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Intertrack Vs Dunstall Park
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crafty Cocob 3y 37 | K Wilton — 25% R203 W51 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 48 | 44 (6) | 41 (1) | 74 (2) | 30 (5) | 62 (4) | 57 (4) | 40 (1) | 79 (1) | 40 (1) | 20 (4) | - | 48 | - | 48 | 50 | 49 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Al Be Chloeb 3y 25 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | - | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 23 (3) | 39 (2) | 29 (4) | 30 (3) | 15 (6) | 19 (2) | 16 (5) | 41 (1) | 50 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Flamincloneyd 2y 6 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 32 (2) | 29 (3) | 25 (6) | 29 (4) | 21 (6) | 43 (2) | 41 (1) | 26 (6) | 41 (1) | 49 (4) | 19 | 47 | - | 26 | 32 | 33 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mohican Baled 1y 24 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 39 (6) | 61 (2) | 72 (1) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 23 (5) | 32 (3) | 30 (2) | 24 (6) | 24 (1) | 46 | 61 | 52 | 22 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ayup Sausageb 1y 8 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 46 | 31 (2) | 38 (2) | 42 (1) | 32 (5) | 40 (4) | 43 (4) | 43 0 | 62 (5) | 59 (1) | - | - | 57 | - | 50 | 40 | 44 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kingdom Bucksd 3y 35 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 100 | 65 (3) | 67 (2) | 61 (4) | 72 (4) | 86 (1) | 64 (4) | 69 (3) | 62 (5) | 62 (5) | 52 (5) | 37 | 43 | 32 | 15 | 67 | 51 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crafty Coco | 18.15 | 18.47 | 18.15 | 55 | 0.00 | 3 C&D wins from 5 | |
| 2 | Al Be Chloe | 18.46 | 18.70 | 18.87 | 34 | +0.41 | Best trap, modest form | |
| 3 | Flamincloney | 18.04 | 18.42 | 18.41 | 53 | +0.37 | 9 C&D runs | |
| 4 | Mohican Bale | 18.32 | 18.47 | 18.61 | 45 | +0.29 | Drops in grade | |
| 5 | Ayup Sausage | 17.99 | 18.10 | 18.29 | 62 | +0.30 | Fastest in field | |
| 6 | Kingdom Bucks | 18.24 | 18.49 | 18.41 | 49 | +0.17 | Big class drop |
Another 305m sprint at Nottingham, the fairest trip on the card - trap 2 leads at 22.9% and trap 5 trails at just under 16%, a flat spread compared to the standard trips here. The story of this race is Kingdom Bucks, who has been racing at a much higher level entirely - four of his last five starts have come in the top A1/A2 grade over 480m, and his performance figures dwarf everything else in this field by some distance. Dropping into weaker company at the minimum trip, his early gate speed should be more than enough to get him into a race he should win comfortably even if he fades late. Crafty Coco is the clear danger - she has three wins from five runs at this exact course and distance and is trained by a yard operating at a 30% strike rate, a serious combination. Flamincloney has course-and-distance form running out of her ears with nine runs here, mostly finishing in the frame, and could easily plunder a place if the fancied pair disappoint. Ayup Sausage carries the fastest recorded time in the field and has been racing consistently well locally in recent weeks.
Has been racing at a completely different level to the rest of this field - four of his last five starts came in the top A1/A2 grade over 480m, and his performance figures are 17 points clear of anything else here tonight. Quick away but tends to lose ground late, which would be a concern in a stronger race, but the class gap to this opposition should be more than enough to cover it. No course-and-distance form at this exact trip and the draw isn't the strongest, but a dog racing this far above his current company is the type deep reasoning should back with confidence.
Three wins from her last five runs at this exact course and distance is a hugely persuasive record, and the yard is among the most in-form at the track right now with a 30% strike rate. Finishes strongly from off the pace and has the second-best performance figures in the field. If the selection's class edge doesn't tell early, this is the type who mops up the pieces late.
Drawn in the best-performing trap at this trip but her course-and-distance record here is modest - finishing sixth, second and fifth in her three runs at this exact combination. Recent form has been solid without threatening the principals, with a win last time out over the shorter 270m trip. The draw gives her some hope but the ability looks a level below the leading pair.
Course-and-distance experience running out of her ears with nine runs at this exact trip, mostly finishing in the frame including a second last time out. Races in a balanced style that should suit the shape of this contest, and the third-best trap here has produced plenty of winners. Not quite fast enough to trouble the front two but a fair each-way option.
Has also been dropping down from tougher company recently, including a run in the top grade at 480m last time out, and the third-best performance figures in the field reflect that. Quick away with plenty of early pace but tends to lose ground in the closing stages. A single course-and-distance win in April shows he can handle this trip when things go his way.
Carries the fastest recorded time in the field and has been racing consistently at this exact course and distance in recent weeks, including a win five races back. Drawn in the weakest trap at this trip which is a genuine knock, but the raw pace and recent local form make her worth including in wider vision.
Key insight: Kingdom Bucks carries a performance average 17 points clear of the next-best in the field, built entirely against far stronger A1/A2 opposition at 480m - a genuine class drop rather than a marginal edge.
T1:16.6% T2:22.9% T3:22.3% T4:21.5% T5:15.9% T6:17.7%
1,649 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 305m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 305m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (305m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 305m | 460m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crafty Coco | — | 0.606 | — | — | 0.615 |
| 2 | Al Be Chloe | 0.611 | 0.613 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Flamincloney | — | 0.604 | — | — | 0.625 |
| 4 | Mohican Bale | 0.605 | 0.605 | — | 0.611 | — |
| 5 | Ayup Sausage | — | 0.594 | — | — | 0.629 |
| 6 | Kingdom Bucks | — | — | 0.640 | 0.603 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.