grade and steps up to D3 with the most consistent recent form in the field — ratings of 31, 27, 25, 32, 31 showing she rarely runs a bad race. Has the second-fastest speed rating and clocked 16.58 at her best, matching the quickest recorded by several rivals. Trap 1 wins a respectable 19.5% at this course and distance. The one with proven winning form and the steadiest profile in the field.
Drawn in the dominant trap at Sheffield D3 sprints — trap 3 wins 27.0% from 222 runs, comfortably the strongest draw. Has the fastest best time of anyone in the field at 16.38, proving she has the raw pace to win at this level. Recent form of 24, 22, 22 is modest, but at D3 grade the margins are thin and the trap draw gives her a genuine structural edge that the form alone doesn't reflect.
Recent form has been patchy with ratings bouncing between 17 and 35. Her best time of 16.58 matches the fastest in the field but her average of 16.96 tells a different story — she can clock a good time but rarely does. Trap 2 wins 18.6% from 210 runs, a middling draw. Needs to find her best to be involved and nothing in the recent form suggests that is coming.
Zero suitability scores across the board — no prior form at Sheffield, no form at 280 metres, no form from this trap, and no form at D3 grade. Recent ratings of 22 and 18 are poor, though a 61 four runs back hints at latent ability from a different track. Trap 4 wins 20.2% which is a decent draw, but with no course knowledge at all this looks a big ask on a Sheffield debut.
The slowest dog in the field by some distance with a speed rating of just 28 and an average time over a second slower than the quickest here. Tends to rely on a strong late run but at 280 metres there simply is not enough track to close from behind — the race is over before she gets going. Recent ratings of 18 and 23 confirm she is at the bottom of this field right now.
Has the best speed rating in the field at 59 and sharp early pace that should see her involved from the off. Her best time of 16.54 is excellent and form has been trending upward with 29, 28, 30 in her last three. The problem is trap 6, which wins just 13.0% of the time from 239 runs at Sheffield D3 sprints — the worst draw by a clear margin. On raw ability she would be right there, but the draw makes it very hard to recommend despite the obvious talent.
Key insight: T3 dominates at 27.0% from 222 runs. Speed R1 wins 25.5%. T6 structural death at 13.0%.
T1:19.5% T2:18.6% T3:27.0% T4:20.2% T5:18.1% T6:13.0%
1,323 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Flor | 0.595 | — | — |
| 2 | Twice On Sundays | 0.605 | — | — |
| 3 | Mustang Gracie | 0.599 | — | — |
| 4 | Nans Miguel | 0.606 | 0.627 | 0.574 |
| 5 | A Fine Time | 0.607 | 0.602 | — |
| 6 | Old Fort Jukebox | 0.592 | 0.596 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.