Intertrack Vs Dunstall Park
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mohican Miab 2y 14 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 100 | 36 (6) | 52 (4) | 71 (1) | 62 (2) | 61 (3) | 40 (6) | 45 (5) | 62 (2) | 62 (4) | 71 (1) | 37 | 52 | 36 | 28 | 54 | 52 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mohican Rubyb 1y 6 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 100 | 57 (4) | 72 (1) | 54 (3) | 37 (6) | 40 (6) | 32 (5) | 62 (3) | 50 (5) | - | - | 33 | 15 | - | 23 | 52 | 48 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crokers Alexd 1y 22 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 100 | 34 (3) | 49 (5) | 37 (1) | 22 (4) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 29 (3) | - | - | - | 20 | - | - | - | 33 | 39 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Keefill Bethb 1y 26 | K A Lempard — 20% R41 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 0 | 70 (1) | 54 (3) | 55 (3) | 46 (4) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 31 (2) | 34 (2) | 25 (5) | 23 (6) | 15 | 38 | - | - | 41 | 31 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shianns Gingerb 2y 46 | E Saville — 17% R81 W14 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 0 | 60 (2) | 65 (2) | 44 (6) | 65 (5) | 55 (2) | 48 (2) | 12 (5) | 66 (6) | 83 (2) | - | 29 | 46 | - | - | 56 | 41 | 4 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hitthebottleneild 4y 33 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 0 | 50 (4) | 59 (4) | 69 (2) | 66 (2) | 50 (3) | 64 (3) | 75 (1) | 58 (4) | 72 (1) | 54 (4) | 12 | 42 | 16 | - | 61 | 40 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohican Mia | 28.91 | 29.29 | 29.76 | 61 | +0.85 | Best trap in field | |
| 2 | Mohican Ruby | 29.00 | 29.53 | 29.50 | 59 | +0.50 | Weak trap here | |
| 3 | Crokers Alex | 29.35 | 29.35 | 29.35 | 60 | 0.00 | Good trap, weak form | |
| 4 | Keefill Beth | 29.57 | 29.87 | 29.96 | 37 | +0.39 | Modest figures | |
| 5 | Shianns Ginger | 29.26 | 29.72 | 29.53 | 50 | +0.27 | 2nd-best figures | |
| 6 | Hitthebottleneil | 29.54 | 29.73 | 29.84 | 41 | +0.30 | Best figures, worst trap |
The 480m trip at Nottingham plays tighter than the extra 20 metres suggests - the run to the first bend is short enough that inside draws dominate, with trap 1 winning well over a quarter of races here and trap 3 not far behind, while trap 6 has managed barely one winner in eleven. That split is the whole story of this race: Hitthebottleneil carries the best performance figures in the field by a distance, but he's drawn in the trap that's been almost unwinnable at this trip, and the numbers say don't trust him from there. Mohican Mia, by contrast, sits in the best trap in the race with solid figures of her own and looks the one to take advantage of a prime draw. Shianns Ginger holds the second-best figures and finishes her races strongly, giving her a fair chance if the pace up front gets carried away. Crokers Alex gets the second-best trap but simply lacks the form to make the most of it, while Mohican Ruby and Keefill Beth both need more than they've shown recently to get competitive.
Drawn in the trap that's dominated this trip, winning well over a quarter of races here, and carries solid performance figures of her own to back up the draw. Very consistent in how she races, showing sharp early pace before holding on for a place if not quite winning. The best draw in the race combined with genuine ability makes her the pick over a field where two rivals have better raw figures but far worse traps.
Holds the second-best performance figures in the field and finishes her races strongly from off the pace, which could suit if the pace up front is genuine and the leaders weaken. The trap isn't among the best at this trip but isn't a disaster either. If the selection doesn't have things her own way from the rail, this is the type who could pick up the pieces late.
Solid enough on figures but drawn in a trap that's been well below par at this trip, winning only around 15% of the time. Quick away but fades in the closing stages, and the draw makes it hard to see her getting the run she needs. Others have stronger claims from better boxes.
Gets the second-best trap at this trip, which has produced plenty of winners, but the underlying form simply isn't strong enough to make the most of it - well below the leading pair on recent performance figures. Fast away but fades late. The draw keeps her in the shake-up for a place but a win looks a stretch.
A fair trap for this trip and a genuine hold-up runner who finishes her races strongly, but the performance figures are among the weakest in this field. Recent form has been modest with nothing above midfield. Needs a big step forward to get competitive here.
Carries the best performance figures in the entire field by a distance and finishes strongly from off the pace, which on numbers alone would make him the one to beat. But he's drawn in trap 6, which has produced barely one winner in eleven at this trip - a structural disadvantage that's proven very hard to overcome here regardless of ability. Watch for a big run, but the draw is working firmly against him.
Key insight: Trap 6 has produced barely one winner in eleven runners at Nottingham 480m, meaning Hitthebottleneil's superior figures carry far less weight than they would from a better draw.
T1:28.4% T2:15.2% T3:27.4% T4:20.0% T5:18.1% T6:8.9%
413 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mohican Mia | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Mohican Ruby | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Crokers Alex | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Keefill Beth | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Shianns Ginger | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Hitthebottleneil | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 305m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohican Mia | — | — | 0.610 | — |
| 2 | Mohican Ruby | — | — | 0.615 | — |
| 3 | Crokers Alex | 0.609 | — | 0.611 | — |
| 4 | Keefill Beth | 0.609 | 0.607 | — | 0.623 |
| 5 | Shianns Ginger | — | — | — | 0.619 |
| 6 | Hitthebottleneil | — | — | — | 0.619 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.