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Watch Newcastle Greyhounds On TRP Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mongys Sapphireb 3y 7 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 53 | 38 (6) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 46 (3) | 47 (4) | 65 (1) | 37 (5) | 35 (6) | 40 (5) | 51 (2) | 13 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ngumohaaad 2y 7 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 43 (5) | 57 (1) | 34 (5) | 48 (2) | 42 (3) | 43 (4) | 43 (3) | 60 (2) | 57 (3) | 70 (1) | 29 | 29 | 20 | 36 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mister Dipperd 2y 6 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 36 (6) | 41 (5) | 49 (3) | 48 (5) | 69 (3) | 57 (1) | 55 (3) | 68 (5) | 61 (1) | - | 17 | 5 | 45 | - | 54 | 43 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Nuked 1y 7 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 68 | 47 (4) | 57 (2) | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 57 (1) | 41 (3) | 43 (5) | 59 (3) | 34 (6) | 46 (2) | 32 | 29 | 15 | 29 | 46 | 46 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lexis Bulletb 2y 9 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 62 (1) | 44 (4) | 46 (4) | 36 (5) | 53 (3) | 45 (5) | 53 (3) | 47 (4) | 66 (1) | 51 (2) | 24 | 34 | 21 | 16 | 47 | 35 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Ozb 2y 6 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 42 | 49 (3) | 41 (4) | 45 (3) | 59 (1) | 44 (4) | 49 (3) | 43 (4) | 39 (6) | 44 (3) | 57 (3) | 20 | 25 | 34 | 19 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mongys Sapphire | 29.73 | 29.92 | 30.01 | 51 | +0.28 | Drops in grade | |
| 2 | Ngumohaaa | 29.80 | 30.10 | 29.80 | 49 | 0.00 | Won LTO, model pick | |
| 3 | Mister Dipper | 29.71 | 29.96 | 29.95 | 51 | +0.24 | Little C&D proven form | |
| 4 | Alnwick Nuke | 29.76 | 30.09 | 29.76 | 51 | 0.00 | Placed 2nd LTO, barely finishes | |
| 5 | Lexis Bullet | 29.76 | 29.97 | 30.13 | 48 | +0.37 | Drops in grade | |
| 6 | Easy Oz | 29.69 | 29.95 | 30.10 | 50 | +0.41 | Weakest trainer in field |
Newcastle's 480 metres remains a fair galloping test where trap 4 has edged it as the best box at A7 level at 22.06%, with traps 1 and 2 the weakest. This is a tightly-matched field with the speed figures bunched together, so recent form and finishing power carry extra weight. Ngumohaaa won last time out with the best rating anyone here has shown recently and steps up in grade with confidence, and as a closer she should be well suited to the long home straight. Alnwick Nuke shares the model's top rating and was a close second last time out, but he's a fader who barely finishes his races at all, which is a real worry on this track. Mister Dipper carries the highest average rating on paper but has almost no proven form at this course and distance to back it up.
Won last time out with the best rating of anyone in this field and steps up in grade off the back of it rather than being dropped in to find an easier race. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and four places, a useful record. A closer who should be doing her best work in the closing stages, which fits Newcastle's long run to the finish well, and she shares the model's top rating here too.
Shares the model's top rating and was a close second last time out with a strong figure of 57. Trainer A Harrison has the best win rate in this race at 24%, and he's drawn in the best box at this grade too. The concern is his running style - he shows plenty of pace early but barely finishes his races at all, which could leave him vulnerable to the better closers here.
Carries the highest average performance rating in this field and clocked the fastest recorded time, but has almost nothing to show for it at this course and distance with just four runs and no wins or places. Recent grade has dropped from a level above, which should help, but the lack of proven course and distance form is a real gap in the case for him.
Drops down in grade after a well-beaten run last time out, and his course and distance record of one win and two places from ten is modest. An all-rounder without a clear standout attribute, drawn in the weakest box at this grade, which adds another obstacle to overcome.
Drops in from a tougher grade after finishing fourth last time out, and his course and distance record of one win and two places from ten is unremarkable. Races as an all-rounder without a clear pace advantage over this field, and the weakest trainer win rate here doesn't help his case.
A closer with a reasonable finishing kick but only one win and one place from ten runs at this course and distance. Trainer win rate is the weakest in the entire field at just 10%. Would need most of the field ahead of him to underperform to feature in the finish.
Key insight: The composite top pick wins 19.73% at A7 here, a modest edge, with trap 4 clearly the best box and traps 1 and 2 the weakest at this grade.
T1:15.63% T2:15.49% T3:21.04% T4:22.06% T5:16.36% T6:20.39%
2,202 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mongys Sapphire | 51 | 52 | All-Rounder |
2Ngumohaaa | 43 | 60 | Closer |
3Mister Dipper | 49 | 48 | All-Rounder |
4Alnwick Nuke | 64 | 8 | Fader |
5Lexis Bullet | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Easy Oz | 45 | 64 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mongys Sapphire | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Ngumohaaa | 0.628 | — |
| 3 | Mister Dipper | 0.625 | 0.571 |
| 4 | Alnwick Nuke | 0.631 | — |
| 5 | Lexis Bullet | 0.624 | — |
| 6 | Easy Oz | 0.625 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.