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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skidrow Jaked 2y 13 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 33 | 11 (6) | 22 (6) | 17 (5) | 35 (4) | 34 (5) | 51 (3) | 64 (1) | 18 (5) | 18 (2) | 33 (5) | 24 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Maggiemayb 2y 26 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 37 | 44 (2) | 18 (6) | 38 (3) | 30 (1) | 43 (3) | 52 (2) | 42 (4) | 15 (3) | 16 (2) | 14 (4) | 28 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 37 | 31 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Badminton Beachb 3y 9 | D R Jinks — 16% R524 W85 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 57 | 37 (6) | 41 (5) | 65 (1) | 30 (6) | 30 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (6) | 13 (5) | 16 (3) | 34 (5) | 23 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 39 | 48 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Joyces Sadieb 2y 6 | J D T Allen — 9% R198 W17 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 48 | 38 (4) | 47 (3) | 38 (4) | 39 (5) | 38 (5) | 42 (4) | 40 (5) | 43 (3) | 41 (4) | 38 (5) | 14 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 45 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Estefans Tuneb 5y 24 | J D T Allen — 9% R198 W17 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 23 (3) | 49 (3) | 43 (2) | 34 (6) | 21 (5) | 25 (6) | 38 (4) | 40 (5) | 21 (1) | 45 (4) | 22 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 39 | 40 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Royston Rubbled 2y 28 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 51 (2) | 18 (5) | 41 (3) | 22 (4) | 61 (1) | 27 (5) | 62 (1) | 62 (1) | 21 (5) | 19 (5) | 33 | 24 | 43 | 41 | 49 | 45 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skidrow Jake | 25.80 | 26.35 | 26.30 | 38 | +0.50 | Best trap, form fading | |
| 2 | Savana Maggiemay | 26.10 | 26.50 | 26.20 | 42 | +0.10 | Weak trap tonight | |
| 3 | Badminton Beach | 25.80 | 26.15 | 26.05 | 56 | +0.25 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Joyces Sadie | 25.75 | 26.10 | 25.90 | 57 | +0.15 | Best speed rating | |
| 5 | Estefans Tune | 26.00 | 26.30 | 26.10 | 50 | +0.10 | Weakest trap tonight | |
| 6 | Royston Rubble | Last raced over 238m — no recent times logged at tonight's 415m trip. | — | Steps up from 238m sprint | ||||
Harlow's four-bend 415-metre trip once more, where the rail draw saves real ground and trap one has been the standout box in this A7 sample at over 23%, with trap five and trap two both weak at around 16%. A7 grade is one of the trickiest to call anywhere in the country, with dogs often in transition between levels, and tonight's field bears that out — several runners are showing mixed recent grades and distances. Royston Rubble holds the best overall figures by some margin but arrives having last run over a much shorter trip, so there's a genuine question mark about how that translates back up in distance. Badminton Beach is the more solid, established performer at this exact trip and grade, with a balanced running style that should cope well with the bends.
Holds the strongest overall figures of this field by some distance, with a couple of big performances in the 60s among her last six starts showing real capability at this level. She last raced over a much shorter sprint trip, though, so there's no recent time data at tonight's 415 metres and how she settles back up in distance is a genuine question. Trap six has been a solid box in this A7 sample, the second-best of the six, and she shows plenty of early pace to get into a forward position even if her tendency is to lose a little ground late. Given the uncertainty around the distance switch, this is backed with real caution rather than conviction.
The fastest dog in the field on recent times and a balanced runner who can race handy or come from behind, a versatile style suited to Harlow's tight bends. Her overall figures are the strongest of this field by the site's blended rating, and she showed a big performance in the mid-60s a few starts back to prove the ability is there. Trap three is a middling box in this A7 sample, but her class edge and the fact the independent model leans her way make her the leading alternative to the selection.
Has the best trap in the field tonight, over 23% the strongest box in this A7 sample, but his recent figures have tailed off sharply from a much higher level a handful of starts back. He's a genuine finisher from off the pace, so the rail draw and ground saved through the bends could help him more than most, but the recent decline in his ratings is hard to ignore even allowing for natural volatility in form.
Finished runner-up last time out and the trainer's win rate at the track is among the best represented in this field, genuine positives. Trap two has been one of the weaker boxes in this A7 sample, though, and as an off-the-pace finisher she'll need traffic to break kindly from a below-average draw. Solid without being spectacular.
A consistent finisher from off the pace with the joint-fastest recent times in the field, finishing third last time out. Her form has been admirably steady across the last six starts without a standout performance to lift her above the pack. Trap four is a reasonable box in this A7 sample, and while the trainer's win rate at the track is on the low side, she's a solid each-way sort tonight.
A balanced runner with a third-place finish last time out, and her recent trajectory has been trending upwards after a couple of modest efforts a few starts back. Trap five has been the weakest box in this A7 sample tonight, which is a real obstacle regardless of the improving form. Capable of another respectable run without looking the type to lead home.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a clear standout in this A7 sample at over 23% from 886 runs. A7 grade is historically one of the least reliable for the model nationally, so structural draw data matters more here than usual.
T1:23.0% T2:16.5% T3:17.0% T4:17.9% T5:16.0% T6:20.2%
5,738 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skidrow Jake | 44 | 57 | Closer |
2Savana Maggiemay | 40 | 62 | Closer |
3Badminton Beach | 52 | 43 | All-Rounder |
4Joyces Sadie | 48 | 62 | Closer |
5Estefans Tune | 54 | 41 | All-Rounder |
6Royston Rubble | 63 | 24 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skidrow Jake | 0.696 | 0.677 |
| 2 | Savana Maggiemay | 0.673 | 0.678 |
| 3 | Badminton Beach | — | 0.674 |
| 4 | Joyces Sadie | — | 0.671 |
| 5 | Estefans Tune | 0.682 | 0.676 |
| 6 | Royston Rubble | 0.684 | 0.671 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.