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PGR on Sky Sports Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Whitisitb 3y 23 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 50 (2) | 31 (6) | 31 (3) | 39 (3) | 42 (3) | 43 (4) | 51 (1) | 46 (4) | 37 (3) | 38 (3) | 33 | 27 | - | - | 39 | 12 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Easy Linksb 1y 25 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 17 | 49 | 36 (3) | 19 (5) | 24 (6) | 22 (6) | 26 (6) | 51 (5) | 42 (5) | 60 (2) | 63 (2) | 69 (1) | 1 | - | - | - | 35 | 15 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Bettyb 2y 7 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 63 | 60 (3) | 51 (4) | 52 (5) | 50 (4) | 61 (2) | 55 (3) | 42 (6) | 74 (1) | 63 (1) | 31 (6) | 50 | 28 | - | 27 | 54 | 46 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Newinn Zulud 2y 8 | R J Buckton — 20% R208 W42 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | 61 | 74 (1) | 74 (5) | 61 (1) | 54 (5) | 39 (3) | 50 (2) | 62 (5) | 65 (4) | - | - | 2 | 26 | - | 36 | 59 | 56 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jacktavern Jaxd 1y 15 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 47 | 52 (4) | 49 (5) | 52 (5) | 53 (5) | 64 (3) | 61 (3) | 73 (1) | 49 (5) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | - | 38 | - | 23 | 57 | 44 | 3 | 13/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Inca Tailorb 3y 6 | P Singlewood — 18% R122 W22 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 77 | 51 | 64 (3) | 60 (2) | 66 (3) | 59 (3) | 74 (1) | 88 (1) | 54 (5) | 76 (1) | 77 (1) | 75 (1) | 43 | 32 | - | 40 | 67 | 65 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitisit | 31.16 | 31.16 | 31.16 | 0 | 0.00 | Poor recent clocking | |
| 2 | Easy Links | 30.49 | 30.49 | 30.49 | 17 | 0.00 | Slow recent times | |
| 3 | Alnwick Betty | 29.56 | 30.12 | 30.09 | 44 | +0.53 | 20% C&D | |
| 4 | Newinn Zulu | 28.99 | 29.52 | 29.71 | 70 | +0.72 | Won LTO, fades late | |
| 5 | Jacktavern Jax | 29.32 | 29.70 | 30.07 | 56 | +0.75 | Steady, needs pace | |
| 6 | Inca Tailor | 28.82 | 29.44 | 29.51 | 77 | +0.69 | 50% C&D wins, model pick |
A handicap over Newcastle's fair 480 metres, where the weights are adjusted to level the field so raw grade history matters less than current form and finishing power. Trap 1 has been the best box in these handicaps at 22.05%, with traps 4 and 5 the weakest. Inca Tailor stands out here on almost every measure - fastest on the clock, best current form, and an outstanding record at this course and distance - and should be doing his best work in the closing stages as a proven finisher. Newinn Zulu won impressively last time out and has plenty of raw pace, but he's a fader who gives up ground late, which could leave him exposed if Inca Tailor is still full of running in the final furlong. Alnwick Betty and Jacktavern Jax both have moderate course and distance form and look best watched rather than backed, while Whitisit and Easy Links carry poor recent clockings and look to have most to find.
Stands out on almost every measure in this handicap - fastest recorded time in the field, the best current form rating, and an outstanding course and distance record of five wins and six places from ten runs. A proven finisher who closes his races out well, which plays perfectly into Newcastle's long home straight. Form has been solid and unspectacular on the surface but the underlying figures are a clear step above this opposition.
Won last time out with a strong rating of 74 and carries plenty of raw gate speed, clocking the second-fastest recorded time in this field. But he's a fader who gives up ground in the closing stages, which is a real concern on a track with a long run to the line where the finishers tend to prevail. A course and distance record of one win and three places from seven is reasonable without being outstanding.
A fader with a fair course and distance record of two wins and four places from ten runs. Recent form has been steady in the low-fifties without threatening the principals, and she'll need to be up with the pace early since she doesn't have much of a finishing kick to fall back on.
An all-rounder who races handy without showing a great deal of finishing speed, and his course and distance record of one win and two places from ten runs is modest. Trainer win rate is the weakest in the field alongside Whitisit. Would need most of the field above him to underperform to feature.
Carries the poorest recent clocking in the field and has managed just one run at this course and distance without troubling the judge. Recent form has been consistently modest with nothing to suggest a change in fortunes tonight, even with a favourable draw in the best box in these handicaps.
Recent times are among the slowest in this field and he's had just one run at this course and distance so far. Form has been in the twenties for pace ratings across recent starts, well below the level needed to trouble this field. Hard to make a case for involvement in the finish tonight.
Key insight: The composite top pick wins 18.9% in these handicaps generally, but Inca Tailor's individual profile - fastest on the clock, best current form, and a 50% course and distance win rate - is well clear of a typical naked top pick.
T1:22.05% T2:20.63% T3:16.96% T4:12.16% T5:11.61% T6:19.85%
2,781 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Whitisit | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Easy Links | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Alnwick Betty | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Newinn Zulu | 56 | 12 | Fader |
5Jacktavern Jax | 49 | 32 | All-Rounder |
6Inca Tailor | 51 | 68 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitisit | — | 0.643 | 0.647 |
| 2 | Easy Links | 0.639 | 0.636 | 0.635 |
| 3 | Alnwick Betty | — | — | 0.628 |
| 4 | Newinn Zulu | — | — | 0.618 |
| 5 | Jacktavern Jax | — | — | 0.619 |
| 6 | Inca Tailor | — | — | 0.613 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.