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The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woe Coletteb 3y 9 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 73 (1) | 56 (3) | 61 (3) | 63 (2) | 37 (6) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 45 (2) | - | 31 | 27 | 15 | 20 | 56 | 47 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Two Votesb 1y 4 | D Winder — 15% R138 W21 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 60 (2) | 61 (3) | 69 (1) | 34 (6) | 55 (2) | 46 (4) | 47 (4) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 29 (6) | 35 | 21 | 11 | 30 | 54 | 46 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollywell Candyb 1y 17 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 65 (1) | 59 (1) | 48 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 64 | 51 | - | 62 | 58 | 52 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Coppice Siouxb 2y 17 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 49 (4) | 40 (5) | 55 (3) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 47 (4) | 42 (5) | 40 (5) | 55 (3) | 58 (2) | 23 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 39 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jackos Flyted 1y 1 | D Winder — 15% R138 W21 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 24 | 39 | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 22 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crooks Nottofard 1y 6 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 57 (3) | 63 (1) | 56 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 47 | - | 43 | 59 | 52 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woe Colette | 29.31 | 29.65 | 29.75 | 52 | +0.44 | Steady, versatile | |
| 2 | Two Votes | 29.38 | 29.82 | 29.53 | 51 | +0.15 | Placed 2nd LTO | |
| 3 | Hollywell Candy | 29.27 | 29.78 | 29.27 | 58 | 0.00 | Won LTO, improving fast | |
| 4 | Coppice Sioux | 29.36 | 29.77 | 29.78 | 48 | +0.42 | Steady but unspectacular | |
| 5 | Jackos Flyte | 30.14 | 30.14 | 30.14 | 24 | 0.00 | Only 1 race logged | |
| 6 | Crooks Nottofar | 29.51 | 29.68 | 29.58 | 51 | +0.07 | Best trainer, fades late |
Newcastle's 480 metres remains a fair, galloping test where trap 3 has been the standout box at A5 level, winning 22.9% of races, with traps 2 and 6 the weakest. Hollywell Candy has been in tremendous recent form, winning her last start at a lower grade and improving with every run, and now steps up sharply in class - the fastest dog in this field on the clock and drawn in the best box at this grade too. Crooks Nottofar carries the highest average rating and the best trainer record here, but he's a fader who tends to weaken late, which could leave him vulnerable on this long home straight. Woe Colette and Two Votes both race as steady, versatile types who should be involved without necessarily having the pace to dominate, while Jackos Flyte has barely any recorded form to judge him on.
In tremendous recent form, winning last time out and improving with each of her last three starts. Steps up two grades tonight, which is a step into the unknown at this level, but she's the fastest dog in the field on the clock and drawn in the best box at this grade, which gives her every chance of adapting quickly. An all-rounder who can adjust to however the race unfolds. The trajectory here is the story - she looks to be improving fast.
Carries the highest average performance rating in this field and his trainer S Caile has the best win rate in the race at 30%. A fader who shows good pace but tends to weaken in the closing stages, which is a slight concern on Newcastle's long run to the line where finishers often prevail. Still, the level of his recent form and the strength of his training operation make him hard to leave out.
A versatile all-rounder with a modest course and distance record of one win and three places from ten runs. Recent form has been up and down without a clear trend either way. Should race handy without obviously having the turn of foot to trouble the leading pair in this race.
Placed second last time out and has a reasonable course and distance record of two wins and four places from ten runs. A closer who does her best work late, which suits the track, but her overall pace figures are a touch behind the leading contenders in this field.
Ten runs at this course and distance have produced just one win and two places, a modest return, and his recent form has been steady without threatening to challenge the principals. Drawn in a reasonable box at this grade but the underlying figures don't inspire much confidence against this opposition.
Only one recorded race to judge him on, a fifth-place finish last time out with the slowest recorded time in this field. There simply isn't enough evidence to make a case for him at this level, and what evidence there is points well below the level needed to trouble this field.
Key insight: The composite top pick wins 22.62% at A5 here, a solid and workable edge over the field, with trap 3 clearly the best box at this grade.
T1:19.47% T2:16.75% T3:22.9% T4:20.36% T5:16.53% T6:16.57%
2,496 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Woe Colette | 52 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Two Votes | 41 | 69 | Closer |
3Hollywell Candy | 49 | 52 | All-Rounder |
4Coppice Sioux | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Jackos Flyte | 41 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Crooks Nottofar | 58 | 33 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.