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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clairekeith Dexid 3y 7 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 52 (4) | 55 (4) | 57 (3) | 46 (4) | 59 (4) | 57 (3) | 75 (1) | 67 (1) | 46 (5) | 36 (5) | 24 | 27 | 44 | 19 | 55 | 43 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Johnny Rockerd 5y 16 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 56 (2) | 65 (2) | 70 (1) | 64 (2) | 46 (5) | 67 (1) | 54 (3) | 66 (1) | 34 (6) | 43 (4) | 15 | 32 | 31 | 44 | 59 | 46 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Yougo Finnd 3y 9 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 54 | 62 (2) | 67 (1) | 52 (2) | 50 (4) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 64 (2) | 54 (4) | 66 (2) | 65 (3) | 61 | 40 | 27 | 37 | 58 | 56 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Tessab 3y 34 | D A Dark — 29% R41 W12 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 43 (5) | 55 (5) | 66 (2) | 54 (1) | 54 (3) | 66 (6) | 48 (3) | 57 (2) | - | - | 30 | 21 | 17 | 28 | 55 | 38 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mustang Maverickd 2y 10 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 57 (3) | 47 (5) | 53 (2) | 63 (3) | 50 (4) | 46 (5) | 50 (5) | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 48 (5) | 30 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 44 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Miss Swiftb 2y 8 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 59 (3) | 66 (1) | 67 (1) | 54 (3) | 51 (2) | 52 (3) | 40 (6) | 51 (3) | 42 (4) | 54 (2) | 25 | 26 | 11 | 32 | 56 | 45 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clairekeith Dexi | 30.10 | 30.47 | 30.21 | 47 | +0.11 | Steady A5 form | |
| 2 | Johnny Rocker | 30.09 | 30.37 | 30.29 | 48 | +0.20 | Best C&D record | |
| 3 | Yougo Finn | 29.93 | 30.21 | 30.11 | 57 | +0.18 | Model's top pick | |
| 4 | Magical Tessa | 30.12 | 30.33 | 30.43 | 47 | +0.31 | Dropped from OR | |
| 5 | Mustang Maverick | 30.14 | 30.29 | 30.14 | 51 | 0.00 | Best bend rating | |
| 6 | Miss Swift | 30.15 | 30.38 | 30.15 | 49 | 0.00 | Fast early, fades |
Hove's approach to the 500-metre trip is famously bumpy and physical - a track where heavier, stronger-striding dogs cope with the traffic better than the finesse types, and where trap one usually leads the track-wide bias table at around 23%. This particular A5 slice tells a slightly different story: trap three is the standout box here, winning 22.3% from 367 runs, with trap five the one to avoid at 16.7%. There's no big pace query at either end of this line-up - three of the six (Clairekeith Dexi, Johnny Rocker, Magical Tessa) are out-and-out closers who want the leaders to go off too hard, while Yougo Finn and Mustang Maverick carry the strongest early speed and share the best bend ratings in the field. Yougo Finn ticks almost every box - best trap, fastest on the clock, best bend rating, and every rating model in the building lands on her as the clear top pick. If she gets across cleanly from three this could be over by the corner; if there's any trouble, Mustang Maverick and Miss Swift are best placed to profit.
Recent form all in graded A5 races, no trial contamination - form reads 62, 67, 52, 50, 53, 46 with the last two runs both placing second, showing she's arrived at the right level. Fastest in the field on the clock by some distance and carries the best first-bend rating alongside Mustang Maverick, and every rating model in the system - from the raw composite to the machine-learning probability score - lands on her as the standout selection, a genuinely rare alignment. Drawn in trap three, which has been the best-performing box in this exact grade and trip, winning over one in five compared with just 16.7% from the worst draw. An all-rounder who can race handy or come from off the pace depending on how it unfolds, which suits a track where the bend-one battle decides plenty. The clear one to beat.
All recent starts have come in graded A5 company - form of 57, 47, 53, 63, 50, 46, with a peak of 63 three runs back showing she can raise her game when needed. Shares the best first-bend rating in the field with Yougo Finn and is the second-fastest on raw pace figures, an all-rounder who doesn't need things to fall her way to be involved. The one blot is the draw - trap five has been the weakest box in this exact grade and trip, managing only 16.7% against trap three's 22.3% - and she's still to open her account at this course and distance from ten attempts, albeit with a place to her name. If she can overcome the outside draw, the finishing speed is there to trouble the selection.
Solid, consistent form in A5 company - 56, 65, 70, 64, 46, 67 - with a second-place finish last time out and a peak of 70 three runs back proving she's competitive at this level. Boasts the best course and distance record in the race, with three wins and six places from her last ten runs at Hove over the trip, a genuinely strong angle. Not the fastest in the field on the clock, but a reliable finisher who is rarely far away, and trap two has been a fair rather than favoured box in this exact grade. Each-way interest given the track knowledge she clearly has.
Form of 52, 55, 57, 46, 59, 57 in graded A5 and A4 company, workmanlike without ever standing out - no run below 46 in the last six, which shows a reliable if unspectacular floor. Finishes strongly from off the pace but her early speed is the weakest in this field, which could leave her with too much to do at a track where the first bend matters. Trap one has traditionally been Hove's strongest draw track-wide but sits mid-table in this specific grade slice. A workmanlike sort more likely to pick up a place than trouble the front two.
Grade context is the story here - she was rated in Open Race company at her peak and has dropped sixteen grade steps to reach this A5, so an average built partly against much stronger opposition should be treated with real caution. Recent form of 43, 55, 66, 54, 54, 66 in graded company shows genuine ability when at her best, with two runs in the 60s among the last six. Finishes strongly from off the pace and is a very consistent performer, but the early speed figures suggest she may be doing her best work too late in this generally sharp field. A dog capable of a big run given the grade drop, but not the most reliable vote.
Very consistent form in graded A5 company - 59, 66, 67, 54, 51, 52 - with a placed run last time out and nothing below 51 across the last six, one of the steadiest form lines in the race. Carries the sharpest early pace in the field and a bend rating to match, but tends to lose ground in the closing stages once the leaders arrive at the business end, so needs to open enough of a gap early to hang on. Trap six has been a fair rather than favoured box in this exact grade, and her trainer's 26% strike rate is a respectable supporting angle. Capable of setting the pace but vulnerable to the finishers stacked up behind her.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins better than one in four at this exact grade and trip, and trap three is a genuine structural edge here - a reversal from Hove's usual trap-one bias track-wide.
Trap 3 22.3%, Trap 2 20.6%, Trap 6 19.7%, Trap 4 18.5%, Trap 1 18.2%, Trap 5 16.7%
1,796 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Clairekeith Dexi | 36 | 95 | Closer |
2Johnny Rocker | 47 | 59 | Closer |
3Yougo Finn | 54 | 41 | All-Rounder |
4Magical Tessa | 0 | 64 | Closer |
5Mustang Maverick | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
6Miss Swift | 57 | 7 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clairekeith Dexi | 0.609 | — |
| 2 | Johnny Rocker | 0.607 | — |
| 3 | Yougo Finn | 0.604 | — |
| 4 | Magical Tessa | 0.606 | — |
| 5 | Mustang Maverick | 0.606 | — |
| 6 | Miss Swift | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.