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Celebrating 100 years of canine sporting legends
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bay City Maisieb 5y 26 | S Linley — 16% R373 W58 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 17 | 50 | 30 (5) | 22 (4) | 38 (4) | 40 (3) | 18 (5) | 29 (1) | 29 (1) | 14 (6) | 48 (4) | 32 (5) | 59 | 21 | - | 7 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Donegal Tiarab 1y | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 38 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Boozed Jasminb 1y 7 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 52 (4) | 67 (2) | 55 (2) | 43 (4) | 50 (2) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | 45 (4) | 40 (5) | 35 (5) | 9 | 16 | - | 23 | 52 | 38 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Neon Drifterd 3y 15 | J A Teal — 14% R218 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 30 | 62 (2) | 51 (4) | 51 (3) | 74 (1) | 55 (2) | 61 (2) | 50 (3) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 73 (1) | 32 | 26 | - | 16 | 58 | 39 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Whyaye Gan Ond 3y 18 | G Strike — 20% R424 W85 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 75 | - | 78 (1) | 61 (2) | 66 (2) | 79 (1) | 62 (3) | 62 (4) | 77 (1) | 53 (5) | 64 (2) | 49 (5) | 40 | 38 | - | 41 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bay City Maisie | 28.74 | 29.19 | 28.85 | 17 | +0.11 | Biggest handicap allowance | |
| 2 | Donegal Tiara | No previous races recorded - impossible to assess on data. | — | Debut - no form | ||||
| 4 | Boozed Jasmin | 28.13 | 28.56 | 27.62 | 49 | -0.51 | Steady handicapper | |
| 5 | Neon Drifter | 28.26 | 28.33 | 27.81 | 51 | -0.45 | Closer, useful mark | |
| 6 | Whyaye Gan On | 27.50 | 28.01 | 27.71 | 75 | +0.21 | Off scratch - fastest in field | |
This is a handicap over Sunderland's testing 450 metres, where trap 1 has been by far the strongest draw in this grade at 25.7% - way clear of the rest of the field - and where the raw form figures matter less than usual because the marks are designed to level up the ability gap. The dog drawn trap 1 also carries the biggest time allowance in this race, a combination that has to be respected even though her recent running has been modest. The dog racing off scratch, conceding time to every rival, is a different class on raw pace and consistency, and the question this race really turns on is whether that gap in ability is bigger than the head start the mark hands to the others.
Races off scratch, meaning she concedes time to every other dog in this field, but the gap in raw ability is stark - her speed rating is streets clear of anything else here and her recent form has been the most consistent in the race, peaking well above what any rival has shown. Trap 6 isn't the strongest draw in these handicaps, but a dog this much faster than the opposition has a real chance of simply running the head start down. The question is whether the class gap outweighs the mark, and on the figures available it looks like it might.
Carries the biggest time allowance in this handicap and lines up from trap 1, which has been comfortably the strongest draw at this course and distance in handicap company, winning better than one in four. Her recent form on raw figures is modest - well below the rest of this field on pace - but that's exactly the situation the handicapper has tried to correct for with the mark she's been given. Worth respecting purely on the trap and allowance combination.
Making her first competitive start with no previous races on file, so there is simply nothing to go on in terms of pace, positioning or how she'll cope with a handicap field. She carries a moderate time allowance which offers some cushion, but backing a complete unknown in a race where the mark differences are already hard to read is a stretch too far.
A fairly steady sort who has been competitive without standing out, with recent form hovering in the low-to-mid fifties and a place last time out from this same grade. Trap 4 has been one of the weaker boxes in Sunderland handicaps, so she needs her mark to do some of the work getting into contention.
A confirmed closer who picked up a big peak performance a few starts back and has been running to a fair level since, including a place last time out from this same grade. She carries a useful chunk of time allowance, and if the pace up front is strong enough for her to be doing her best work late, she has claims - though trap 5 has been the weakest draw in Sunderland handicaps.
Key insight: Handicaps at Sunderland 450m are dominated by trap 1 (25.7%, the biggest edge of any box in any grade at this track), while the composite figure is one of the weakest signals in the dataset at just 20.2% for the top-rated dog - a sign that the marks genuinely level the contest and raw ratings need discounting.
T1:25.7% T2:17.2% T3:16.3% T4:13.9% T5:13.3% T6:19.5%
1,736 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bay City Maisie | 50 | 7 | All-Rounder |
2Donegal Tiara | — | — | No data |
4Boozed Jasmin | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Neon Drifter | 29 | 98 | Closer |
6Whyaye Gan On | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bay City Maisie | 0.637 | 0.649 | — |
| 2 | Donegal Tiara | — | — | — |
| 4 | Boozed Jasmin | — | 0.635 | — |
| 5 | Neon Drifter | — | 0.629 | 0.637 |
| 6 | Whyaye Gan On | — | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.