| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hometownd 4y 17 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 65 (4) | 62 (5) | 69 (2) | 83 (2) | 62 (4) | 52 (4) | 69 (2) | 87 (1) | 89 (1) | 50 (4) | 56 | 65 | - | 37 | 68 | 56 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sheer Hazed 1y 13 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 59 | 82 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 20 | - | 30 | 82 | 58 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bonniebabysbabyd 2y 24 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 32 | 47 (5) | 66 (3) | 57 (5) | 67 (4) | 87 (1) | 61 (5) | 74 (3) | 48 (6) | 62 (1) | 54 (3) | 2 | 27 | - | 10 | 62 | 42 | 4 | 11/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Broncos Bulletd 3y 26 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 63 (4) | 71 (2) | 65 (3) | 87 (5) | 72 (1) | 52 (2) | 82 (4) | 75 (4) | - | - | 33 | 40 | - | 44 | 70 | 51 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Senahel Pikachud 4y 46 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 60 (5) | 75 (2) | 55 (5) | 65 (4) | 91 (1) | 84 (1) | 61 (4) | 62 (4) | 73 (2) | 72 (3) | 35 | 45 | 50 | 33 | 69 | 47 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hometown | 29.80 | 30.05 | 29.95 | 48 | +0.15 | Best C&D record | |
| 2 | Sheer Haze | 29.55 | 29.55 | 29.55 | 60 | 0.00 | Only 1 career run | |
| 3 | Bonniebabysbaby | 29.90 | 30.15 | 30.10 | 49 | +0.20 | Dropped from OR3 | |
| 4 | Broncos Bullet | 29.75 | 30.00 | 29.90 | 53 | +0.15 | Best trainer figure | |
| 6 | Senahel Pikachu | 29.70 | 29.95 | 29.95 | 53 | +0.25 | Worst draw here |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit, and the sample at this exact A2 grade is small but pointed - trap two and trap three share top spot at close to 29%, with trap six the weakest at just 10.3%. Only five go to post. The story of this race is Sheer Haze, who has run just once in her career and won it in scorching fashion, clocking the fastest speed figure in this field by some distance from the favoured trap two draw - but one run doesn't make established form, and she's never been tested against opposition of this depth before. Hometown, by contrast, arrives with ten runs of solid, proven A2 form and an excellent record at this course and distance. Broncos Bullet and Senahel Pikachu both have claims too, but the draw works against the latter from trap six.
Genuinely proven A2 form across ten runs - 65, 62, 69, 83, 62, 52 - with a peak of 83 four runs back showing real quality and nothing catastrophically below the level required. Second-highest composite score in the field and an excellent course and distance record - two wins and five places from ten runs at Hove over the trip, a 70% place rate. Trap one is a fair, above-average draw at this grade. Not the flashiest name in the race but the most thoroughly tested at this exact level, with the kind of consistency that comes from ten competitive runs rather than one eye-catching debut. The proven, well-supported option in an interesting field.
Has raced just once in her career, and it was electric - won at A3 with a rating of 82 and the fastest speed figure recorded in this entire field, a performance that stands out a mile above what anyone else here has shown. That's genuinely exciting, but one run doesn't make established form, and she's stepping into a deeper A2 field having never been tested against this level of opposition. Drawn in trap two, which shares the best draw at this exact grade. If that debut was a true reflection of her ability rather than a flattering start, she wins this with ease - the risk is that a single data point is a thin foundation to build total confidence on.
Solid A2 form of 63, 71, 65, 87, 72, 52 with a peak of 87 four runs back showing genuine top-end ability, even after a quieter run last time out. His trainer's 26% strike rate is the best in the field, a useful supporting angle. Course and distance form is fair at one win and four places from seven runs at Hove over the trip. Second-fastest in the field on the clock alongside Senahel Pikachu, and trap four is a below-average draw at this grade. A capable runner who could easily feature but lacks the standout structural edge of the top two.
Form of 60, 75, 55, 65, 91, 84 in graded company shows two huge peaks of 91 and 84 four and five runs back, well above anything shown by most of this field, even though the last two runs have cooled considerably. Course and distance form is fair at two wins and four places from ten runs at Hove over the trip. Second-fastest in the field on the clock, but drawn in trap six, comfortably the weakest box at this exact grade at just 10.3%. The huge peaks in her past are the interesting angle, but the draw is a serious structural obstacle to overcome tonight.
Dropping in from Open Race company last time out, so there's a genuine grade-drop angle here - form of 47, 66, 57, 67, 87, 61 includes a huge peak of 87 four runs back from a level well above this A2 grade. That drop from much tougher company hints at latent ability, even though her most recent run was modest. Course and distance form is thin at one win and one place from seven runs at Hove over the trip. Gets the second-best draw in the race in trap three, close to 29%, which is a genuine plus. Lowest composite score in the field on the raw numbers, but the grade context and draw both work in her favour.
Key insight: Small sample at this exact grade, but the trap pattern is striking - traps two and three combine for well over half the wins between them, and the top-rated dog wins better than one in five.
Trap 2 29.4%, Trap 3 29.0%, Trap 1 19.2%, Trap 4 15.0%, Trap 5 14.8%, Trap 6 10.3%
215 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hometown | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Sheer Haze | 61 | 15 | Fader |
3Bonniebabysbaby | 32 | 100 | Closer |
4Broncos Bullet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Senahel Pikachu | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 525m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hometown | 0.600 | — | — |
| 2 | Sheer Haze | 0.594 | — | — |
| 3 | Bonniebabysbaby | 0.598 | 0.567 | — |
| 4 | Broncos Bullet | 0.599 | — | 0.613 |
| 6 | Senahel Pikachu | 0.598 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.