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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highview Cutieb 3y 8 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 31 | 47 (3) | 37 (5) | 42 (3) | 56 (1) | 47 (4) | 57 (1) | 47 (3) | 47 (3) | 39 (5) | 37 (5) | 31 | 25 | - | 17 | 46 | 46 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Howtimeflysb 2y 9 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 54 (2) | 49 (2) | 71 (1) | 59 (3) | 52 (2) | 53 (2) | 71 (1) | 71 (1) | 56 (2) | 50 (5) | 50 | 46 | 36 | 56 | 59 | 51 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Five Alley Lunab 2y 8 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 63 | 56 (1) | 42 (3) | 42 (2) | 36 (3) | 53 (1) | 41 (2) | - | - | - | - | 47 | 40 | 28 | 45 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wirtz Classb 3yREP 14 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 27 | 31 (5) | 32 (5) | 57 (1) | 43 (3) | 43 (3) | 41 (3) | 48 (2) | 33 (5) | 42 (3) | 71 (1) | 26 | 23 | 16 | 24 | 42 | 37 | 3 | 11/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Howay Mabelb 2y 1 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Girl Of Exileb 2y 17 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 30 (5) | 38 (5) | 41 (4) | 52 (3) | 40 (6) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 42 (5) | 57 (1) | 47 (3) | 20 | 29 | 25 | 20 | 45 | 41 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Cutie | 29.78 | 30.01 | 29.86 | 53 | +0.08 | Best trainer, strong finisher | |
| 2 | Howtimeflys | 29.82 | 29.94 | 30.07 | 51 | +0.25 | Model pick, 80% C&D place | |
| 3 | Five Alley Luna | 29.90 | 30.26 | 29.90 | 46 | 0.00 | Won LTO, stepping up | |
| 4 | Whitehills Enzo | 29.76 | 30.01 | 30.34 | 46 | +0.58 | Well beaten LTO | |
| 5 | Howay Mabel | No recent races on file - a complete unknown with nothing to judge her on. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 6 | Girl Of Exile | 29.78 | 29.98 | 30.19 | 49 | +0.41 | Steady, unspectacular | |
The last race of the card at Newcastle over the fair 480 metre trip, where trap 4 remains the best box at A7 level and traps 1 and 2 the weakest historically. Howtimeflys is the clear standout on the data here - the model's top pick, the highest average rating in the field, and an outstanding course and distance record with eight places from ten runs. Highview Cutie is a strong finisher with the best trainer in the race and should be doing his best work late on this long home straight. Five Alley Luna arrives on the back of a win at a lower grade and steps up with confidence, while Howay Mabel has no recorded form at all and is a complete unknown to close out the card.
Stands out clearly on the data in this last race of the card - the highest average rating in the field and an outstanding course and distance record of four wins and eight places from ten runs. Placed second last time out and has hit career-best figures of 71 twice in recent memory, showing there's more in reserve. An all-rounder who can adapt to the shape of the race, which gives him options whichever way this one is run.
The fastest recorded time among the rated runners in this field and a proven finisher who closes out his races strongly, which suits Newcastle's long home straight well. Trainer S Caile has the best win rate in this race at 30%. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and two places - a fair if unspectacular record - but the combination of pace, finishing power and a strong trainer makes him the clearest threat to the top pick.
Won last time out at a lower grade and steps up in class off the back of that form. Six runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and four places, a useful record. A fader who shows good early pace but doesn't have much left in the tank late, which is a concern on this long straight if the pace holds up in front of her.
A versatile all-rounder with a modest course and distance record of two wins and two places from ten runs. Recent form has been steady without threatening the principals, and the weakest trainer win rate in the field doesn't help her case tonight.
Well beaten last time out and carries the lowest average performance rating among the rated dogs in this field. A closer with some finishing pace but the overall form has been modest, even with a course and distance record of three wins and three places from ten offering some encouragement. Drawn in the best box at this grade, which is his main asset.
A complete unknown to close out the card, with no recorded races on file to judge her on at all. Her trainer J J Fenwick also fielded a similarly unraced runner earlier on the card, so this looks like a fresh string finding its feet. Impossible to make a genuine case either way with no form to reference.
Key insight: The composite top pick wins 19.73% at A7 here, but Howtimeflys' individual profile - best average rating and an outstanding 80% course and distance place record - is well clear of a typical naked top pick.
T1:15.63% T2:15.49% T3:21.04% T4:22.06% T5:16.36% T6:20.39%
2,202 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Highview Cutie | 34 | 96 | Closer |
2Howtimeflys | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
3Five Alley Luna | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Wirtz Class | 33 | 86 | Closer |
5Howay Mabel | — | — | No data |
6Girl Of Exile | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.