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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Creevy Jetd 4y 34 | P D Sanderson — 11% R158 W17 P66 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 10 | 15 | 14 (5) | 34 (5) | 35 (5) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 68 (1) | 22 (3) | 62 (2) | 43 (5) | 35 (4) | 22 | 15 | - | 19 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Thornfield Loveb 5y 23 | J Andrews — 19% R237 W45 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 20 | 40 | 47 (4) | 59 (2) | 61 (2) | 41 (5) | 59 (2) | 35 (6) | 41 (6) | 42 (5) | 47 (3) | 59 (2) | 22 | 22 | - | 29 | 52 | 26 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alannahs Cashoutb 3y 13 | E T Parker — 23% R173 W39 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 43 | 21 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (6) | 23 (5) | 47 (4) | 54 (4) | 55 (2) | 65 (2) | 45 (6) | 53 (3) | 4 | 29 | - | 27 | 34 | 43 | 5 | 13/8JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mistley Memoryb 2yN/R 4 | P Webster — 17% R94 W16 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 62 | 56 (2) | 33 (6) | 61 (1) | 51 (3) | 34 (5) | 45 (5) | 36 (5) | 47 (3) | 36 (5) | 41 (3) | 2 | 23 | - | 18 | 44 | 33 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Battstreet Rebeld 2y 9 | D L Fretwell — 14% R160 W23 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 80 | 57 | 66 (2) | 70 (2) | 79 (1) | 58 (4) | 46 (5) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 64 (3) | 56 (4) | 46 (5) | - | 41 | - | 48 | 67 | 67 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Another Sydd 2y 5 | M A P O'donnell — 16% R262 W43 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 67 | 59 (5) | 38 (1) | 81 (2) | 82 (1) | 79 (1) | 79 (1) | 61 (2) | 43 (6) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 16 | 41 | - | 54 | 65 | 68 | 2 | 13/8JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Another Syd | 29.31 | 29.81 | 29.31 | 85 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Battstreet Rebel | 29.55 | 29.90 | 29.68 | 80 | +0.13 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Alannahs Cashout | 29.77 | 30.05 | 30.47 | 63 | +0.70 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Mistley Memory | 30.10 | 30.68 | 31.02 | 37 | +0.92 | ||
| 2 | Thornfield Love | 30.47 | 31.02 | 31.32 | 20 | +0.85 | ||
| 1 | Creevy Jet | 30.65 | 31.06 | 31.99 | 10 | +1.34 |
Sheffield 500 metres at handicap level where trap 1 dominates at 25.0% from 208 runs and trap 5 is the dead draw at 13.9%. The composite rank 1 dog wins only 20.7% at HP level. This race features two dogs dropping massively in class — Battstreet Rebel and Another Syd have both been running at A3 level and above, producing ratings in the high 70s and 80s that put them in a completely different league to the rest. Another Syd has the fastest speed in the field at 85 and outstanding 500-metre form. Battstreet Rebel has similar class but is trapped in the worst box at 5. The remaining runners are outclassed on the numbers — the only question is which of these two class acts gets home first.
The fastest dog in the field with a speed rating of 85, a first bend rating of 67, and a best 500-metre time of 29.31 — nearly a quarter of a second quicker than anyone else. His 500-metre form before switching to sprints recently reads 81, 82, 79, 79, 61 — outstanding by any measure and light years ahead of a typical HP field. Won his last outing at D2 over 280 metres which was clearly well below his level. Returns to 500 metres here where his best work has been done. Trap 6 wins 16.8% from 226 runs which is better than the structural death of trap 5 where his main rival is drawn. Tends to weaken late but the class gap is so large the fade may not matter.
Absolutely top class on recent form — ratings of 70, 79, 58, 46, 80, 80 from A3 level and above put him in a completely different league to a typical HP field. The second-fastest dog in the field with a speed rating of 80 and a front-running style that should see him lead early. The concern is trap 5, which is the worst-performing draw at Sheffield HP races at just 13.9% from 209 runs. His class should be enough to overcome most fields but being caught wide at the first bend from the worst box gives his main rival the edge.
Drawn in the dominant trap at Sheffield HP races — trap 1 wins 25.0% from 208 runs. A closer who finished 5th last time with a rating of just 34. Form is volatile with ratings swinging between 22 and 68, making him impossible to trust. The class of the two market leaders puts them well beyond reach on current evidence, and even the best trap draw cannot bridge a gap this wide in ability.
Placed second in this race last time with a rating of 59 — proven at course and distance in HP company. Recent form of 59, 61, 41, 59, 35 shows she blows hot and cold. Trap 2 wins 18.6% from 215 runs. In a normal HP field she would be a genuine contender, but the two dropping from A3 level are simply in a different class and her best form falls well short of their worst.
Last three runs were all at D4 grade over 280 metres with ratings of 21, 20, 20 — very poor form. Stepping up to 500 metres from sprint distances is a major ask, and her recent form gives no reason to think she can compete at this level. The speed rating of 63 is respectable but comes from older 500-metre runs, not current form. A closer who could theoretically stay on at the longer trip but needs to improve dramatically.
Finished last in A6 grade last time with a 33 rating and has been inconsistent — a peak of 61 two runs back sandwiched between much poorer efforts. Shows sharp early pace with a decent first bend rating of 62 but weakens significantly in the closing stages with zero closing speed. That fade pattern is a real problem at 500 metres. Trap 4 wins 17.4% from 219 runs which is middling and he would need to find a level of consistency he has not shown recently.
Key insight: T1 dominant at 25.0%. Top two dogs massively above HP class. T5 structural death.
T1:25.0% T2:18.6% T3:16.2% T4:17.4% T5:13.9% T6:16.8%
1,244 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Creevy Jet | 18 | 100 | Closer |
2Thornfield Love | 43 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Alannahs Cashout | 41 | 96 | Closer |
4Mistley Memory | 61 | 0 | Fader |
5Battstreet Rebel | 57 | 49 | Front Runner |
6Another Syd | 65 | 20 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Creevy Jet | 0.616 | 0.621 |
| 2 | Thornfield Love | — | 0.621 |
| 3 | Alannahs Cashout | 0.607 | 0.601 |
| 5 | Battstreet Rebel | — | 0.599 |
| 6 | Another Syd | 0.599 | 0.597 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.