| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mob De Souzad 2y 45 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 30 (4) | 52 (4) | 44 (1) | 45 (2) | 35 (1) | 39 (4) | 31 (2) | 35 (5) | 35 (3) | - | 28 | 28 | - | - | 39 | 34 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Coolmeen Mollb 2y 25 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 27 (2) | 18 (5) | 21 (6) | 36 (1) | 24 (3) | 23 (4) | - | - | 44 | 23 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Wedontdopanicb 2y 23 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 20 (5) | 21 (6) | 33 (2) | 25 (4) | 26 (5) | 63 (4) | 17 (5) | 27 (6) | 18 (4) | - | 18 | - | 12 | - | 24 | 18 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aviendhab 2y 14 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (5) | 23 (3) | 27 (4) | 39 (6) | 63 (3) | 71 (1) | 65 (2) | 49 (4) | 38 (5) | 78 (1) | 14 | 15 | - | - | 24 | 16 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kamikaze Cowgirlb 1y | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ardera Salb 4y 23 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 23 (5) | 26 (3) | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 25 (5) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 77 (3) | 33 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mob De Souza | No 285m form - all previous runs over 500m. Times not comparable. | — | No 285m form | ||||
| 2 | Coolmeen Moll | 17.05 | 17.25 | 17.05 | 54 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 3 | Wedontdopanic | 17.15 | 17.45 | 17.40 | 44 | +0.25 | Slowest in field | |
| 4 | Aviendha | 17.10 | 17.35 | 17.30 | 48 | +0.20 | Fades late | |
| 5 | Kamikaze Cowgirl | No graded form at all - all experience is from trials. | — | Unraced, trials only | ||||
| 6 | Ardera Sal | 16.95 | 17.15 | 17.05 | 61 | +0.10 | Fastest in field | |
Hove's 285-metre sprint is one of the strongest tracks in the country for the ratings, with the top-rated dog winning better than one in four historically and trap two the standout draw at nearly 24%, trap six the weakest at 13.4%. This is a modest D3 field with a couple of unknown quantities thrown in - Kamikaze Cowgirl has never contested a graded race, all her experience coming from trials, and Mob De Souza arrives via a much longer 500m trip with no previous form over this sharp sprint distance at all. At a track where early pace and bend ability decide matters more than anything else, Ardera Sal is clearly the fastest and most experienced of the six, even from the less favoured trap six draw. Coolmeen Moll, fresh from a win last time out and drawn in the best box in the race, is the obvious danger if the extra pace from trap two tells early.
Recent form of 23, 26, 32, 36, 30, 29 in graded D3 company, no trial contamination - modest numbers but consistent, and by far the most experienced dog in this field with nine runs at this course and distance. Clearly the fastest on the clock of the six, which is the single biggest factor at a sharp sprint like this where the race is generally over inside the first few strides. Trap six hasn't been a favoured draw at this track and trip historically, sitting at the bottom of the trap table, which is the one thing working against her. Her course and distance record of two wins and four places from nine runs shows she handles the track and trip well regardless of box. The clock and the experience edge make her the narrow pick despite the draw.
Won last time out at D4 over this trip and now steps up to D3 off the back of it - form of 31, 20, 27, 18, 21, 36 shows the win was a step forward rather than a fluke given the modest recent scores either side. Second-fastest in the field on the clock and drawn in trap two, which has been the best-performing box at this track and trip by some distance, winning nearly one in four. Course and distance form is solid too, with a win and two places from four runs at Hove over 285 metres. The combination of the best draw in the race, a recent win, and decent pace makes her the clear threat to the selection if the step up in grade doesn't ask too much.
Form of 20, 21, 33, 25, 26, 63 in graded company, no trial contamination, but the sample is mostly modest apart from a big peak of 63 five runs back that stands well out from everything around it - hard to know whether that was the true level or an outlier. Slowest in the field on the clock last time out and only a single run at this course and distance, so there isn't much of a proven record to lean on. Trap three has been a reasonably strong draw at this track and trip, sitting above 22%, which is the main thing in her favour. A workmanlike runner who needs to rediscover that one big performance to be involved.
Form of 22, 23, 27, 39, 63, 71 in graded company shows a clear decline from a much higher level a few runs back - the 63 and 71 four and five runs ago are well above anything shown lately, which is worth noting even if recent numbers have been weaker. Fast away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages, a pace profile that can still work at a sharp sprint if she gets across early. No proven record at this course and distance from her three runs here. Trap four is a moderate draw at this track and trip. The earlier peak form is the interesting angle, but she needs to rediscover it.
All recent form has come at 500m rather than this 285m sprint, so there is a genuine structural unknown here - a completely different discipline that rewards early pace and bend ability over the sustained running she's been doing. Form of 30, 52, 44, 45, 35, 39 in graded company at the longer trip is respectable enough, but none of it tells us how she'll cope with a sprint where the race is effectively over inside the first few strides. No course and distance experience at all over 285 metres. Trap one is a reasonable draw at this track and trip. Impossible to assess with real confidence given the total change of test.
Has never contested a graded race - every piece of experience on file comes from trials, including a pair of runs in a three-dog T1 heat, which means there is no reliable open-racing form to assess at all. Trial performances are run without the bumping, traffic and tactical racing of a real contest, so whatever raw times she has shown there cannot be trusted as a guide to how she'll cope in a genuine six-dog sprint. Drawn in trap five, a below-average box at this track and trip. Completely unproven and impossible to assess with any real confidence tonight - she could have ability, but there's no way to know from the data available.
Key insight: No exact-grade sample at D3, so this uses the full Hove 285m dataset - one of the most reliable sprint tracks for the composite in the country, with the top-rated dog winning better than one in four.
Trap 2 23.9%, Trap 3 22.8%, Trap 1 20.6%, Trap 4 19.2%, Trap 5 15.2%, Trap 6 13.4%
1,105 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 268m | 275m | 285m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mob De Souza | — | — | — | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Coolmeen Moll | 0.623 | — | — | — | 0.604 | — | — |
| 3 | Wedontdopanic | — | — | 0.635 | 0.638 | 0.606 | — | — |
| 4 | Aviendha | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | 0.608 | 0.563 |
| 5 | Kamikaze Cowgirl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Ardera Sal | — | 0.632 | — | — | 0.597 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.