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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Alno Deeb 3y 15 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 35 | 32 (4) | 21 (3) | 15 (5) | 39 (4) | 17 (4) | 15 (5) | 33 (5) | 23 (3) | 20 (3) | 17 (3) | 1 | 5 | - | - | 24 | 30 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Redbrick Whitneyb 2y 8 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 39 (3) | 38 (4) | 32 (5) | 31 (4) | 46 (2) | 54 (1) | 46 (2) | 55 (1) | 53 (3) | 53 (1) | 17 | 29 | - | 32 | 42 | 47 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Naginib 3y 24 | S A Birks — 17% R186 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 34 (4) | 50 (2) | 25 (5) | 21 (2) | 25 (4) | 20 (2) | 13 (4) | 19 (5) | 19 (4) | - | 47 | 37 | - | 14 | 28 | 24 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tiktok Expressb 4y 23 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 52 | 22 (2) | 22 (3) | 30 (5) | 27 (1) | 41 (3) | 36 (5) | 31 (5) | 26 (5) | 22 (3) | 26 (1) | 28 | 25 | - | 4 | 28 | 36 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gordons Bennettd 3y 9 | P J Manley — 24% R55 W13 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 53 | 56 (1) | 43 (3) | 46 (3) | 32 (4) | 35 (5) | 39 (3) | 56 (1) | 61 (1) | 34 (4) | 9 (6) | 36 | 27 | - | 30 | 44 | 53 | 1 | 2/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alno Dee | 29.03 | 29.23 | 29.27 | 44 | +0.24 | Distance suit 0 | |
| 3 | Redbrick Whitney | 28.85 | 29.04 | 28.98 | 54 | +0.13 | Strong C&D form | |
| 4 | Ballymac Nagini | 29.02 | 29.07 | 29.12 | 49 | +0.10 | Little C&D form | |
| 5 | Tiktok Express | 28.95 | 29.28 | 29.26 | 44 | +0.31 | Up from sprint LTO | |
| 6 | Gordons Bennett | 28.69 | 29.02 | 28.69 | 61 | 0.00 | Model pick, won LTO |
Doncaster's 450 metres is a fair galloping trip, and at this B7 grade the outside box has been the standout - trap 6 wins a third of the time from over 40 runs, while trap 1 has been almost unwinnable at under 9%. Gordons Bennett has that trap 6 draw and looks the class of this race - the fastest in the field on the clock, won last time out from this exact grade and trip, and has been racing consistently well at this course and distance for weeks. Redbrick Whitney is the closest thing to a danger, with strong course-and-distance form of her own from trap 3. The rest of this field have shown little to trouble the front two, with Alno Dee never having threatened over this trip and Tiktok Express stepping up sharply from a sprint last time out.
Won last time out at this exact grade and trip and is the clear fastest dog in this field on recent times. Trap six has been a huge edge at this grade, winning a third of all races here, and he's drawn to use it again. Three wins and three places from ten course-and-distance starts back up the raw speed, and the top-rated dog on the day's ratings with a healthy gap back to the field. Every signal - the trap, the speed, the course-and-distance record and the rating - points the same way.
Third last time out but with a strong course-and-distance record behind her - three wins and five places from ten starts at this exact track and trip, the best of anyone in this field bar the selection. Second-fastest in the field on the clock and drawn in a trap that's produced nearly a quarter of the winners here. The obvious danger if the top pick has an off day.
The slowest in the field on recent times and has never won at this course and distance from three attempts. The data flags this exact trip as an unknown quantity for her - form at this specific distance has been essentially non-existent. Very hard to make a case for her against this field.
Fourth last time out over six weeks ago and has shown little in between. Only two runs at this course and distance with just a single place to show for it. A modest trap and nothing in the recent form to suggest she can trouble the front two here.
Placed second last time out but that was over the minimum sprint trip, nearly 200 metres shorter than today's race - a big step up in distance to assess. Five course-and-distance runs here have produced nothing better than mid-pack finishes. The jump in trip is the main question mark.
Key insight: Trap 6 is a huge structural edge at this grade, winning a third of races from 42 runs, while trap 1 barely wins one in eleven. The top-rated dog wins 29.0% here - one of the strongest composite signals across the whole card.
T1:8.6% T2:22.2% T3:24.6% T4:19.5% T5:23.1% T6:33.3%
343 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Alno Dee | 35 | 100 | Closer |
3Redbrick Whitney | 45 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Nagini | 54 | 9 | All-Rounder |
5Tiktok Express | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
6Gordons Bennett | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alno Dee | 0.661 | 0.649 |
| 3 | Redbrick Whitney | — | 0.645 |
| 4 | Ballymac Nagini | 0.655 | 0.646 |
| 5 | Tiktok Express | 0.653 | 0.651 |
| 6 | Gordons Bennett | — | 0.645 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.