Finished 5th at A4 last time with a rating of just 41 — a significant drop from peaks of 72 and 66 in his recent form. The decline over the last two runs from 66 to 55 to 41 is a concern, though the peaks show he has the ability at this grade when things go right. Trap 2 wins 18.6% from 372 runs which is below average. An all-rounder by pace profile but his current form trajectory suggests he is not ready to compete at the sharp end.

Won at A5 last time with an impressive 70 rating and steps up to A4 for the first time. Has the best track and distance suitability scores in the field — track 49 and distance 60 — showing strong course and distance credentials. Trap 3 wins 19.0% from 389 runs which is workable. The question is whether the jump to A4 is too much too soon — her average performance of 60 puts her in the mix but she will need to match her best to compete against the stronger dogs here.

The highest composite score in the field at 35 but this is extremely misleading — she has never raced over 500 metres, with both career runs being 280-metre invitational events where she posted ratings of 50 and 42. She has no speed rating, no 500-metre times, and zero distance suitability. Stepping from 280 metres to 500 metres is nearly doubling the trip, and there is no evidence she will stay this far. Trap 5 is also the second-worst draw at 16.5% from 261 runs. With only two career runs and a complete unknown at the distance, backing her is pure speculation.

Placed 3rd at A4 last time with a 51 rating — honest but unremarkable. Form has been up and down with a peak of 73 three runs back followed by much weaker efforts. Trap 6 is the worst-performing draw at Sheffield A4 500m at just 15.2% from 356 runs. An all-rounder who can race from any position but the draw and inconsistent form make it hard to recommend ahead of the more proven contenders in better boxes.