| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hawkfield Kopekd 2y 7 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 66 (1) | 43 (5) | 56 (2) | 57 (2) | 66 (1) | 56 (2) | 58 (2) | 19 (3) | 15 (4) | 63 (1) | 30 | 34 | 47 | 40 | 50 | 44 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Speedy Gened 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 38 | 40 (4) | 36 (5) | 51 (3) | 45 (3) | 45 (4) | 65 (1) | 45 (4) | 45 (4) | 58 (3) | 66 (1) | 34 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Townsend Daisyb 1y 5 | D R Jinks — 16% R524 W85 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 45 (4) | 39 (5) | 65 (1) | 54 (2) | 48 (3) | 45 (3) | 44 (3) | 37 (5) | 45 (3) | 18 (2) | 17 | 22 | 16 | 22 | 46 | 41 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Yo Ronnie Busterd 2y 7 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 62 | 54 (2) | 48 (3) | 63 (1) | 45 (3) | 62 (1) | 63 (1) | 41 (4) | 63 (1) | 43 (4) | 13 (5) | 20 | 33 | 46 | 42 | 52 | 46 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yo Paddyd 1y 43 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 64 (1) | 21 (4) | 28 (3) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | 34 | 30 | 30 | 64 | 42 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Kopek | 25.95 | 26.30 | 26.20 | 52 | +0.25 | Best trap tonight | |
| 2 | Speedy Gene | 26.10 | 26.45 | 26.40 | 49 | +0.30 | Weak trap tonight | |
| 3 | Townsend Daisy | 26.20 | 26.50 | 26.25 | 47 | +0.05 | Balanced pace | |
| 5 | Yo Ronnie Buster | 25.90 | 26.15 | 26.05 | 51 | +0.15 | Worst trap tonight | |
| 6 | Yo Paddy | 25.75 | 26.30 | 25.75 | 57 | 0.00 | Career-best last start |
Another spin over Harlow's tight 415-metre trip, four bends where ground saved on the rail compounds all the way round. In this A7 sample trap one has been the standout box at over 23%, with trap five and trap two both weak at around 16%. This is one of the trickier grades to call anywhere in the country — mid-grade form at this level is often in transition, with dogs either dropping down or rising up, which muddies the raw ratings. Yo Paddy arrives on the back of a breakthrough win last time out, jumping to a career-best figure after a run of much more modest form, and he's drawn a workable box. Hawkfield Kopek is a proven finisher from off the pace who has the plum trap-one draw tonight, while Yo Ronnie Buster, a fast-starting sort who tends to fade, has drawn the weakest box in the field.
Produced a career-best performance last time out to win, a significant step forward from the more modest figures he'd been showing in the runs before that. He's also the fastest dog in the field on recent times and the trainer's win rate at the track is among the best represented tonight. Trap six isn't the standout box in this A7 sample, but his clear form improvement and best-in-field speed give him the strongest current-form case, and the independent scoring models are largely in agreement that he's the one to beat. A7 is a notoriously tricky grade to call with confidence, so this is backed with appropriate caution rather than certainty.
A genuine finisher from off the pace who does his best work late, and tonight he has the plum draw in trap one — comfortably the best-performing box in this A7 sample at over 23%. His most recent effort was below his best, but he's shown considerably stronger figures in three of his last five starts, including a rating in the high 60s, so there's clear capability there. The rail draw at a track where saving ground through four bends matters makes him a serious threat, and he rates the main danger to the selection tonight.
Another off-the-pace runner with a solid closing style, but her recent form has been modest without threatening the front two, finishing fifth last time out. Trap two has been one of the weaker boxes in this A7 sample, adding to the task. She's the type who could pick up minor money if the pace up front is strong, but winning claims look thin.
A versatile runner who can race handy or come from off the pace depending on how things unfold, but her figures have been unremarkable across the last six starts, with a best of 65 a few runs back not since matched. Trap three is a middling box in this A7 sample. There's enough balance to her running style to be involved without being the type to lead the market claims.
Shows sharp early pace but has a clear tendency to lose ground in the closing stages, and he's landed in trap five — the weakest box in this A7 sample tonight. He was runner-up last time out and the trainer's win rate at the track is among the best represented in this field, so there's genuine ability here, but the combination of a fading run style and the poorest draw is a real obstacle over four bends.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a clear standout in this A7 sample at over 23% from 886 runs, while trap 5 and trap 2 are both weak at around 16%. A7 grade is historically one of the least reliable for the model nationally, so structural draw data matters more here than usual.
T1:23.0% T2:16.5% T3:17.0% T4:17.9% T5:16.0% T6:20.2%
5,738 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hawkfield Kopek | 43 | 61 | Closer |
2Speedy Gene | 39 | 68 | Closer |
3Townsend Daisy | 52 | 35 | All-Rounder |
5Yo Ronnie Buster | 61 | 11 | Fader |
6Yo Paddy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Kopek | — | 0.663 |
| 2 | Speedy Gene | — | 0.664 |
| 3 | Townsend Daisy | — | 0.668 |
| 5 | Yo Ronnie Buster | — | 0.668 |
| 6 | Yo Paddy | 0.669 | 0.661 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.