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Newcastle Greyhounds On Sky Sports Racing Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Neemsb 4y 15 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 41 | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 57 (4) | 53 (5) | 57 (4) | 73 (3) | 73 (2) | 58 (3) | 83 (1) | 77 (2) | 28 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 64 | 52 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyhimikin Megb 1y 14 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 37 | 75 (1) | 76 (1) | 38 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 47 | - | 50 | 65 | 25 | 6 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mackcoold 2y 17 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 59 (3) | 51 (4) | 74 (1) | 53 (5) | 57 (4) | 83 (1) | 64 (4) | 78 (3) | 77 (1) | - | 29 | 26 | 8 | 28 | 63 | 48 | 4 | 13/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Our Chiefd 2y 36 | D Winder — 15% R138 W21 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 78 (1) | 58 (3) | 56 (4) | 57 (4) | 64 (2) | 56 (4) | 80 (1) | 51 (5) | 63 (4) | 52 (4) | 15 | 21 | 26 | 29 | 63 | 42 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Crooks Stevied 3y 15 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 53 | 59 (4) | 51 (4) | 58 (4) | 64 (5) | 78 (2) | 80 (3) | 73 (4) | 77 (2) | 56 (6) | 71 (3) | 34 | 50 | - | 17 | 64 | 50 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Safe Visionb 2y 25 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 54 (5) | 40 (6) | 89 (2) | 34 (3) | 75 (3) | 52 (2) | 58 (5) | 72 (3) | 55 (4) | 66 (1) | 9 | 9 | - | 9 | 58 | 40 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Neems | 28.94 | 29.37 | 29.06 | 57 | +0.12 | Placed 2nd LTO | |
| 2 | Ballyhimikin Meg | 30.62 | 30.62 | 30.62 | 0 | 0.00 | Lightly raced, thin data | |
| 3 | Mackcool | 29.03 | 29.41 | 29.42 | 50 | +0.39 | 40% C&D win rate | |
| 4 | Our Chief | 29.18 | 29.38 | 29.20 | 52 | +0.02 | Won LTO, stepping up | |
| 5 | Crooks Stevie | 28.89 | 29.15 | 29.39 | 58 | +0.50 | Fastest, but 0 C&D wins | |
| 6 | Safe Vision | 29.13 | 29.38 | 29.40 | 49 | +0.27 | Ex-Open Race class |
Newcastle's 480 metres is a fair galloping test with a long home straight, so closers get time to work into their races rather than being shut out early. At A3 level here the composite model is actually one of the weaker guides around, with the top-rated dog winning under 18% of the time - the fastest dog in the field is a far more reliable pointer, winning over 23% historically. Crooks Stevie clocks the fastest recorded time and drops in from a much higher grade, but has never actually won at this course and distance in ten attempts, which is a mark against him. Ballymac Neems, not far behind on the clock, finished a close second last time out and is a proven finisher who should be doing his best work in the closing stages. Mackcool has the best course and distance record of anyone in this field and will be involved throughout, while Ballyhimikin Meg is lightly raced and hard to assess on the clock but has a big early season form.
Finished a close second last time out with a strong rating of 72 and is the model's top-rated dog in this field. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought one win and four places - a reasonable if not spectacular record - and he's a proven finisher who closes out his races well, which suits the long home straight here. Second-fastest in the field on the clock behind only Crooks Stevie, and arrives in good current form.
Clocks the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field and drops in from a much higher grade, having raced as high as the top open grade in the past - a genuine class edge if he takes to today's level. Trainer S Caile has the best win rate in this race at 30%. The concern is a blank course and distance record - ten runs here without a single win - which is hard to ignore given how often he's tried.
Has the best course and distance record in this entire field - four wins and four places from ten runs, a 40% strike rate that stands out. Trainer S Caile shares the best win rate in the race at 30%. A fader who shows good pace but weakens late, and drawn in the best box at this grade, which gives him a real chance if the pace collapses in front of him.
Won last time out with the best rating of anyone in this field at 78, and steps up in grade off the back of that performance rather than being found out. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and three places, a fair record. A fader who shows plenty of pace but tends to weaken late, which could be a factor stepping up to face stronger opposition tonight.
Has dropped in sharply from the top Open Race grade, and one run five back rated 89 - the best figure anyone in this race has produced recently - shows the raw ability is there. But form has been volatile since, and ten runs at this course and distance have brought no wins. A confirmed closer who needs the pace to be strong up front, and drawn in the weakest box at this grade doesn't help.
Won a handicap last time out with a big rating of 75, but she's lightly raced with only three runs recorded and the clock readings here are unreliable given how little data there is. A fader by profile with a perfect record in a tiny course and distance sample of three. Impossible to fully trust given how little evidence there is either way, but the underlying form suggests she shouldn't be dismissed lightly.
Key insight: The composite model is genuinely unreliable at A3 here - its top pick wins under 18%, actually behind the second-rated dog. The fastest dog in the field is the stronger signal, winning 23.08% of the time historically.
T1:21.07% T2:16.3% T3:21.45% T4:21.04% T5:14.9% T6:15.09%
1,937 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Neems | 44 | 76 | Closer |
2Ballyhimikin Meg | 44 | 0 | Fader |
3Mackcool | 56 | 44 | Fader |
4Our Chief | 58 | 41 | Fader |
5Crooks Stevie | 56 | 56 | All-Rounder |
6Safe Vision | 20 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Neems | — | — | 0.612 | — |
| 2 | Ballyhimikin Meg | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 3 | Mackcool | — | — | 0.613 | — |
| 4 | Our Chief | — | — | 0.612 | — |
| 5 | Crooks Stevie | — | — | 0.607 | — |
| 6 | Safe Vision | 0.598 | 0.614 | 0.611 | 0.552 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.