| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clairkeith Lainyb 4y 43 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 57 (5) | 78 (2) | 49 (5) | 57 (4) | 85 (1) | 79 (1) | 64 (3) | 74 (2) | 55 (5) | 65 (4) | 38 | 26 | 8 | 28 | 66 | 43 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tommys Goodtimed 2y 35 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 31 | 46 (5) | 83 (1) | 68 (2) | 67 (3) | 79 (1) | 52 (4) | 70 (2) | 76 (1) | 48 (5) | 52 (5) | 31 | 29 | - | 47 | 65 | 42 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gin For Tracib 2y 9 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 73 (2) | 84 (1) | 81 (1) | 64 (3) | 52 (4) | 77 (1) | 64 (2) | 73 (1) | 67 (1) | 46 (4) | 50 | 47 | 18 | 59 | 71 | 58 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hang Tight Honeyb 1y 36 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 61 (4) | 87 (1) | 85 (1) | 80 (1) | 77 (1) | 53 (4) | 61 (3) | 63 (2) | 36 | 41 | 17 | 40 | 68 | 46 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Wastehouse Mixd 2y 28 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 83 (1) | 64 (3) | 61 (3) | 58 (3) | 63 (3) | 73 (3) | 73 (3) | 68 (4) | 80 (2) | 65 (2) | 43 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 69 | 48 | 4 | 11/10F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clairkeith Lainy | 29.80 | 30.05 | 30.15 | 49 | +0.35 | Steady A1 form | |
| 2 | Tommys Goodtime | 29.95 | 30.30 | 30.40 | 46 | +0.45 | Dropped from OR3 | |
| 3 | Gin For Traci | 29.75 | 30.02 | 29.90 | 50 | +0.15 | Highest composite | |
| 4 | Hang Tight Honey | 29.70 | 29.95 | 30.00 | 51 | +0.30 | Big peaks in recent form | |
| 6 | Wastehouse Mix | 29.78 | 30.00 | 29.80 | 51 | +0.02 | Won last time out |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit where trap one usually leads the track-wide bias, but this A1 grade tells a different story - trap six is the best draw here at 20.7% from 391 runs, with trap two the weakest at 14.4%. Five go to post in a genuinely top-class field. Gin For Traci stands out clearly on the numbers - the highest composite score in the race by ten clear points, the top choice of the machine-learning model, and an outstanding record at this course and distance. Hang Tight Honey, with three big peak performances in her recent past and one of the best course and distance records in the field, is the obvious danger. Wastehouse Mix arrives full of running after a win last time out and gets the plum trap six draw, adding another layer to a race that's more open below the top selection than the raw numbers first suggest.
Elite, settled A1 form - 73, 84, 81, 64, 52, 77 - with a placed run last time out and three scores in the high 70s or 80s among the last six, genuinely top-level consistency with no trial contamination. Carries the highest composite score in the entire field by a comfortable ten-point margin over her nearest rival, and the machine-learning probability model rates her the clear most likely winner too. Her course and distance record is outstanding - five wins and seven places from her last ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 50% win rate that's the best in the race by some distance. Trap three isn't the standout draw at this grade, but the sheer weight of form and course knowledge makes that a minor concern. The clear one to beat.
Form of 61, 54, 61, 87, 85, 80 shows three big peaks in the high 80s and low 80s three to five runs back, a level well above what most of this field has shown, even though the last two starts have cooled off. One of the strongest course and distance records in the race - four wins and five places from her last ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 40% win rate. Fastest last-time-out clocking and the best average time of anyone here, and trap four has been one of the better draws at this grade. Trained by B S Green, who also handles Wastehouse Mix and has a 26% strike rate. The clear danger if she can rediscover the level of those big peak runs.
Won impressively last time out at A2 and steps up to A1 off the back of it - form of 83, 64, 61, 58, 63, 73 shows the win was a clear step forward from a generally solid base. Gets the best draw in the race in trap six, which has topped the trap table at this exact grade at nearly 21%. Shares a trainer with the danger, B S Green, who is in good form at 26%. Course and distance form is modest at just one win and three places from ten runs at Hove over the trip, the main knock against an otherwise well-placed runner. Fast away and capable of setting the pace from the favoured box.
Dropping in from Open Race company over a longer 515m trip last time out, so there's a genuine question over how the switch back to 500m at this grade will suit. Form of 46, 83, 68, 67, 79, 52 is volatile but includes two scores in the high 70s and low 80s, showing real ability when it clicks. Course and distance form over this exact trip is good at three wins and five places from nine runs at Hove. Slowest in the field on the clock last time out, though that came over the longer distance. Trap two has been the weakest draw at this grade, adding to the questions. The Open Race pedigree is the interesting angle if she settles back into this trip.
Form of 57, 78, 49, 57, 85, 79 in graded A1 company, up and down but with two big peaks of 78 and 85 among the last six showing genuine ability at this level even after a quieter run last time out. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Not among the fastest in this field on the clock, and trap one is a reasonable rather than standout draw at this grade. An all-rounder who can adapt to the shape of the race. The volatility in her recent form makes her hard to fully trust, but the peaks show she belongs in this company.
Key insight: Top grade racing where the composite is trustworthy - the highest-rated dog wins over one in five, and a ten-point composite gap like the one at the top of this race has historically been a strong signal at this track.
Trap 6 20.7%, Trap 4 20.2%, Trap 1 18.9%, Trap 3 18.0%, Trap 5 17.0%, Trap 2 14.4%
2,105 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Clairkeith Lainy | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
2Tommys Goodtime | 23 | 100 | Closer |
3Gin For Traci | 53 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Hang Tight Honey | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Wastehouse Mix | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 515m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clairkeith Lainy | 0.600 | — |
| 2 | Tommys Goodtime | 0.602 | 0.608 |
| 3 | Gin For Traci | 0.601 | — |
| 4 | Hang Tight Honey | 0.600 | — |
| 6 | Wastehouse Mix | 0.600 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.