Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Afan Louied 3y 5 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 21 (4) | 17 (5) | 17 (5) | 17 (5) | 21 (3) | 23 (2) | 22 (3) | 27 (1) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 19 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Antons Annab 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (4) | 21 (5) | 20 (3) | 18 (3) | 21 (3) | 24 (3) | 25 (2) | 27 (5) | 18 (1) | - | 14 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Home Colleenb 3y 4 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 16 (5) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 28 (1) | 22 (2) | 27 (1) | 18 (4) | 15 (4) | 24 (2) | 19 (2) | 32 | 34 | 21 | 46 | 23 | 27 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mylerstown Sageb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 21 (5) | 15 (6) | 25 (2) | 25 (3) | 15 (5) | 16 (6) | 18 (6) | 25 (4) | 24 (3) | 32 (1) | 43 | 28 | 16 | 15 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Knockmant Zeeb 3y 18 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 29 (1) | 39 (4) | 15 (6) | 31 (1) | 26 (2) | 17 (5) | 31 (1) | 22 (3) | 27 (1) | 38 (4) | 32 | 27 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 24 | 2 | 15/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Faradays Larryd 2yN/R 6 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 32 (5) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 19 (6) | 55 (4) | 67 (1) | 35 | 27 | 34 | 15 | 24 | 26 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afan Louie | 16.70 | 17.02 | 17.14 | 44 | +0.44 | Slowest, form dip | |
| 2 | Antons Anna | 16.71 | 17.02 | 16.90 | 48 | +0.19 | Steady | |
| 3 | Home Colleen | 16.55 | 17.06 | 16.82 | 50 | +0.27 | Danger, consistent | |
| 4 | Mylerstown Sage | 16.49 | 16.89 | 17.15 | 50 | +0.66 | Weak trap | |
| 5 | Knockmant Zee | 16.49 | 16.90 | 17.26 | 48 | +0.77 | Closer, oppose | |
| 6 | Faradays Larry | 16.48 | 16.84 | 16.88 | 55 | +0.40 | Model pick |
Minimum trip once more at Valley, where trap 6 has been the best box in this grade at over 24% from 271 runs, with trap 4 the weakest. There's a confirmed closer in this field in Knockmant Zee — a running style that doesn't work at 260 metres here regardless of how well he finishes elsewhere — while Faradays Larry combines the best trap in the grade with the fastest recorded time and the sharpest early pace of anyone lined up, exactly the profile that wins at this trip. Home Colleen has been the most consistent finisher in the field recently despite a modest trap. Whoever's quickest away from the good boxes should dictate matters.
Drawn in trap 6, comfortably the best box in this grade at over 24% from 271 runs, and holds both the fastest recorded time in the field and by far the sharpest early pace figures. He tends to be at his best early and can lose ground late, but at this minimum trip that matters far less than getting there first — and getting there first from the best box in the grade is exactly what he's set up to do. Third last time out and won two runs back, with a very consistent pace pattern throughout. The clearest combination of trap, speed and early pace in the race.
The most consistent finisher in this field over her last six starts — mostly first or second, with only one finish outside the frame. Two of those placed efforts came at the easier D6 grade, so there's a slight question about carrying that form up a level, but she's among the tied-fastest on recorded times too. Trap 3 has been a below-par box in this grade, which is the main knock against an otherwise strong recent record.
Form has been on the slide — fifth in each of his last three starts having been more competitive a little further back. The slowest dog in the field on recorded times and drawn in a below-par trap for this grade. Hard to find a strong case for him against sharper rivals here.
A steady if unremarkable minor-placer — mostly third and fourth in her recent starts without threatening the front two. Trap 2 has been a reasonably good box in this grade and her pace figures are around the middle of the field. More likely to pick up a place than win from here.
Mixed recent form with a couple of placed efforts among some well-beaten finishes, including last time out. Drawn in trap 4, which has been the weakest box in this grade. Nothing in his recent figures suggests he's ready to trouble the front of this field.
Drawn in a good trap for this grade, but he's a confirmed finisher who does his best work from off the pace — a running style that simply doesn't suit this minimum trip, where there's no time for a closing run to land. Ran over the longer 460 metres last time out at a tougher grade, adding a distance switch into the mix as well. The trap alone isn't enough to overcome the running-style concern here.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the best box in D5 at Valley over 260m (24.35%), trap 4 the weakest (13.91%). Speed rank 1 wins 30.43%, an exceptionally strong signal in this grade — and the pick leads the field on that measure from the best trap.
T1:15.38% T2:21.23% T3:15.93% T4:13.91% T5:22.46% T6:24.35%
1,936 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afan Louie | 0.655 | — |
| 2 | Antons Anna | 0.655 | — |
| 3 | Home Colleen | 0.655 | — |
| 4 | Mylerstown Sage | 0.650 | — |
| 5 | Knockmant Zee | 0.649 | 0.657 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.