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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burkos Bonnieb 3y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 30 (1) | 25 (2) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 21 (4) | 25 (3) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 23 (4) | 21 | 21 | - | 32 | 24 | 25 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Inner Cityb 3y 15 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 19 (6) | 20 (5) | 29 (2) | 30 (2) | 29 (4) | 32 (3) | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 54 | 40 | 20 | 18 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Breaking Stonesd 4y 25 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 23 (4) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 33 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 33 (1) | 17 (5) | 19 (3) | 28 (2) | 48 | 35 | 46 | 46 | 26 | 21 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Crokers Mapleb 2y 7 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 27 (3) | 28 (2) | 34 (4) | 31 (5) | 19 (3) | 19 (6) | 32 (1) | 30 (1) | 43 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 25 | 30 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Jasminb 2y 10 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 22 (2) | 27 (2) | 29 (1) | 20 (4) | 26 (1) | 21 (3) | 25 (2) | 18 (3) | 23 (2) | 21 (2) | 15 | 29 | 20 | 48 | 24 | 26 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkos Bonnie | 16.57 | 16.88 | 16.57 | 51 | 0.00 | Grade rise | |
| 2 | Inner City | 16.29 | 16.64 | 17.30 | 49 | +1.01 | Form dip | |
| 3 | Breaking Stones | 16.33 | 16.74 | 16.91 | 53 | +0.58 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Crokers Maple | 16.54 | 16.82 | 16.74 | 51 | +0.20 | Mixed pace data | |
| 5 | Hawkfield Jasmin | 16.71 | 16.93 | 16.77 | 45 | +0.06 | Best trap, danger |
Another minimum-trip sprint at Valley, where trap 5 has been the standout box in this grade over more than 2,300 runs at 22.55%, with trap 1 the weakest at under 16%. Speed rank 1 is the strongest single signal in this dataset at nearly 26%, and here that belongs to Breaking Stones, who's also been the most consistent performer in the field with two wins and mostly top-two finishes across her last six starts. Hawkfield Jasmin holds the best trap in the race but is the slowest on the clock and steps up two grades from D6 company. Burkos Bonnie arrives on the back of a win at the easier D5 level. Whoever's sharpest away from the traps in the middle boxes should dictate this one.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and by some distance the most consistent — two wins and four runner-up or better finishes across her last six starts, without a poor run mixed in. Trap 3 hasn't been a standout box in this grade on its own, but speed rank has been the single strongest signal at this course and distance, and she leads the field comfortably on that measure. Trainer A L Jeffery is among the strongest in the meeting at close to a 30% strike rate. The combination of raw pace and rock-solid recent form makes her the one to beat.
Drawn in trap 5, comfortably the best box in this grade at over 22% from nearly 2,300 runs — a genuine structural plus. The concern is she's the slowest dog in the field on recorded times and steps up two grades from D6 company, a bigger jump than any other runner faces today. Placed second last time out at the lower level. If the step up in class doesn't faze her, the trap alone gives her a puncher's chance, but it's asking a lot in one leap.
Won last time out but at the easier D5 grade and steps up to D4 today. Her recorded pace is mid-table for this field and she's drawn in trap 1, which has been the weakest box in this grade. A capable performer who'll need to find more against sharper opposition at this level.
Form has cooled off recently — fifth, sixth and fifth in her last three starts, though she was in the frame with a couple of second-place finishes a little further back. Middling recorded pace and a fair trap in this grade, but the recent dip in form is hard to overlook against fitter-looking rivals.
A fast-starting sort on paper who tends to fade late, though her underlying pace data is mixed and inconsistent between runs. Third last time out having also raced at the tougher A6 grade over the longer trip recently. Trap 4 is a fair rather than standout box in this grade. Nothing here jumps off the page as a winning case.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the standout box in D4 at Valley over 260m (22.55%), trap 1 the weakest (15.63%). Speed rank 1 wins 25.88%, the strongest single signal — and the pick leads the field on that measure alongside the most consistent recent form.
T1:15.63% T2:17.27% T3:16.62% T4:17.11% T5:22.55% T6:20.74%
2,309 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkos Bonnie | 0.649 | — |
| 2 | Inner City | 0.640 | — |
| 3 | Breaking Stones | 0.644 | — |
| 4 | Crokers Maple | 0.646 | 0.659 |
| 5 | Hawkfield Jasmin | 0.651 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.