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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Kingd 3y 7 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 27 (3) | 27 (4) | 30 (3) | 34 (2) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 53 (3) | 79 (1) | 34 (1) | 22 (2) | 18 | 35 | 23 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Snowflakeb 3y 16 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 34 (1) | 29 (3) | 34 (1) | 26 (3) | 19 (6) | 18 (6) | 20 (6) | 13 (6) | 29 | 40 | 19 | 33 | 26 | 29 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sallins Flyerd 2y 6 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 14 (5) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 21 (5) | 23 (3) | 33 (1) | 37 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | 27 (3) | 26 | 38 | 27 | 34 | 27 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Miss Margaretb 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 53 (4) | 50 (5) | 25 (3) | 37 (5) | 53 (5) | 30 (2) | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 39 (5) | 69 (2) | 12 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Edermine Bucksd 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 26 (4) | 51 (2) | 24 (4) | 24 (4) | 34 (1) | 25 (5) | 34 (1) | 34 (1) | 25 (4) | 27 (3) | 34 | 35 | 46 | 34 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grouchos King | 15.55 | 15.80 | 15.75 | 59 | +0.20 | Best speed, model pick | |
| 3 | Savana Snowflake | 15.85 | 16.10 | 16.05 | 44 | +0.20 | Steps down from D3 | |
| 4 | Sallins Flyer | 15.75 | 16.00 | 15.95 | 47 | +0.20 | Steps down from D3 | |
| 5 | Miss Margaret | Last raced over 415m at A6 grade — no recent times logged at tonight's 238m sprint. | — | Drops from A6 415m | ||||
| 6 | Edermine Bucks | Last raced over 415m at A7 grade — no recent times logged at tonight's 238m sprint. | — | Best trap, drops from A7 415m | ||||
Harlow's tight 238-metre sprint, where trap six has been the standout box in this D4 sample at almost 23% and trap two the weakest at under 17%. Just five go to post tonight after a withdrawal from trap one. Grouchos King is markedly the fastest dog in the field on recent times despite landing in the weaker trap two, and the independent scoring models are heavily in his favour on raw pace and rating. Edermine Bucks has the best draw tonight and plenty of early speed to use it, though he does have a tendency to lose ground in the closing stages. Miss Margaret and Sallins Flyer both arrive from different distances or grades recently, adding a little uncertainty to their figures.
Markedly the fastest dog in this field on recent times, clocking figures well clear of the rest, and a strong finisher who closes off his races with real purpose. His most recent runs have eased back a touch from a peak of 49 a few starts ago, but the underlying speed is clearly there and he was competitive again last time out. Trap two hasn't been the strongest box in this D4 sample, but the raw pace edge here is substantial, and the independent scoring models are firmly behind him as the one to beat.
Drops down from a higher grade over almost double tonight's trip and lands in trap six, comfortably the best-performing box in this D4 sample at almost 23%. He shows plenty of early pace and was runner-up last time out at the tougher level, but he does have a tendency to lose ground in the closing stages once the pace increases, a running style that can be exposed on this tight circuit. The box draw and the drop in class both work in his favour, making him the clearest threat to the selection.
Steps down from a slightly higher grade after finishing fifth last time out, and her figures at this level have been moderate without a standout run. Trap three is a fair box in this D4 sample and the trainer's win rate is decent at over a quarter of runners. Capable of a place finish rather than troubling the front two.
Also drops down from a slightly higher grade, finishing fourth last time out with figures in the mid-20s that are unremarkable for this level. A balanced runner who can be involved without a clear strength either way. Trap four is a fair box in this D4 sample, and while there's little to strongly recommend her, she's not without a place chance.
Drops down sharply from a higher grade over almost double tonight's distance, so there's no recent form at this exact sprint trip to lean on. She's shown some big performances in the 50s within her recent form, suggesting genuine ability, but trap five has been one of the weaker boxes in this D4 sample and the distance switch adds real uncertainty. Hard to assess with much confidence tonight.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear best box in this D4 sample at almost 23% from 964 runs, while trap 2 is the weakest at under 17%.
T1:18.1% T2:16.7% T3:17.9% T4:17.9% T5:16.0% T6:22.9%
5,734 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grouchos King | 0.656 | 0.654 |
| 3 | Savana Snowflake | 0.672 | — |
| 4 | Sallins Flyer | 0.671 | 0.674 |
| 5 | Miss Margaret | 0.661 | 0.660 |
| 6 | Edermine Bucks | 0.663 | 0.669 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.