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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jacktavern Smashd 2y 17 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 30 (1) | 31 (5) | 32 (3) | 27 (1) | 24 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 20 (2) | 16 (3) | - | 29 | 26 | 30 | 35 | 27 | 26 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mad To Runb 1y | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 6 | 50/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mylane Curlyb 5y 14 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 28 (2) | 28 (2) | 31 (1) | 26 (2) | 54 (3) | 74 (1) | 49 (5) | 47 (4) | 31 (3) | 40 (2) | 36 | 49 | 46 | 48 | 30 | 35 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Miruts Yifterd 2y 6 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 36 (1) | 26 (2) | 32 (2) | 22 (4) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 26 (3) | 35 (1) | 22 (5) | 23 (5) | 43 | 39 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 2 | 8/13F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Courancove Wildd 2y 8 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 22 (5) | 26 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 (5) | 39 (4) | 37 (4) | 57 (3) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 47 (2) | 37 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Flyers Geezerd 3y 6 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (3) | 23 (3) | 23 (6) | 29 (3) | 21 (6) | 26 (4) | 28 (4) | 27 (4) | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 31 | 31 | 22 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacktavern Smash | 17.10 | 17.30 | 17.15 | 47 | +0.05 | Won last time out | |
| 2 | Mad To Run | No graded form at all - all four outings have been trials. | — | Unraced, trials only | ||||
| 3 | Mylane Curly | 16.95 | 17.15 | 17.10 | 51 | +0.15 | Best trap, top composite | |
| 4 | Miruts Yifter | 17.00 | 17.20 | 17.05 | 50 | +0.05 | Steady form | |
| 5 | Courancove Wild | 17.05 | 17.30 | 17.35 | 49 | +0.30 | Worst draw here | |
| 6 | Flyers Geezer | 16.90 | 17.10 | 17.00 | 52 | +0.10 | Fastest in field | |
Hove's 285-metre sprint is one of the strongest tracks in the country for the composite generally, and in this D4 slice trap three is clearly the best draw at 25% from 152 runs, with trap five the weakest at 17.5%. All six go to post. One genuine unknown sits in trap two - Mad To Run has never contested a graded race, with all four of her outings coming in trials, so there's no reliable open-racing form to lean on. Among the rest, Mylane Curly ticks the most boxes - best trap, highest composite score, and a strong record at this course and distance, including a couple of big peak performances in her recent past. Flyers Geezer is the fastest in the field on the clock and the obvious danger if the extra pace tells early from trap six.
Recent form of 28, 28, 31, 26, 54, 74 in graded D4 company, no trial contamination - the two big peaks of 54 and 74 four and five runs back show a level well above what she's needed to show lately, and recent scores have settled into a consistent high-20s pattern. Second-fastest in the field on the clock and comfortably the highest composite score, backed by a strong record at this course and distance - a win and four places from just four runs, meaning she's never finished outside the frame here. Drawn in trap three, the best-performing box at this exact grade and trip at a full 25%. The combination of the best draw, the top rating, and a proven course and distance record makes her the clear pick.
Very consistent D4 form - 26, 23, 23, 29, 21, 26 - nothing wildly out of line across the last six, a steady if unspectacular sort. Fastest in the field on the clock, which carries real weight at this exact grade and trip where the raw speed figures have actually outperformed the composite score historically. Trainer C Gardiner's 24% strike rate is the second-best in the race. Trap six has been a solid, above-average draw at this grade. Course and distance form is modest at one win and one place from ten runs, the main knock against an otherwise well-rounded case. The clear threat if the early pace holds up.
Steady, unspectacular form of 26, 32, 22, 25, 21, 26 in graded company, placed last time out at the grade above and now returning to D4 - no trial contamination and no dramatic peaks or troughs. Third-fastest in the field on the clock and the second-highest composite score, a reasonable if not standout profile. Course and distance form is fair at one win and three places from ten runs at Hove over 285 metres. Trap four is a moderate draw at this grade. A workmanlike sort who's rarely far off the pace without a clear standout factor to lean on.
Won last time out at this exact grade and trip - form of 30, 31, 32, 27, 24, 24 shows a gentle upward trend into that win, a promising sign even if the raw numbers are modest compared to the pace-setters. Course and distance form is solid at two wins and three places from ten runs at Hove over 285 metres. Slowest in the field on the clock, though, which is the main concern at a sprint where early pace decides plenty. Trap one has been a below-average draw at this grade. The recent win and improving trend are the interesting angles, but the pace figures don't back up a big step forward.
Form of 22, 26, 30, 31, 39, 37 in graded company shows a downward drift from a stronger level a few runs back, though the last run wasn't far off her recent scores rather than a genuine collapse. Course and distance experience is limited at just three runs, with a single place to show for it. Drawn in trap five, the weakest box at this exact grade and trip, compounding an already modest recent form line. Her trainer's 14% strike rate is the least impressive in the field. The one with the most questions to answer tonight.
Has never contested a graded race - all four pieces of experience on file come from trials, split between T2 and T3 grade heats, which means there is no reliable open-racing form to assess her chances against. Trial performances lack the bumping, traffic and tactical racing of a genuine contest, so whatever raw ability she's shown there cannot be trusted as a guide to how she'll cope in a competitive six-dog sprint. Drawn in trap two, which has actually been a fairly strong box at this grade and trip, but that draw means little without any evidence of how she handles real racing. Completely unproven and very hard to assess with confidence tonight.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field has actually outperformed the top-rated dog at this exact grade and trip - 28.1% versus 22.8% - so the raw speed figures deserve a touch more weight than usual here.
Trap 3 25.0%, Trap 6 21.2%, Trap 2 23.1%, Trap 4 19.9%, Trap 1 19.0%, Trap 5 17.5%
1,116 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 285m | 450m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacktavern Smash | — | 0.604 | — | — |
| 2 | Mad To Run | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Mylane Curly | 0.607 | 0.598 | 0.614 | — |
| 4 | Miruts Yifter | — | 0.600 | — | — |
| 5 | Courancove Wild | — | 0.599 | — | 0.615 |
| 6 | Flyers Geezer | — | 0.597 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.