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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Seomra Gobib 2y 7 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 51 (4) | 61 (3) | 43 (5) | 41 (4) | 67 (2) | 29 (5) | 27 (4) | 37 (1) | 30 (2) | 81 (1) | 39 | 38 | 31 | 28 | 55 | 50 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Inzane Sashab 2yN/R 17 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 37 | 71 (1) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 36 (4) | 55 (2) | 67 (1) | 51 (2) | 61 (1) | 50 (2) | 40 (5) | 58 | 44 | - | 57 | 57 | 50 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alanas Eskeb 4y 34 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 57 (3) | 54 (3) | 76 (1) | 54 (4) | 72 (2) | 95 (1) | 32 (5) | 61 (4) | 86 (6) | - | 36 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 66 | 47 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Chain Of Hopeb 2y 19 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 69 (1) | 51 (2) | 62 (2) | 50 (5) | 29 (5) | 50 (5) | - | - | - | - | 41 | 16 | 3 | 38 | 58 | 47 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Amys Onthe Runb 3y 18 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 53 | 48 (4) | 47 (5) | 62 (3) | 60 (2) | 44 (5) | 77 (1) | 45 (4) | 79 (1) | 68 (2) | 48 (5) | 36 | 44 | - | 26 | 56 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seomra Gobi | 29.90 | 30.15 | 30.05 | 51 | +0.15 | Best trap in race | |
| 2 | Inzane Sasha | 29.85 | 30.10 | 29.90 | 50 | +0.05 | Best C&D, won LTO | |
| 3 | Alanas Eske | 29.70 | 30.00 | 29.95 | 51 | +0.25 | Highest avg rating | |
| 4 | Chain Of Hope | 29.60 | 29.85 | 29.65 | 56 | +0.05 | Fastest, worst trap | |
| 6 | Amys Onthe Run | 30.05 | 30.30 | 30.20 | 43 | +0.15 | Slowest, good trap |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit, and in this A4 grade trap one is clearly the dominant draw at 28% from 286 runs, with trap six also strong at 24.2% - trap four is the one to avoid at just 16.6%. Only five go to post. This is a race with two dogs tied on the top composite score - Seomra Gobi has the outright best draw in the race, while Inzane Sasha carries a genuinely outstanding course and distance record and arrives fresh off a win. Chain Of Hope is the wildcard - by far the fastest in the field and the clear top choice of the machine-learning probability model, but saddled with the worst trap in the race. If she can overcome trap four with that pace advantage, she's a serious threat to the composite picks.
Won last time out at A5 and steps up to A4 off the back of it - form of 71, 64, 54, 36, 55, 67 shows genuine consistency in the 50s and 60s with a strong recent peak of 71, no trial contamination anywhere. Her standout asset is the course and distance record - four wins and seven places from her last ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 40% win rate that's the best structural signal in the whole field. Tied for the highest composite score in the race, and while trap two isn't the outright best draw, it's a solidly above-average box at this grade. Trainer A J Taylor's 22% strike rate adds a little extra confidence. The weight of course and distance evidence tips this her way.
Won last time out at A6 and steps up two grades to A4 off the back of it - form of 69, 51, 62, 50, 29, 50 is modest but the recent win shows she can find a bit extra when needed. Comfortably the fastest dog in this field on the clock, both on her best time and her most recent run, and the machine-learning probability model rates her the outright most likely winner by a wide margin. The problem is the draw - trap four has been the weakest box at this exact grade, managing only 16.6% - which is a real structural obstacle for a dog stepping up two levels in company. If the pace is there to overcome the draw, she's the biggest threat in the race.
Steady A4 form of 51, 61, 43, 41, 67, 29 with a peak of 67 three runs back, but the numbers are the least consistent of the main contenders and last time out was modest. Tied for the highest composite score in the race and drawn in trap one, the outright best box at this grade at nearly 28% - a significant structural plus. Course and distance form is limited at just one win and two places from six runs at Hove over the trip. Trainer J J Heath's 18% strike rate is unremarkable. The best draw in the race by some distance is the compelling part of the case, even if the underlying form doesn't quite match the top two.
The highest average rating in the field, built on genuinely strong recent form - 57, 54, 76, 54, 72, 95 - including a huge peak of 95 five runs back and a 76 four runs back, both well above anything else in this race. Placed last time out at this exact grade. Fastest recorded time in the field alongside a solid speed figure, and trap three is a fair rather than favoured draw. Course and distance experience is thin at just three runs, so there isn't a long track record to lean on despite the impressive underlying ratings. Her trainer's 14% strike rate is the least impressive in the field. A dog with a genuine peak that puts her right in this.
Form of 48, 47, 62, 60, 44, 77 in graded company, no trial contamination, with a peak of 77 five runs back showing more is possible than recent scores suggest. Slowest in the field on the clock, the clearest concern given how tightly matched the pace figures are otherwise. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Trap six has been a strong draw at this exact grade, sitting above 24%, which is the main thing keeping her involved. A workmanlike sort who benefits from a good box but needs more from the clock to trouble the front two.
Key insight: A reliable grade for the composite - the top-rated dog wins better than one in four - and trap one is a major structural factor here, more than eleven points clear of the weakest box.
Trap 1 28.0%, Trap 6 24.2%, Trap 2 21.4%, Trap 3 19.3%, Trap 5 17.5%, Trap 4 16.6%
1,390 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Seomra Gobi | 48 | 66 | Closer |
2Inzane Sasha | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Alanas Eske | 28 | 100 | Closer |
4Chain Of Hope | 64 | 0 | Fader |
6Amys Onthe Run | 61 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 285m | 450m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seomra Gobi | — | 0.593 | — | 0.606 |
| 3 | Alanas Eske | 0.612 | — | 0.606 | 0.604 |
| 4 | Chain Of Hope | — | 0.597 | — | 0.604 |
| 6 | Amys Onthe Run | — | — | — | 0.607 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.