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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Billis Sniperd 2y 29 | G C Wright — 23% R107 W25 P59 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 59 | 57 (2) | 71 (1) | 47 (4) | 58 (3) | 62 (2) | 68 (1) | 45 (5) | 62 (3) | 17 (3) | 9 (6) | 5 | 27 | 23 | 39 | 55 | 32 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Divab 2y 6 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 64 (3) | 81 (1) | 55 (3) | 36 (6) | 40 (6) | 47 (5) | 76 (2) | 53 (5) | 50 (5) | 78 (2) | 30 | 39 | 37 | 31 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ashway Dannyd 1y 12 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 62 | 49 (5) | 69 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 69 | 41 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mallogs Royd 3y 26 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 33 | 51 (3) | 61 (4) | 78 (1) | 75 (1) | 66 (2) | 75 (1) | 63 (2) | 60 (3) | 72 (1) | 74 (1) | 32 | 36 | 32 | 56 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Glengar Islab 2y 28 | S W L Chappell — 27% R41 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 81 (1) | 68 (2) | 30 (4) | 56 (4) | 38 (1) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 35 (3) | 53 (5) | 74 (2) | 43 | 48 | 56 | 45 | 65 | 42 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billis Sniper | 29.00 | 29.38 | 29.15 | 42 | +0.15 | Slowest in field | |
| 2 | Ashway Diva | 28.69 | 29.16 | 29.02 | 53 | +0.33 | Best available trap | |
| 3 | Ashway Danny | 28.96 | 28.96 | 28.96 | 54 | 0.00 | 1 run only | |
| 4 | Mallogs Roy | 28.86 | 29.06 | 29.04 | 52 | +0.18 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Glengar Isla | 28.95 | 29.12 | 29.08 | 49 | +0.13 | Mid-pack |
Valley's standard trip runs over a tight circuit with a short run to the first bend, and it's traditionally a track where early pace holds sway and dogs who finish from off the pace find the tight turns hard to navigate. In this grade, trap 6 has been the standout box at 26%, but that runner is a late withdrawal today, leaving trap 2 as the best of the remaining draws. There's a strong, established front-runner-type in Ashway Danny even though she's only raced once at this level, and the most consistently successful dog in the field, Mallogs Roy, does his best work from behind the pack — a running style that normally works against him here, but his sheer weight of recent winning form at this exact grade and course makes him hard to leave out. Whoever gets there first will take some catching on this tight, compact circuit.
The most proven winner in this field — three wins from his last six starts at this exact course, distance and grade, and every single one of those runs has rated in the 60s or 70s, the strongest and most consistent recent form on offer. He's a confirmed finisher who does his best work from behind the pack, which is normally a tough ask on Valley's tight circuit where the first bend is short and early pace tends to hold sway. But the weight of winning evidence at this precise level is hard to ignore — this isn't a one-off peak, it's a genuine pattern of success. Trap 4 is a touch below the average box in this grade, which is the main structural knock, but the proven ability to get the job done here repeatedly outweighs that concern.
Only one recorded run in the system, but it was an eye-catching effort — the fastest recorded time in this field, the best first-bend figure of anyone here, and a strong early pace that suits a track where getting there first matters. Finished second on that sole outing at this same grade. With just one run to go on, this is genuinely limited evidence rather than proven form, so treat the promise with some caution, but on raw ability shown she's the biggest threat to the selection if that debut effort was no fluke.
Fast away and fades late — a running profile that can work at Valley given the tight bends punish late runs, but he's the slowest of this field on recorded times and his grade context is a small step up from A5/A6 form recently. Finished runner-up last time out at the easier grade. A place chance rather than a winning one on these figures.
Drawn in the second-best trap in this grade and holds the second-fastest recorded time in the field. A balanced runner who doesn't lean too hard on early pace or a late kick, and very consistent through her recent starts — third last time out having won two runs back at this same grade. A genuine place threat with the pace and trap to be involved, even if she lacks the standout proven form of the market leaders.
A balanced, consistent runner who was second last time out at this grade. Sits in the middle of the pack on recorded pace and trap history alike, without a standout figure that separates her from the also-rans. Capable of picking up a place if the front two falter, but lacks a clear route to the win.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the standout box in A4 at Valley over 460m (26.11%) but is a non-runner today, leaving trap 2 as the best available draw at 18.83%. Trap 3 is the weakest at 13.93%. Speed rank 1 wins 23.12%, composite rank 1 wins 24.01% — both solid but not dominant signals at this grade.
T1:16.36% T2:18.83% T3:13.93% T4:15.02% T5:16.42% T6:26.11%
1,314 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Billis Sniper | 56 | 22 | Fader |
2Ashway Diva | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ashway Danny | 63 | 25 | Fader |
4Mallogs Roy | 35 | 76 | Closer |
5Glengar Isla | 43 | 54 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billis Sniper | — | 0.639 |
| 2 | Ashway Diva | — | 0.634 |
| 3 | Ashway Danny | — | 0.636 |
| 4 | Mallogs Roy | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Glengar Isla | 0.631 | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.