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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballintemple Bayd 3y 6 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 16 (4) | 16 (6) | 15 (6) | 15 (6) | 18 (4) | 20 (3) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 30 | 29 | - | - | 19 | 23 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Beanos Codyd 1y | G Strike — 20% R424 W85 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 19 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | 16 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Obsessedd 3y 6 | J A Teal — 14% R218 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 23 (3) | 23 (2) | 21 (5) | 13 (6) | 19 (5) | 27 (3) | 22 (4) | 24 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 12 | 21 | 44 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Eskimo Boltd 1y 6 | G Strike — 20% R424 W85 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 17 (5) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 5 | - | - | 19 | 17 | 3 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kilbride Robinb 3y 13 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 15 (5) | 14 (6) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 22 (3) | 19 (6) | 19 (5) | 17 (5) | - | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Nickyb 1y 8 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | - | 24 (3) | 16 (6) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 17 (5) | 24 (4) | 28 (5) | 37 (4) | 47 (3) | 34 (4) | 16 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballintemple Bay | 16.60 | 16.83 | 16.68 | 48 | +0.08 | Best trap in this grade | |
| 2 | Beanos Cody | 16.77 | 16.77 | 16.67 | 46 | -0.10 | Only 1 run in dataset | |
| 3 | Obsessed | 16.33 | 16.60 | 16.53 | 60 | +0.20 | Fast but weakest trap | |
| 4 | Eskimo Bolt | 16.49 | 16.73 | 16.92 | 48 | +0.43 | Below best last time | |
| 5 | Kilbride Robin | 16.62 | 16.81 | 16.88 | 45 | +0.26 | Lowest figures in field | |
| 6 | Jacktavern Nicky | 16.36 | 16.56 | 16.36 | 63 | 0.00 | Model pick |
The lowest grade on the card over the minimum 261 metres, where pace and bend ability matter far more than the draw and the field is tightly bunched on modest recent form. Two dogs stand out from the pack on raw speed, both quicker through their recent races than the rest of this field, and one of those two also carries the best blended rating - a rare case of the figures pointing the same way in a race that's otherwise hard to split. Trap 1 has had the best of it in this small sample at this grade, so the dog drawn there shouldn't be entirely dismissed either.
Tops this field on both the raw speed figures and the blended rating, a rare case of the numbers agreeing at a track that usually resists a clean read. Her sharp early pace suggests she'll be involved from the get-go, though her profile tends to fade in the closing stages, which matters less at this minimum trip where getting there first counts for most of the race. Trap 6 has been a productive box in this small sample too.
The fastest dog in the field on both best and average time, and her recent form has been steady if unspectacular for this grade. The concern is the draw - trap 3 has been comfortably the weakest box in this small sample, winning barely one in ten - so she needs her pace advantage to overcome a difficult trap.
Modest figures throughout her recent starts, but she's drawn in the trap that has done best in this specific grade at this track, winning almost three in ten from a small sample. The pace figures don't excite, but the draw gives her a puncher's chance in a race with no dominant favourite.
Very little data to go on with only one race showing at this grade and track, finishing third last time out. Trap 2 has been one of the weaker boxes in this grade, and there simply isn't enough evidence to make a strong case either way.
Finished well beaten last time out and her figures sit in the lower half of this field. Trap 4 has been a productive box in this grade, which offers some cushion, but the recent form doesn't inspire much confidence.
The lowest average rating in this field and nothing in her recent starts to suggest she's building towards a big run. A big outsider on the figures available.
Key insight: A small sample for this specific grade, so treat the trap swings as a lean rather than gospel, but the speed-rank leader has been a much stronger signal than the composite pick at this distance generally.
T1:29.1% T2:15.4% T3:10.7% T4:26.2% T5:23.1% T6:25.0%
307 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballintemple Bay | 0.645 | — |
| 2 | Beanos Cody | 0.643 | — |
| 3 | Obsessed | 0.635 | — |
| 4 | Eskimo Bolt | 0.641 | — |
| 5 | Kilbride Robin | 0.644 | — |
| 6 | Jacktavern Nicky | 0.634 | 0.642 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.