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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coppeen Certb 2y 13 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 60 | 72 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 15 | - | 30 | 72 | 50 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Roanna Zarab 4y 33 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 76 (1) | 44 (5) | 60 (3) | 57 (3) | 73 (1) | 49 (4) | 62 (2) | 62 (2) | 49 (5) | 50 (5) | 28 | 23 | 12 | 33 | 60 | 44 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gin For Lisab 2y 25 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 76 (1) | 42 (5) | 49 (5) | 76 (1) | 52 (5) | 61 (2) | 44 (6) | 46 (5) | 63 (3) | 67 (2) | 47 | 29 | 26 | 37 | 58 | 44 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Barbie Bulletb 4y 25 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 64 (2) | 69 (3) | 51 (5) | 62 (4) | 79 (4) | 54 (4) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 70 (5) | 81 (1) | 38 | 29 | 17 | 20 | 65 | 50 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Punkrock Mercuryd 3y 7 | S Maplesden — 14% R251 W35 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 56 (4) | 67 (3) | 65 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 50 (6) | 49 (5) | - | - | 40 | 43 | 20 | 28 | 61 | 48 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coppeen Cert | 29.99 | 29.99 | 29.99 | 51 | 0.00 | Only 1 career run | |
| 2 | Roanna Zara | 29.90 | 30.15 | 29.90 | 49 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 3 | Gin For Lisa | 29.85 | 30.10 | 29.85 | 48 | 0.00 | Best trap, won LTO | |
| 4 | Barbie Bullet | 29.75 | 29.95 | 29.95 | 51 | +0.20 | Placed here LTO | |
| 5 | Punkrock Mercury | 29.95 | 30.10 | 30.05 | 49 | +0.10 | Very consistent, no C&D win |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit that generally rewards a firm, strong-striding sort, and trap one usually leads the track-wide bias table - but in this A3 slice it's trap three that stands out clearly at 25.9% from 313 runs, with trap six the weakest at just 13.9%. The standout story is Coppeen Cert, who has raced just once in her career and won it in eye-catching fashion, leading throughout at A5 in a fast time - the model loves the raw speed of that performance, but one run doesn't make established form, and she's never tackled anything near this grade before. Barbie Bullet, by contrast, arrives with a genuine track record at this exact level, having already placed second here last time out. Gin For Lisa gets the pick of the draw in trap three and comes into this off a win of her own. A race where the data and the experience tell slightly different stories.
Established, competitive A3 form - 64, 69, 51, 62, 80, 54 - with a placed run last time out at this exact grade and a peak of 80 four runs back showing real quality is in there. Unlike some in this field she's already proven she belongs at this level, finishing second here last time out rather than stepping up on spec. Trainer B S Green has the best strike rate of anyone in the race at 26%, a useful supporting angle. Fastest last-time-out clocking in the field, and while trap four isn't the standout draw, it's a reasonable box at this grade. Not the flashiest profile in the race, but the most proven at exactly this level.
Has raced just once in her career, and it was eye-catching - led throughout at A5 in a fast time, rated 72 with a strong pace figure to match. That's real promise, but one run doesn't tell you much, and she's jumping two grades to face this A3 field having never proven she can do it against tougher opposition. The raw speed from that single run is the fastest recorded in this whole field, which is why the model rates her so highly, but the sample is thin - three trials beforehand add a little context but no genuine racing evidence. Trap one hasn't been among the stronger draws at this grade. Capable of anything on the strength of that debut, but a leap into the unknown.
Won last time out at A4 and steps up to A3 off the back of it - form of 76, 42, 49, 76, 52, 61 is up and down but shows two peaks of 76 among the six, suggesting the win wasn't a one-off. Course and distance form is solid at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Gets the best draw in the race in trap three, which has been the strongest box at this exact grade by some distance, winning nearly one in four. A fading pace type who needs to get into a rhythm early, which the favoured trap should help with. Each-way claims given the draw and the recent win.
Won last time out at A4 and now steps up to A3 - form of 76, 44, 60, 57, 73, 49 is inconsistent but includes two runs in the 70s among the six, showing the ability is there when it comes together. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip, and her trainer's 26% strike rate matches the best in the field. A versatile all-rounder who can adapt to how the race is run. Trap two is a reasonable, above-average draw at this grade. Solid without being the standout on paper.
The most consistent form line in the race - 56, 67, 65, 63, 65, 69 - nothing below 56 across the last six, a genuinely reliable floor even without a standout peak. The catch is he's yet to win at this course and distance from eight attempts, with just a single place to show for it, a slightly concerning pattern given how consistent the underlying ratings are. An all-rounder who can race either way, but trap five has been a below-average draw at this grade. A dog who always seems to be around the mark without quite getting his head in front here.
Key insight: A reliable grade for the composite - the top-rated dog wins nearly one in four - and trap three is a genuine structural edge here, more than ten points clear of the weakest box.
Trap 3 25.9%, Trap 4 21.2%, Trap 2 21.5%, Trap 1 18.0%, Trap 5 17.1%, Trap 6 13.9%
1,755 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coppeen Cert | 67 | 0 | Fader |
2Roanna Zara | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Gin For Lisa | 56 | 14 | Fader |
4Barbie Bullet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Punkrock Mercury | 48 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 491m | 500m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coppeen Cert | — | 0.600 | — |
| 2 | Roanna Zara | — | 0.604 | — |
| 3 | Gin For Lisa | — | 0.605 | — |
| 4 | Barbie Bullet | — | 0.601 | 0.616 |
| 5 | Punkrock Mercury | 0.609 | 0.602 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.