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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hawkfield Jackieb 2y 18 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 54 (4) | 39 (1) | 47 (6) | 39 (2) | 69 (1) | 39 (1) | 29 (4) | 33 (4) | 25 (6) | 38 (1) | 25 | 28 | 10 | 42 | 35 | 34 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Codingb 2y 11 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 38 (1) | 57 (2) | 39 (1) | 69 (1) | 25 (5) | 38 (1) | 38 (1) | 20 (5) | 26 (5) | 34 (1) | 35 | 35 | 19 | 48 | 32 | 25 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Roanna Smileyb 2y 15 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 18 (6) | 77 (3) | 29 (5) | 36 (3) | 39 (1) | 26 (5) | 39 (2) | 39 (1) | 38 (1) | 31 (1) | 36 | 49 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 37 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Burkos Delaneyd 2y 9 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 76 (3) | 79 (3) | 30 (5) | 38 (2) | 45 (5) | 83 (1) | 39 (2) | 43 (1) | 34 (2) | 29 (4) | 41 | 38 | 26 | 24 | 36 | 37 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashway Blastoffd 3y 5 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (5) | 91 (2) | 92 (3) | 35 (2) | 43 (1) | 43 (1) | 32 (3) | 54 (6) | 68 (3) | 77 (2) | 34 | 53 | 39 | 53 | 38 | 40 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gizmo Mysteriousb 1y 8 | J L Morris — 28% R18 W5 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 100 (1) | 30 (3) | 28 (4) | 37 (1) | 20 (6) | 35 (2) | 33 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (1) | - | 37 | 43 | 14 | 45 | 30 | 34 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Jackie | 16.07 | 16.37 | 16.13 | 56 | +0.06 | Danger | |
| 2 | Coding | 16.14 | 16.57 | 16.14 | 51 | 0.00 | Distance switch | |
| 3 | Roanna Smiley | 16.09 | 16.37 | 16.49 | 50 | +0.40 | OR form | |
| 4 | Burkos Delaney | 16.10 | 16.36 | 16.50 | 50 | +0.40 | OR form | |
| 5 | Ashway Blastoff | 16.13 | 16.29 | 16.52 | 50 | +0.39 | Strong OR form | |
| 6 | Gizmo Mysterious | 16.34 | 16.57 | 16.44 | 43 | +0.10 | Model pick, class drop |
Minimum trip again at Valley, where trap 6 has been the standout box in this grade at 27% from 200 runs — the best trap figure of any grade at this course and distance today — with trap 2 the weakest. Gizmo Mysterious drops into trap 6 having just won at open-race level last time out, a big step down in company that should make him hard to beat if he brings anything like that form with him. Hawkfield Jackie is the fastest in the field on recorded times and also arrives on the back of a recent win, stepping up just one grade rather than two. A handful of these runners have been dabbling in open-class company recently, which tells you the depth in this field runs deeper than the grade letters alone suggest.
Won last time out at open-race level — a big step up in class from today's grade — and now drops back down two levels into a field he should have plenty in hand for on that evidence. Trap 6 has been comfortably the best box in this grade at 27% from 200 runs, adding a genuine structural plus to the class edge. His recorded times through the rest of his campaign look modest, but they were largely set at lower grades before this recent open-race breakthrough, which is the form that matters most now. Trainer J L Morris is the strongest in the field at close to a 32% strike rate. The combination of a big class drop, the best trap in the grade and a red-hot trainer makes this the clearest case in the race.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and won last time out at the grade below, stepping up just one level today. Drawn in trap 1, the second-best box in this grade behind only trap 6. A balanced runner without an obvious weakness, and the closest thing to a genuine rival to the selection on raw pace and recent form combined.
Has been chopping and changing between the minimum trip and the standard 460 metres recently, including a placed effort in tougher company at that longer distance last time out. Very consistent when she does race well, but the switch back to the sprint and the weakest trap in this grade both work against her.
Ran on at open-race level last time out and picked up a place there, showing she can live with better company. Her recorded pace and trap are both around the middle of the pack for this field, and her form through the rest of her recent starts has been steady without a standout win. A place claim rather than a clear winning one.
Has run third in open-race company in each of her last two starts, showing she's competitive against much stronger fields than this. A balanced, very consistent runner, though her recorded pace and trap here are both unremarkable. The class shown recently gives her some claims despite the ordinary surface figures.
Runner-up in an open-race last time out, a genuinely strong effort against tougher opposition than she faces today, and she's been remarkably consistent through her recent starts. Her recorded pace sits mid-field and trap 5 has been a below-par box in this grade, but the quality of her recent form makes her a live outsider capable of running into the frame.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the standout box in D2 at Valley over 260m (27% from 200 runs) — the strongest single-trap figure across today's grades. Trap 2 is the weakest at 15.95%. The pick combines this trap edge with a significant class drop from a recent open-race win.
T1:20.94% T2:15.95% T3:18.33% T4:16.89% T5:16.04% T6:27.00%
1,294 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkfield Jackie | 0.634 | 0.638 |
| 2 | Coding | 0.633 | 0.635 |
| 3 | Roanna Smiley | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Burkos Delaney | 0.629 | 0.636 |
| 5 | Ashway Blastoff | 0.627 | 0.630 |
| 6 | Gizmo Mysterious | 0.635 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.