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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maes Starb 3y 7 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 33 (2) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 14 (6) | 26 (3) | 31 (1) | 16 (5) | 22 (6) | 23 (5) | 24 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 26 | 28 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Soulwaxb 2y 17 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 35 (2) | 27 (6) | 50 (6) | 46 (6) | 64 (1) | 57 (2) | 52 (5) | 54 (3) | 38 (6) | - | 39 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 35 | 26 | 1 | 4/7F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lightfoot Kayb 3y 16 | S Linley — 16% R373 W58 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 25 (5) | 32 (6) | 70 (2) | 58 (2) | 66 (2) | 60 (4) | 61 (4) | 53 (5) | 56 (5) | 62 (3) | 29 | 35 | - | - | 25 | 19 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ On Boardb 2y 7 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 24 (3) | 32 (6) | 52 (5) | 35 (5) | 69 (1) | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 54 (4) | 36 | 33 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Westforth Doit d 2y 8 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 28 (4) | 31 (1) | 32 (2) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 56 (3) | 69 (1) | 44 | 51 | 21 | 44 | 32 | 36 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Stackemup Tinyb 1y 7 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 31 (3) | 28 (3) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 27 (4) | 75 (1) | 70 (1) | 65 (2) | 56 (2) | 47 (3) | 34 | 32 | - | - | 25 | 25 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maes Star | 16.06 | 16.39 | 16.09 | 49 | +0.03 | Steady | |
| 2 | Soulwax | 16.00 | 16.00 | 15.95 | 61 | -0.05 | Fastest in the field | |
| 3 | Lightfoot Kay | 16.22 | 16.22 | 16.22 | 50 | 0.00 | Closer, needs pace | |
| 4 | On Board | 16.08 | 16.30 | 16.25 | 48 | +0.17 | Out of form | |
| 5 | Westforth Doit | 16.08 | 16.32 | 16.12 | 50 | +0.04 | Best composite figure | |
| 6 | Stackemup Tiny | 16.20 | 16.41 | 16.10 | 47 | -0.10 | Closer, best trap here |
Sunderland's minimum trip of 261 metres is a sprint where the draw barely matters and raw pace does almost all the talking - the split between the best and worst boxes here is only a handful of percentage points, nothing like the bias seen over the standard trip. What matters far more at this distance is who's fastest on the clock, and one dog in this field has been comfortably the quickest through recent runs, with the fastest last-time speed figure of the six. Closers tend to struggle to make up the ground in a sprint this short, so this is a race for the pace types who can get to the front and stay there.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field - the best average time, the fastest last-time figure, and the top speed rating by some distance. A sharp-pacing type who tends to lead but can weaken late, which matters less at this minimum trip where getting there first counts for most of the race. Recent form has dipped slightly from a strong peak a few runs back, but the raw pace hasn't gone anywhere, and at this track and distance speed is a far more reliable guide than the blended rating.
Carries the best blended rating in the field and her trainer is in good form at this track, close to a three-in-ten strike rate. Her raw times are solid without matching the very fastest in the race, but the model likes her more than most, and if the pace up front goes too hard she could be the one to pick up the pieces.
Placed last time out and has been fairly consistent without ever threatening the very best in this grade. Her times are respectable but nowhere near the pace of the fastest dog in this field, and trap 1 has been the weakest box at this track and distance. Needs a big step forward to be involved at the finish.
A confirmed closer stepping down after finishing well beaten at a higher grade last time out. At this minimum trip closers rarely have enough time to make up lost ground, and her early pace figures don't suggest she'll be prominent soon enough to matter.
Struggled last time out, finishing well beaten, and the recent figures have been on the low side for this grade throughout. Nothing in her recent form suggests she's about to turn it around against a field with faster raw pace on show.
Another confirmed closer drawn in the best-performing trap in this specific grade, which at least gives her a fair run into the race, but her running style still works against her at the minimum trip. Recent form has been modest with nothing standing out.
Key insight: The composite figure is genuinely poor at this track and distance - the top-rated dog only wins 14.1% of the time, well below the fastest dog in the field, who wins nearly 20% as the speed-rank leader. Raw pace is the number to trust here, not the blended rating.
T1:12.9% T2:14.3% T3:18.9% T4:18.1% T5:14.3% T6:19.4%
1,070 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 290m | 325m | 350m | 400m | 450m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maes Star | 0.628 | 0.617 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Soulwax | 0.613 | — | 0.560 | 0.557 | 0.551 | 0.646 | 0.575 |
| 3 | Lightfoot Kay | 0.621 | — | — | — | — | 0.628 | — |
| 4 | On Board | 0.625 | — | — | — | — | 0.632 | — |
| 5 | Westforth Doit | 0.625 | — | — | — | — | 0.643 | — |
| 6 | Stackemup Tiny | 0.629 | — | — | — | — | 0.628 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.