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The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calabinab 2yN/R 25 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 59 (1) | 31 (6) | 33 (6) | 30 (5) | 52 (1) | 30 (5) | 43 (4) | 53 (1) | 36 (3) | 28 (6) | 21 | 25 | - | - | 41 | 24 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rathronan Anab 2y 37 | S Linley — 16% R373 W58 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 55 (6) | 37 (3) | 47 (1) | 33 (3) | 35 (3) | 46 (1) | 61 (5) | 48 (1) | 41 (2) | 45 (1) | 25 | 47 | 56 | 38 | 41 | 22 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tullymurry Shineb 3y 6 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 47 (1) | 41 (2) | 60 (3) | 46 (1) | 31 (6) | 45 (2) | 31 (3) | 78 (3) | 59 (5) | 36 (3) | 29 | 31 | 45 | 42 | 44 | 42 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Scarsdale Prontod 3y 16 | S Linley — 16% R373 W58 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 33 (3) | 33 (3) | 40 (2) | 47 (1) | 32 (4) | 48 (4) | 48 (1) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 35 (3) | 45 | 52 | 56 | 41 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kingdom Kidd 4y 15 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 32 (4) | 40 (1) | 30 (5) | 65 (5) | 44 (1) | 46 (1) | 35 (3) | 39 (2) | 43 (6) | 34 (4) | 32 | 37 | 39 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Play On Wordsd 2y 7 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 40 (2) | 36 (4) | 41 (2) | 100 (1) | 85 (2) | 67 (5) | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 48 | 47 | 21 | 44 | 38 | 41 | 3 | 13/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calabina | All recent form is over the longer 450m trip - no times logged at this minimum distance, so there's nothing directly comparable. | — | Stepping down from 450m | ||||
| 2 | Rathronan Ana | 15.59 | 15.92 | 16.40 | 52 | +0.81 | Return from long layoff | |
| 3 | Tullymurry Shine | 15.69 | 15.99 | 15.69 | 52 | 0.00 | Won last time, best trap | |
| 4 | Scarsdale Pronto | 15.57 | 15.91 | 16.01 | 51 | +0.44 | Fast in patches | |
| 5 | Kingdom Kid | 15.91 | 16.08 | 16.17 | 40 | +0.26 | Slowest in the field | |
| 6 | Play On Words | 15.84 | 15.90 | 15.80 | 50 | -0.04 | Model pick, best average | |
A decent-quality sprint over the minimum trip, where trap 3 has been the standout box in this grade at 25.4% but pace and current form matter at least as much as the draw at this distance. Two dogs stand out clearly from the rest on both raw times and the blended rating, with the model splitting them by the narrowest of margins. One brings a much stronger trainer signal and the fastest average time in the field, backed by a spectacular effort a few starts back at a tougher level; the other is fresh from a win at this exact grade and drawn in the best trap in the race. It's a two-horse race on the figures, with the rest of the field some way behind.
Drops down in grade after running well at the tougher OR level a few starts back, including a career-best performance that dwarfed almost everything else on this card. She carries the best average time in this entire field and her trainer is doing well at this track, right on a three-in-ten strike rate. Just a fraction behind the top-rated dog on the model but with the stronger recent quality of form behind her - the class edge from racing tougher company recently should tell.
Won last time out at this exact grade and track, backing that up with the fastest last-time figure in this field and a share of the top speed rating too. She's drawn in trap 3, comfortably the best-performing box in this grade at this track, and carries the highest blended rating in the race, if only by a whisker. A fresh, in-form runner with the best draw available.
Won last time out, but that was over the much longer 450m trip - she has no recorded form at this minimum distance at all, so there's genuinely nothing to compare her on here. A pure unknown at this trip regardless of how well she's been running over further.
Has decent raw pace figures on the clock but her last outing was nearly five months ago at a much higher grade, well beaten. That's a significant layoff and a big step down in company, both of which add uncertainty. Trap 2 has been the weakest box in this grade too.
Owns the fastest single time on record in this field but hasn't been able to back it up consistently, with modest placed finishes in her recent starts. A fair trap in this grade but the raw talent hasn't been translating into wins lately.
The slowest dog in the field on every measure of pace, and her recent finishes have been off the pace throughout. Hard to see her troubling the leading pair from this trap.
Key insight: Trap 3 is comfortably the best box in this grade at 25.4%, but the composite figure is only a modest guide here (17.1% for the top pick), so this race is being decided on raw pace and current form rather than the draw alone.
T1:16.4% T2:11.9% T3:25.4% T4:15.9% T5:19.0% T6:16.5%
443 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 270m | 290m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rathronan Ana | 0.613 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Tullymurry Shine | 0.612 | — | 0.596 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Scarsdale Pronto | 0.613 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Kingdom Kid | 0.617 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Play On Words | 0.609 | 0.599 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.