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Newcastle Greyhound Stadium Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clona Levid 2y 9 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 79 (1) | 72 (2) | 47 (5) | 69 (3) | 66 (3) | 54 (4) | 46 (6) | 64 (2) | 68 (2) | - | 30 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 60 | 49 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ So Its Lillieb 2y 27 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 38 | 23 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 64 (3) | 48 (6) | 69 (3) | 62 (3) | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 77 (1) | 27 | 29 | 41 | 30 | 62 | 47 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Millview Daked 2y 7 | P Singlewood — 18% R122 W22 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 53 (5) | 60 (3) | 53 (4) | 73 (1) | 59 (4) | 61 (2) | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 61 (2) | 41 (6) | 39 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 59 | 47 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sunfire Singb 2y 9 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 77 (1) | 44 (6) | 34 (6) | 51 (4) | 46 (4) | 48 (5) | 73 (1) | 57 (4) | 88 (2) | 64 (5) | 29 | 29 | 25 | 30 | 56 | 46 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Katies Captaind 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 56 (2) | 65 (3) | 72 (1) | 54 (3) | 60 (2) | 45 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 41 | 31 | 19 | 29 | 59 | 45 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lastminutedotcomd 4y 28 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 57 | 63 (3) | 76 (1) | 43 (6) | 62 (2) | 57 (4) | 54 (4) | 59 (4) | 67 (2) | 82 (1) | 58 (3) | 35 | 34 | 57 | 37 | 62 | 48 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clona Levi | 29.19 | 29.51 | 29.21 | 54 | +0.02 | Model top pick | |
| 2 | So Its Lillie | 29.17 | 29.38 | 29.46 | 54 | +0.29 | Up in trip today | |
| 3 | Millview Dake | 29.29 | 29.56 | 29.50 | 48 | +0.21 | Steady but unspectacular | |
| 4 | Sunfire Sing | 29.28 | 29.68 | 29.28 | 49 | 0.00 | Won LTO, ex-OR grade | |
| 5 | Katies Captain | 29.45 | 29.63 | 29.47 | 44 | +0.02 | Slowest in the field | |
| 6 | Lastminutedotcom | 29.15 | 29.43 | 29.37 | 54 | +0.22 | 3 C&D wins, won LTO |
Newcastle's 480 metres is a fair, galloping track with a long home straight, so this is a race where quality and recent form tend to tell rather than the draw - trap 1 edges it as the best box at this grade at 21.19%, with trap 5 the weakest at 16.43%, but the gaps are modest. This looks a red-hot A4 with five of the six dogs having hit big performance ratings recently. Lastminutedotcom won last time out with the fastest recorded time in the field and should be involved from the front, with Clona Levi, also a fader who shows plenty of early gate speed, sure to be around the pace too. Sunfire Sing is the interesting one - a confirmed closer who has raced at a far higher grade in the past and produced the single best rating in this race last time out. If the pace up front burns itself out he could be finishing hardest of all. So Its Lillie steps back up in trip after a sprint detour and has solid course and distance form to fall back on.
Won last time out with a rating of 76, backing up form that has been consistently competitive all year, and clocked the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field along the way. Ten runs at this course and distance have produced three wins and five places - comfortably the strongest record in this race - and trainer P Rutherford has the second-best win rate here at 28%. A fader who shows his gate speed early, he'll need to hold on late but has the class edge to do it.
The one to watch. Recent form has been up and down, but his last run produced a rating of 77 - the single best figure anyone in this race has shown recently - and he's dropped in from a much higher grade than he races at now, all the way down from the top OR level. A committed closer with nothing left in reserve, he'll be doing his best work in the final furlong on a track with a long run-in. If he reproduces that peak effort he's fast enough to beat this lot.
The model's top-rated dog here and drawn in the best box at this grade and distance, finishing a close second last time out with a strong rating of 72. But nine runs at this course and distance haven't produced a single win, which is a concern given the good draw, and his trainer has the weakest win rate in this race. Fast into stride but tends to fade late, which could leave him vulnerable to the closers on this long straight.
Her last three runs look poor on paper, but all three came over the shorter 290 metre trip, a different test altogether, so they shouldn't be held against her tonight now she's back up in distance. Seven runs at this exact course and distance have brought two wins and two places, a useful record, and she clocked the fastest average time of anyone in the field. A confirmed closer who should be doing her best work late on.
A consistent all-rounder with a fair course and distance record of two wins and four places from ten runs, drawn in a decent box for this grade. Form has been steady in the low-to-mid fifties without ever suggesting she has the pace to trouble the principals in a field this strong. Would need most above her to underperform.
Races as an all-rounder with a reasonable course and distance record of two wins and three places from ten, but carries the slowest recorded times of anyone in this field, which is hard to overlook in a race this competitive. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade too. Would need a well-below-par field to feature prominently.
Key insight: Composite top pick wins 21.76% at A4 here versus 18.6% for the second-rated dog - a workable edge, with traps 1 and 3 clearly the best draws at this grade.
T1:21.19% T2:18.35% T3:21.13% T4:18.92% T5:16.43% T6:17.77%
2,141 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Clona Levi | 56 | 31 | Fader |
2So Its Lillie | 45 | 72 | Closer |
3Millview Dake | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Sunfire Sing | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Katies Captain | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Lastminutedotcom | 61 | 27 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 590m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clona Levi | — | 0.614 | — |
| 2 | So Its Lillie | 0.612 | 0.612 | — |
| 3 | Millview Dake | — | 0.616 | — |
| 4 | Sunfire Sing | — | 0.619 | 0.631 |
| 5 | Katies Captain | — | 0.617 | — |
| 6 | Lastminutedotcom | — | 0.614 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.