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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Punkrock Misspeab 3y 9 | S Maplesden — 14% R251 W35 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 66 | 68 (1) | 55 (2) | 55 (4) | 35 (6) | 37 (5) | 72 (1) | 38 (5) | 59 (3) | 38 (5) | 41 (6) | 43 | 32 | 36 | 37 | 52 | 48 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Glenmavisb 3y 15 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 57 (2) | 50 (5) | 71 (5) | 72 (5) | 62 (5) | 65 (6) | 92 (2) | 66 (3) | 73 (2) | 86 (2) | 26 | 38 | - | 26 | 66 | 51 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Clairkeith Jnelab 3y 7 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 64 | 54 (4) | 60 (3) | 67 (1) | 48 (3) | 41 (6) | 50 (4) | 39 (6) | 51 (5) | 67 (1) | 52 (3) | 30 | 28 | - | 23 | 54 | 41 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cloheena Blueboyd 1y 4 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 54 (4) | 54 (3) | 62 (2) | 60 (3) | 67 (1) | 62 (1) | 46 (4) | 45 (2) | 38 (5) | - | 27 | 31 | 12 | 27 | 56 | 46 | 4 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jacktavern Usaind 2y 26 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 50 (3) | 44 (5) | 62 (4) | 80 (2) | 52 (5) | 55 (5) | 79 (1) | 70 (2) | 48 (4) | 67 (3) | 22 | 5 | 38 | - | 60 | 41 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ivy Hill Jaked 4y 17 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 59 (2) | 53 (3) | 68 (2) | 45 (5) | 59 (3) | 42 (6) | 55 (3) | 50 (5) | 76 (1) | 55 (3) | 29 | 28 | 32 | 25 | 56 | 47 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Punkrock Misspea | 29.90 | 30.20 | 29.95 | 49 | +0.05 | Won last time out | |
| 2 | Glenmavis | 29.75 | 29.95 | 29.90 | 53 | +0.15 | Model's top pick | |
| 3 | Clairkeith Jnela | 30.05 | 30.30 | 30.15 | 42 | +0.10 | Slowest, best trap | |
| 4 | Cloheena Blueboy | 29.85 | 30.00 | 29.85 | 50 | 0.00 | Very consistent form | |
| 5 | Jacktavern Usain | 29.95 | 30.15 | 30.20 | 47 | +0.25 | Little Hove C&D form | |
| 6 | Ivy Hill Jake | 29.80 | 30.00 | 29.95 | 53 | +0.15 | Placed here LTO |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit where trap one usually leads the track-wide bias table, but in this A5 slice trap three is the standout box at 22.3% from 367 runs, with trap five the weakest at 16.7%. All six go to post in a competitive field with no huge outlier. Glenmavis drops in after finishing second at the tougher A4 grade last time out and leads the field on almost every raw number - highest rating, highest recent average, and the top choice of the machine-learning model. Cloheena Blueboy is the closest thing to a match for her, with remarkably tight, consistent recent form and an excellent course and distance record. Punkrock Misspea arrives on the back of a win at the grade below and could improve for the step back up if she takes to it.
Placed second last time out at the tougher A4 grade and drops back to A5 for this - form of 57, 50, 71, 72, 62, 65 shows genuine quality with two runs in the low 70s among the six, no trial contamination anywhere. Leads the field on raw rating and recent average, and shares the fastest speed figure in the race, backed up by the machine-learning probability model rating her the clear most likely winner. Course and distance experience is limited at just four runs, though two of those were places. Trap two is a fair, above-average draw at this grade. The combination of a class edge from the tougher grade above and the model's clear endorsement makes her the pick.
One of the most consistent form lines in the race - 54, 54, 62, 60, 67, 62 - nothing far from the low-to-mid 60s across the last six, a genuinely reliable floor with no trial contamination. Course and distance form is excellent at two wins and four places from nine runs at Hove over the trip, a 67% place rate. Nearly matches the selection on the machine-learning probability score, making her the closest thing to a match for the pick in the whole field. Trap four is a moderate draw at this grade. The reliability and course knowledge on show make her the clear danger if the selection's step down in grade doesn't work out as planned.
Won last time out at A6 and steps back up to A5 off the back of it - form of 68, 55, 55, 35, 37, 72 is volatile but includes two scores in the high 60s and low 70s, showing the ceiling is there when it clicks. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and three places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Second-highest composite score in the field, though someway back from the top pair on raw pace figures. Trap one is a moderate draw at this grade. The recent win is the interesting angle, but the volatility in the underlying form makes her hard to fully trust over the top two.
Placed second at this exact grade last time out - form of 59, 53, 68, 45, 59, 42 is up and down but the recent placed effort shows he's competitive at this level right now. Shares the fastest speed figure in the field with the pick, a genuine positive. Course and distance form is fair at one win and three places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Trap six is a reasonable, above-average draw at this grade. The matching pace figure with the selection is the standout asset, even if the underlying rating doesn't quite match the top two.
Recent form of 44, 62, 80, 52, 55, 79 shows two big peaks of 80 and 79 among the six, well above what most of this field has managed, even though the last run was modest. Almost all of that form has come away from Hove, with only a single run at this course and distance to judge her on here, so there's a genuine question mark over how the track suits. Slowest last-time-out clocking of the main contenders and drawn in trap five, the weakest box at this exact grade. The peak form is eye-catching, but the lack of a track record at Hove and the tricky draw are real obstacles.
Form of 54, 60, 67, 48, 41, 50 in graded A5 company, workmanlike with a peak of 67 four runs back but nothing to separate her from the pack recently. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and two places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Slowest in the field on the clock by some distance, the clearest concern despite getting the best draw in the race in trap three, which tops the table at this exact grade. The draw gives her every chance to lead into the first bend, but the pace figures suggest she may not have enough to hold on if the pack catches up.
Key insight: A reliable grade for the composite - the top-rated dog wins better than one in four - and trap three carries a genuine structural edge here.
Trap 3 22.3%, Trap 2 20.6%, Trap 6 19.7%, Trap 4 18.5%, Trap 1 18.2%, Trap 5 16.7%
1,796 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Punkrock Misspea | 66 | 0 | Fader |
2Glenmavis | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Clairkeith Jnela | 75 | 0 | Fader |
4Cloheena Blueboy | 48 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Jacktavern Usain | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ivy Hill Jake | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 500m | 640m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Punkrock Misspea | — | 0.610 | — | — |
| 2 | Glenmavis | — | 0.605 | — | 0.617 |
| 3 | Clairkeith Jnela | — | 0.608 | — | — |
| 4 | Cloheena Blueboy | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 5 | Jacktavern Usain | 0.612 | 0.608 | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Ivy Hill Jake | — | 0.605 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.