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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Masterstown Renab 6y 15 | J D T Allen — 9% R198 W17 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 17 (5) | 18 (4) | 17 (5) | 17 (3) | 19 (3) | 20 (3) | 17 (3) | 15 (5) | 13 (4) | 19 (4) | 21 | 19 | - | - | 17 | 16 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Derry Rebeld 2y 8 | J D T Allen — 9% R198 W17 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 22 (3) | 21 (3) | 17 (4) | 18 (5) | 23 (2) | 31 (6) | 55 (1) | 24 (4) | 14 (6) | 38 (5) | 27 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ello Elleb 2y 7 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (1) | 16 (5) | 27 (2) | 14 (4) | 20 (2) | 12 (6) | 18 (4) | - | - | - | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mcgregorb 2y 1 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 15 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 15 | 14 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Allens Giftb 2yN/R 5 | J D T Allen — 9% R198 W17 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 15 (5) | 15 (5) | 16 (4) | 15 (5) | 13 (6) | 17 (4) | 18 (5) | 17 (5) | 15 (5) | 14 (5) | - | - | - | - | 15 | 13 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Perfecto Dupontd 3y 7 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 19 (4) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 20 (4) | 16 (5) | 19 (5) | 4 | 5 | - | 3 | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1/2F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masterstown Rena | 15.95 | 16.15 | 16.05 | 51 | +0.10 | Flat recent form | |
| 2 | Derry Rebel | 15.70 | 16.05 | 16.00 | 57 | +0.30 | Fades late, weak trap | |
| 3 | Ello Elle | 15.90 | 16.20 | 16.10 | 51 | +0.20 | Volatile form | |
| 4 | Mcgregor | 16.30 | 16.30 | 16.30 | 36 | 0.00 | One graded run only | |
| 5 | Allens Gift | 16.10 | 16.30 | 16.20 | 42 | +0.10 | Weak trap, weak form | |
| 6 | Perfecto Dupont | 15.60 | 15.95 | 15.90 | 61 | +0.30 | Best speed, best trap |
Back to Harlow's tight 238-metre sprint, where the first bend decides the race and there's no time for a slow starter to work into it. In this D5 sample trap six has been the best-performing box at nearly 22%, with trap five the weakest at under 15%. This is a modest grade with plenty of moderate form on show, but Perfecto Dupont stands out by a distance on raw speed and has landed in the best trap tonight, which is a rare combination in a race like this. Derry Rebel is fast into her stride but has a clear tendency to fade once the pace goes on, and she's drawn in a below-par box. Mcgregor arrives with only one graded run to her name after a long run of solo trials, so she's difficult to assess with any real confidence.
Clocks the fastest times of anyone in this field by a clear margin and has landed in trap six, which has been the best-performing box in this D5 sample at nearly 22%. That's a rare combination of raw pace and favourable draw in a race of this grade. Recent form has been steady rather than spectacular, but the speed edge and the box draw give her a genuine structural advantage over this field, and the trainer's win rate at the track is solid too.
Quick into her stride with the second-fastest recent times in the field, but she's a confirmed early-pace type who tends to lose ground once the race develops, and she was rated considerably higher a handful of starts back than she has been since. Trap two hasn't been a strong box in this D5 sample, which compounds the concern about her holding on. Still, several of the independent scoring models rate her highly on raw pace alone, so she has to be respected as the chief danger even with the fading concern.
A modest performer whose recent figures have flattened out around the high teens without any sign of improvement, finishing fourth last time out. Trap one is a below-par box in this D5 sample and the trainer's win rate at the track is in single figures. There isn't much in the form to suggest she can trouble the front end tonight.
Form has bounced around from race to race without settling into a clear pattern, finishing fifth last time out having been much better a couple of starts before that. Trap three is a reasonable box in this D5 sample and the trainer's win rate offers modest encouragement. On balance she looks capable of picking up a place if things go her way rather than winning outright.
Has just the one graded start to her name, finishing last on debut after a long run of solo trials beforehand — trial form that carries little weight in a genuine pack race. One run is nowhere near enough to judge her fairly either way, and the raw figures from that debut were modest. Impossible to make a strong case in either direction tonight.
The weakest form in the field on recent figures, rarely straying from the mid-teens rating over her last six starts, and tonight she lands in trap five — the poorest box in this D5 sample. That combination of modest ability and the weakest draw makes her very hard to fancy.
Key insight: Trap 6 has been the strongest box in this D5 sample at nearly 22% from over 1,000 runs, while trap 5 is the weakest at under 15%.
T1:16.8% T2:16.2% T3:19.9% T4:18.6% T5:14.7% T6:21.8%
6,733 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masterstown Rena | 0.698 | — | — |
| 2 | Derry Rebel | 0.691 | 0.616 | 0.620 |
| 3 | Ello Elle | 0.698 | — | — |
| 4 | Mcgregor | 0.709 | — | — |
| 6 | Perfecto Dupont | 0.689 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.