| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Odins Princed 5y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 51 (2) | 51 (2) | 34 (5) | 51 (3) | 40 (4) | 45 (6) | 44 (2) | 34 (4) | 58 (5) | - | 35 | 33 | - | 28 | 44 | 49 | 1 | 8/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Water Divinerd 2yN/R 4 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 38 | 40 (3) | 57 (1) | 38 (5) | 44 (2) | 38 (4) | 46 (4) | 44 (3) | 32 (5) | 57 (1) | 41 (3) | 21 | 21 | - | 24 | 44 | 36 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Knockdrum Cryptob 2y 27 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 53 | 60 (1) | 40 (5) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 36 (5) | 48 (3) | 50 (3) | 60 (1) | 57 (1) | 42 (5) | 47 | 34 | - | 33 | 49 | 34 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Keady Stormd 2y 17 | E Gowler — 23% R47 W11 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 53 | 38 (4) | 38 (4) | 43 (4) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 41 (3) | 44 (3) | 59 (1) | 56 (2) | 59 (1) | 38 | 35 | - | 27 | 45 | 39 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Footfield Nalab 5y 26 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 40 (5) | 37 (4) | 61 (5) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 54 (2) | 39 (4) | 42 (3) | 21 | 25 | - | 18 | 47 | 36 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rossa Kalib 4y 17 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 46 (4) | 48 (2) | 37 (3) | 58 (1) | 43 (4) | 46 (2) | 59 (1) | 39 (4) | 49 (3) | 41 (3) | 34 | 32 | - | 38 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odins Prince | 28.08 | 28.39 | 28.08 | 56 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Water Diviner | 28.45 | 28.57 | 28.53 | 41 | +0.08 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 3 | Knockdrum Crypto | 28.05 | 28.39 | 27.95 | 57 | -0.10 | Faster than best LTO | |
| 4 | Keady Storm | 28.17 | 28.41 | 28.88 | 43 | +0.71 | Well below best LTO | |
| 5 | Footfield Nala | 28.05 | 28.56 | 28.39 | 49 | +0.34 | Volatile form | |
| 6 | Rossa Kali | 28.26 | 28.60 | 28.26 | 46 | 0.00 | 2nd LTO |
Doncaster's 450 metres is a fair galloping trip where the first bend doesn't punish the wide draws too badly, and at this B3 grade trap 1 has been the best box at 23.4% from over 300 runs, with trap 3 the weakest by some way at 17.8%. Odins Prince has the rail and the pace to use it, and should be handy from the break without needing to fight for position. Knockdrum Crypto is the quickest dog in this field on the clock and was actually faster than his own best time last time out, but trap 3 has been a tough box to win from here. Rossa Kali and Keady Storm both have the finishing speed to be around at the finish if the pace up front is honest, while Water Diviner and Footfield Nala are the two most likely to be doing their best work too late.
Drawn in trap one, the strongest box at this grade by some distance, winning nearly a quarter of all races. The top-rated dog on the day's ratings with a decent gap back to the next in line, and placed second last time out at this exact grade and trip. His course-and-distance record isn't spectacular - one win and three places from ten starts here - but the combination of the best draw and the top rating is enough to make him the one to beat.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock, and ran quicker than his own personal best last time out - a real sign he's building towards something. Three wins and four places from nine course-and-distance starts is a strong record at this exact combination. The catch is the draw - trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade, winning under 18% - and his form since that last win has been up and down. If he gets a fair run through that first bend, he's the biggest threat to the top pick.
Finishes her races strongly but has struggled to find the front here, without a win from six course-and-distance starts. The slowest in the field on recent times and drawn in a moderate box. Would need the pace up front to be strong and the finish line to arrive late to have any real say.
Sharp away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages, and last time out ran well below his best time. Three wins and four places from ten course-and-distance starts shows he can go well fresh, but the recent time is a concern. A fair draw but the form doesn't inspire much confidence right now.
Finishes strongly from off the pace but her form has swung wildly from race to race - a form line of 37, 61, 41, 60 shows she can produce a big performance but rarely backs it up. Only one win from nine course-and-distance starts. Could feature if the pace collapses in front of her but is hard to trust on a consistent basis.
Second last time out and drawn in trap six, which has been a solid box at this grade. Two wins and four places from ten course-and-distance starts is a decent record, and recent form has shown a couple of peaks in the high 50s. Not the fastest in the field but consistent enough to be around the frame again.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box at this grade, winning 23.4% from 337 runs, while trap 3 is the weakest at 17.8%. The top-rated dog wins 25.0% here, a real edge over the field.
T1:23.4% T2:20.8% T3:17.8% T4:21.1% T5:21.6% T6:22.2%
1,759 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Odins Prince | 53 | 32 | All-Rounder |
2Water Diviner | 41 | 100 | Closer |
3Knockdrum Crypto | 49 | 68 | Closer |
4Keady Storm | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Footfield Nala | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Rossa Kali | 51 | 18 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 525m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odins Prince | 0.630 | — | — |
| 3 | Knockdrum Crypto | 0.631 | 0.580 | — |
| 4 | Keady Storm | 0.631 | — | — |
| 5 | Footfield Nala | 0.634 | — | 0.652 |
| 6 | Rossa Kali | 0.634 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.