@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salahs The Goatd 2y 34 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (4) | 24 (1) | 32 (1) | 35 (5) | 41 (5) | 45 (4) | 37 (5) | 71 (2) | 77 (1) | 48 (5) | 4 | 28 | - | 50 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Midtown Romeod 1y 26 | D Winder — 15% R138 W21 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 68 (1) | 67 (1) | 52 (4) | 54 (4) | 42 (5) | 37 (5) | 60 (2) | 61 (3) | 46 (4) | 42 (6) | 30 | 26 | - | - | 56 | 29 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bramble Gibsond 3y 27 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 17 (5) | 21 (6) | 31 (4) | 29 (3) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 26 (3) | 55 (3) | 37 (4) | 39 (6) | 14 | 22 | 23 | 15 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Left Unreadb 1y 6 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 39 (5) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 45 (4) | 38 (6) | 41 | 20 | 37 | 40 | 32 | 29 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fruity Spriteb 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 37 (3) | 37 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 22 (5) | 22 (5) | 27 (3) | 31 (2) | 25 (4) | 31 (2) | 26 | 34 | 23 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Now Were Flyinb 2y 45 | P Singlewood — 18% R122 W22 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 44 (5) | 64 (2) | 52 (4) | 71 (2) | 82 (1) | 42 (6) | 79 (1) | 62 (2) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 42 | 44 | - | - | 60 | 16 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salahs The Goat | 17.42 | 17.42 | 17.42 | 51 | 0.00 | 2/2 at C&D, small sample | |
| 2 | Midtown Romeo | All recent form from 480m - no times recorded at 290m. Completely unproven at this trip. | — | Never raced this trip | ||||
| 3 | Bramble Gibson | 17.34 | 17.61 | 18.10 | 39 | +0.76 | Slowest recent time | |
| 4 | Left Unread | 17.37 | 17.46 | 17.40 | 51 | +0.03 | 40% C&D, placed LTO | |
| 5 | Fruity Sprite | 17.26 | 17.59 | 17.43 | 50 | +0.17 | Fastest recorded time | |
| 6 | Now Were Flyin | All recent form from 480m A3 grade - no times recorded at 290m. Completely unproven at this trip. | — | Never raced this trip | ||||
A sprint over Newcastle's minimum trip of 290 metres, where early pace and gate speed settle far more races than raw performance ratings ever do - there's too little time for anyone caught out of the traps to find a way through. Two runners here, Midtown Romeo and Now Were Flyin, step right down from 480 metre form and have never raced this specific distance before, which makes their eye-catching performance ratings from the longer trip essentially meaningless tonight - this is a genuine unknown for both. Of the proven sprinters, Left Unread looks the most solid, with a strong record at this course and distance and a place last time out in almost identical conditions. Bramble Gibson and Fruity Sprite both have plenty of experience at the trip without translating it into many wins, while Salahs The Goat has a perfect record in a small sample here and could be around the pace early.
The most solid proven sprinter in this field. Five runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and three places - a 40% win rate - and he was placed last time out in near-identical conditions. Ties for the fastest speed rating here and races as an all-rounder, which means he can adapt to however the pace unfolds early. Trap 4 has also been the best-performing box at this grade and distance, giving him a structural edge on top of solid current form.
Clocked the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field and has the deepest experience at this course and distance with ten runs under his belt, though only one of those has been a win. Placed third last time out and has been running to a fairly consistent level recently. The raw speed puts him right in this on pure pace even if the strike rate at this trip hasn't been prolific.
A perfect record at this course and distance, winning both runs he's had here, though that's a small sample to lean on heavily. Recent form has come from a different grade and trip, so it's hard to know exactly what to expect tonight, but the early pace figures are workmanlike rather than outstanding. Worth a second look given the flawless course and distance record, but the evidence is thin.
Won last time out over 480 metres with a big rating, but that form counts for very little tonight - he's never raced this minimum trip before and there's no timing data at this distance to judge him on. A closer by profile, which is generally the wrong type for a sprint this short, since there simply isn't time to make up ground. A genuine unknown rather than a fancied runner.
Seven runs at this course and distance have produced just one win, and his last outing here was well below par with the slowest recorded time in this field. A fader who shows early pace but fades late, which is a tough combination at a sprint this short if he doesn't lead. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade too, compounding the questions.
Ran over 480 metres last time out at a much higher grade, and like Midtown Romeo he's a genuine unknown over this minimum trip with no recorded times at the distance. A closer by profile, which again is the wrong running style for a sprint where there's little time to make ground back. Interesting on breeding and raw ability but impossible to assess properly for tonight's conditions.
Key insight: The composite model is genuinely weak at this grade and distance - the top pick wins under 15%, well below the second and third-rated dogs. Trap 4 has been the best box at 23.4% and trap 3 the weakest at just 12.24%, from a modest but consistent sample.
T1:18.37% T2:14.29% T3:12.24% T4:23.4% T5:16.67% T6:21.28%
283 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 290m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (290m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 335m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salahs The Goat | 0.601 | 0.561 | 0.628 |
| 2 | Midtown Romeo | — | — | 0.620 |
| 3 | Bramble Gibson | 0.607 | — | 0.621 |
| 4 | Left Unread | 0.602 | — | 0.624 |
| 5 | Fruity Sprite | 0.607 | — | — |
| 6 | Now Were Flyin | — | — | 0.611 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.