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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Country Skipperd 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 29 (1) | 14 (6) | 19 (5) | 16 (6) | 33 (1) | 28 (2) | 47 (4) | 23 (5) | 35 | 35 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 27 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Boherdota Angelb 2y 9 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 21 (3) | 17 (5) | 17 (4) | 22 (3) | 20 (4) | 23 (3) | 20 (4) | 17 (5) | 23 (3) | 14 (5) | 33 | 12 | - | 7 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Enchanted Blazed 4y 16 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 22 (4) | 19 (5) | 21 (4) | 19 (4) | 21 (3) | 27 (1) | 10 | 33 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Trionas Destinyb 2y 8 | P T Maynard — 21% R174 W36 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 47 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (5) | 34 (5) | 39 (4) | 34 (5) | 24 (6) | 31 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 11 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Takend 2y 9 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 29 (1) | 21 (2) | 26 (2) | 19 (5) | 12 (6) | 28 (1) | 23 (3) | 27 (2) | 19 (4) | 29 (1) | 1 | 36 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 6/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Country Skipper | 16.43 | 16.86 | 17.09 | 55 | +0.66 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Boherdota Angel | 16.85 | 17.11 | 16.87 | 47 | +0.02 | Grade rise | |
| 3 | Enchanted Blaze | 16.60 | 16.93 | 16.93 | 53 | +0.33 | Danger | |
| 4 | Trionas Destiny | 16.96 | 17.13 | 16.96 | 43 | 0.00 | Slowest, weak trap | |
| 5 | Hawkfield Taken | 16.59 | 17.07 | 16.99 | 50 | +0.40 | Best trap |
Minimum trip once more, and trap 6 has been the best box in this grade over the course of the day but is absent today, leaving trap 5 as the strongest available draw at nearly 22.5%, with trap 4 the weakest. Country Skipper is the fastest in the field on recorded times and the only runner with a clearly above-average early pace figure, which matters enormously at a trip with no time to make up lost ground. Hawkfield Taken holds the best available trap and has been a model of consistency without quite winning recently. A tightly-matched field on ability but the pace data points clearly to one dog.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and the only runner with a clearly strong early pace figure, exactly the profile that wins at this minimum trip. Won at the tougher D4 grade two starts back in a genuinely quick time, and her balanced racing style should serve her well regardless of trap. Trap 1 has been a below-par box in this grade, which is the main knock, but the pace advantage on offer is significant enough to outweigh it.
The second-fastest dog in the field on recorded times, and won at this same grade three starts back in a genuinely sharp time. Recent finishes have been in the frame without threatening the win — fourth last time out. Trap 3 has been a below-par box in this grade, which caps her chance somewhat, but the raw pace makes her the clearest threat to the selection.
Steps up from the easier D6 grade after a third-place finish there. A fair trap for this grade and middling recorded pace, but her performance figures are the lowest of this field and nothing in her recent form suggests she's ready to trouble the leaders at this level.
Has been racing over the longer 460 metres at a tougher grade in her last few starts and switches back to the minimum trip today. The slowest dog in this field on recorded times and drawn in the weakest trap in this grade too. A tough set of circumstances to overcome, even accounting for the drop back in distance.
Drawn in the best available trap in this grade and has been a consistent frame-filler recently — second last time out and rarely far away, though without a win in her last six starts. Her recorded pace sits around the middle of this field. The trap gives her a genuine structural plus, but she needs to find that little bit extra to get her head in front.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the best box in D5 at Valley over 260m but is a non-runner today, leaving trap 5 as the strongest available draw at 22.46%. Trap 4 is the weakest at 13.91%. Speed rank 1 wins 30.43%, an exceptionally strong signal — and the pick is the clear pace leader in this field.
T1:15.38% T2:21.23% T3:15.93% T4:13.91% T5:22.46% T6:24.35%
1,936 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Country Skipper | 0.649 | 0.643 |
| 2 | Boherdota Angel | 0.658 | — |
| 3 | Enchanted Blaze | 0.651 | — |
| 4 | Trionas Destiny | 0.659 | 0.658 |
| 5 | Hawkfield Taken | 0.654 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.