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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dave Allthe Wayd 3y 17 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 89 (1) | 47 (4) | 69 (2) | 69 (2) | 68 (3) | 89 (1) | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 52 (5) | 55 (5) | 45 | 38 | 36 | 51 | 70 | 54 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Deadly Rubend 3y 24 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 45 | 66 (3) | 60 (3) | 72 (2) | 84 (1) | 69 (3) | 63 (3) | 71 (3) | 67 (2) | 81 (1) | 58 (3) | 29 | 26 | 6 | 29 | 69 | 44 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Limestone Fizzb 3y 17 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 71 (2) | 90 (1) | 61 (4) | 59 (4) | 77 (2) | 68 (4) | 86 (1) | 80 (1) | 70 (3) | 80 (1) | 50 | 36 | 31 | 48 | 74 | 55 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bonoandutood 3y 23 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 28 | 61 (4) | 70 (2) | 73 (3) | 78 (2) | 79 (2) | 70 (3) | 87 (1) | 65 (3) | 60 (6) | 73 (3) | 33 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 71 | 48 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Seomra Benjid 2y 26 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 58 | 68 (3) | 89 (1) | 75 (3) | 70 (3) | 91 (1) | 89 (1) | 78 (2) | 63 (4) | 86 (1) | 57 (3) | 44 | 41 | 56 | 44 | 77 | 53 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Allthe Way | 29.55 | 29.90 | 29.55 | 51 | 0.00 | Huge peak last time | |
| 2 | Deadly Ruben | 29.85 | 30.05 | 29.95 | 44 | +0.10 | Worst draw here | |
| 3 | Limestone Fizz | 29.70 | 29.98 | 29.75 | 50 | +0.05 | Highest composite | |
| 4 | Bonoandutoo | 29.75 | 29.95 | 29.95 | 50 | +0.20 | Fair draw | |
| 6 | Seomra Benji | 29.68 | 29.92 | 29.80 | 52 | +0.12 | Best trap, best bend |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit where a firm, strong-striding sort copes with bend one better than the finesse types, and trap one usually tops the track-wide bias table. This A1 slice bucks that trend slightly - trap six is actually the best draw here at 20.7% from 391 runs, with trap two the weakest at just 14.4%. Only five go to post in this top-grade heat, and it's a proper puzzle - the ratings are tightly bunched, with three different dogs on genuinely elite recent form. Seomra Benji, drawn in that favoured six box, carries the best bend rating and the highest recent average of anyone in the field, and the majority of the rating models land on him. Dave Allthe Way is the biggest danger - a monster front-running performance last time out and the strongest course and distance record in the race make him capable of turning this over if the pace map falls his way. Limestone Fizz, with the outright highest composite score, cannot be dismissed either in a race where the top three are separated by very little.
Elite, settled form at his career-best grade - form reads 68, 89, 75, 70, 91, 89 with no trial contamination, and he's already sitting at his peak grade rather than dropping in, which makes this average genuinely reliable. Carries the best bend rating in the field and the highest speed figure to go with it, a combination that matters at a track where the first-bend scrap decides plenty. Drawn in trap six, which is the best-performing box in this exact grade and trip at nearly 21%, and his course and distance record is outstanding - four wins and five places from his last ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 40% win rate. The majority of the rating models in the building land on him ahead of the field. About as complete a case as this race offers.
Won impressively last time out with a huge peak rating of 89 - form of 89, 47, 69, 69, 68, 89 shows real volatility but two performances well above what these rivals have managed, so the recent win should be taken seriously rather than dismissed as one-off. His career peak came in Open Race company, some way above this A1 grade, so there's more in the locker than the average alone suggests. Boasts the strongest course and distance record in the whole field - three wins and six places from ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 90% place rate. His trainer's 26% strike rate is also the best of the five, and the machine-learning probability model rates him the most likely winner outright. Drawn in trap one, a solid if not standout box. The biggest danger to the selection.
Strong, settled A1 form - 71, 90, 61, 59, 77, 68 - with a placed run last time out and a huge peak of 90 five runs back showing genuine top-level ability. Carries the outright highest composite score in the field and the best first-bend rating alongside the pick, an all-round case that can't be dismissed. Trap three has been a below-average draw at this exact grade, though, sitting under 18%, and her trainer's 22% strike rate is respectable rather than outstanding. A dog with a real chance in a race that looks close to a three-way vote at the top.
Consistent if unspectacular A1 form - 61, 70, 73, 78, 79, 70 - with nothing below 61 across the last six, a reliable floor even without a standout peak. His career-best form came in Open Race company, six grade steps above this level, which hints at more upside than the raw average alone captures. Course and distance form is moderate at one win and four places from eight runs at Hove over the trip. A pure closer with no measurable early pace, which could leave him with plenty to do at a track where the first bend matters, and trap four is a fair rather than favoured draw at this grade. Battled well for fourth last time out but needs the race to fall apart in front of him.
Solid if unremarkable A1 form - 66, 60, 72, 84, 69, 63 - with a placed run last time out and a peak of 84 three runs back showing he's competitive at this level even if he hasn't been the standout. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. The clock has him as the slowest in the field, though, and trap two has been comfortably the weakest draw at this exact grade, managing only 14.4% - the worst combination of pace and position in the race. His trainer's 18% strike rate is the least impressive of the five. The one with the most to find on these figures.
Key insight: Top grade racing where the composite is trustworthy - the highest-rated dog wins over one in five, and the fastest dog in the field wins one in four, both solid signals at this level.
Trap 6 20.7%, Trap 4 20.2%, Trap 1 18.9%, Trap 3 18.0%, Trap 5 17.0%, Trap 2 14.4%
2,105 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dave Allthe Way | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Deadly Ruben | 47 | 73 | Closer |
3Limestone Fizz | 59 | 15 | Fader |
4Bonoandutoo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Seomra Benji | 58 | 22 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Allthe Way | 0.599 | — |
| 2 | Deadly Ruben | 0.598 | — |
| 3 | Limestone Fizz | 0.598 | — |
| 4 | Bonoandutoo | 0.597 | 0.612 |
| 6 | Seomra Benji | 0.597 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.