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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Itsgiving Delulub 2y 18 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 43 | 57 (3) | 48 (5) | 56 (3) | 71 (1) | 44 (6) | 40 (6) | 68 (1) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 61 (2) | 2 | 23 | 12 | 24 | 54 | 34 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ An Gaoithe Ruad 3y 111 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 57 (3) | 52 (3) | 73 (1) | 51 (4) | 38 (6) | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 58 (5) | 62 (6) | - | 1 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 54 | 39 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cantcallhimaerod 2y 8 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 63 (2) | 57 (3) | 45 (4) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 58 (2) | 71 (1) | 45 (5) | 53 (2) | 60 (2) | 31 | 22 | 11 | 20 | 52 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bathams Pantherd 2y 16 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 45 (6) | 48 (5) | 64 (2) | 54 (4) | 56 (5) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 56 (5) | 61 (3) | 46 (5) | 16 | 28 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 31 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gemmas Hopeb 2y 18 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 50 (4) | 53 (5) | 46 (5) | 62 (3) | 65 (2) | 72 (1) | 58 (3) | 55 (3) | 39 (5) | 70 (1) | 28 | 27 | 20 | 25 | 57 | 43 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Play On Wordsd 2yN/R 25 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 93 | - | 40 (2) | 36 (4) | 41 (2) | 100 (1) | 85 (2) | 67 (5) | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 46 | 47 | - | - | 87 | 71 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itsgiving Delulu | 27.92 | 28.33 | 28.29 | 44 | +0.37 | Closer | |
| 2 | An Gaoithe Rua | 27.82 | 28.36 | 27.82 | 52 | 0.00 | Best trap in grade | |
| 3 | Cantcallhimaero | 27.88 | 28.38 | 28.11 | 46 | +0.23 | Modest | |
| 4 | Bathams Panther | 27.92 | 28.20 | 28.35 | 43 | +0.43 | Weakest draw, below best | |
| 5 | Gemmas Hope | 27.89 | 28.20 | 27.90 | 53 | +0.01 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Play On Words | All recent form is over the 261m sprint - no proven form at this longer trip, so times aren't directly comparable. | — | Never raced this far | ||||
Sunderland's 450 metres remains a genuinely tricky trip to call, with trap 2 the standout box in this grade at 20.4% and trap 4 the weakest at 16.2%. The complication in this particular race is the dog in trap 6, who arrives with sprint-track figures that dwarf everything else in the field, but every one of her recent starts has come over the minimum trip - she's never raced this far before, and that's a real unknown rather than a form guide. Among the proven performers over this trip, it's a fairly tight, competitive affair without a standout, so this comes down to fine margins between several fairly similar types.
The best-rated dog among the field's proven performers over this trip, with the fastest average time and the top speed rating of any dog with genuine 450-metre form. She was beaten further than her figures suggest last time out, but the underlying pace has been consistent and competitive for this grade throughout. Trainer M K Bulmer's numbers are moderate rather than outstanding, but the raw pace case here is the strongest among the dogs with a track record at this trip.
Drawn in trap 2, the standout box in this specific grade at this track, and her recent form is solid with a place last time out from this same grade. Trainer P Miller has a strong recent record at this level. A fair blend of pace and positioning that gives her every chance if the race unfolds evenly.
By far the fastest and highest-rated dog in this field on paper, with performances at the minimum trip that put her in a different class to the rest of this race - including a win at the top OR grade a few starts back. The catch is she has never raced anywhere near this distance before, stepping up from 261 metres to nearly double that tonight, and there's no way to know from the data whether that raw speed will translate over the longer trip. If it does, she wins this with ease. If it doesn't, the writing is on the wall from the first bend.
A closer who has been finishing races in mid-table without threatening the front two recently. Her early pace figures are the weakest in the field among the proven performers over this trip, so she's reliant on the pace up front being strong enough for her to be doing her best work late.
Placed last time out with a modest but respectable performance, sitting in the middle of this field on both pace and rating. Nothing wrong with the effort but nothing that marks her out as a standout either.
Dropping down after finishing well beaten at the tougher A4 grade last time out, so there's a case that this drop in company suits her, but her raw pace figures are among the weakest in this field and trap 4 has been the poorest draw in this grade at this track.
Key insight: Trap 2 remains the standout box in this grade at this track. No dog in this field with proven 450m form clearly separates itself on the model, so the trap 6 sprinter's unknown quantity is the biggest single talking point.
T1:17.9% T2:20.4% T3:20.2% T4:16.2% T5:18.3% T6:19.2%
1,815 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Itsgiving Delulu | 38 | 68 | Closer |
2An Gaoithe Rua | 50 | 40 | All-Rounder |
3Cantcallhimaero | 51 | 37 | All-Rounder |
4Bathams Panther | 40 | 69 | Closer |
5Gemmas Hope | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Play On Words | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itsgiving Delulu | 0.629 | — |
| 2 | An Gaoithe Rua | 0.630 | 0.564 |
| 3 | Cantcallhimaero | 0.630 | — |
| 4 | Bathams Panther | 0.626 | — |
| 5 | Gemmas Hope | 0.626 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.