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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bob Jezabelled 3y 16 | P J Manley — 24% R55 W13 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 22 (6) | 18 (3) | 23 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 21 | 15 | 2 | 11/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fond Favouriteb 4y 37 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 20 (5) | 19 (4) | 21 (5) | 24 (5) | 59 (1) | 37 (4) | 58 (1) | 52 (2) | 27 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cairo Girlb 4y 14 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 16 (4) | 15 (5) | 22 (2) | 15 (5) | 26 (1) | 20 (3) | 16 (5) | 24 (2) | 19 (3) | 19 (4) | 26 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Hybridb 4y 15 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 20 (3) | 18 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 24 (5) | 29 (3) | 19 (1) | 20 (3) | 30 (4) | - | 22 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Shanghai Stitchb 4y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 19 (4) | 26 (2) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 18 (5) | 27 (1) | 32 (5) | 32 | 26 | 32 | 34 | 23 | 26 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Jezabelle | 17.83 | 17.99 | — | 56 | — | 6th LTO, weak C&D | |
| 3 | Fond Favourite | 17.88 | 18.10 | 18.11 | 48 | +0.23 | 0 wins from 5 | |
| 4 | Cairo Girl | 17.89 | 18.36 | 18.40 | 40 | +0.51 | Best trap in field | |
| 5 | Savana Hybrid | 17.72 | 18.09 | 18.08 | 52 | +0.36 | 2nd-best trap | |
| 6 | Shanghai Stitch | 17.62 | 17.91 | 17.86 | 60 | +0.24 | Model pick |
Doncaster's minimum trip is all about early speed and a clean run to the first bend, and at this D5 grade the fastest dog in the field wins nearly four in ten races - one of the strongest speed signals anywhere on today's card, comfortably outweighing trap position. Shanghai Stitch is both the fastest dog in this field and tops the day's ratings, a rare case of every major signal lining up on one dog even though her trap six draw hasn't been a strong box at this specific grade. Cairo Girl has the best draw in the race by some distance, trap four winning over a third of the time here, and a reasonable course-and-distance record to go with it, but she's clearly the slowest on the clock. The rest of the field are considerably further back on pace, with Bob Jezabelle the only other runner with a notable turn of foot.
The fastest dog in this field on recent times, and at this grade the fastest dog wins nearly four in ten races - the single strongest signal on today's whole card. Also tops the day's ratings, a rare case of speed and rating pointing the same way. Second last time out, and five places from nine course-and-distance starts shows she's a reliable frame contender at this trip even before factoring in the raw pace. The trap draw isn't ideal, historically the weakest box at this grade, but the scale of her speed and rating advantage is enough to overcome that.
Drawn in trap four, by far the best box at this grade, winning over a third of all races from that draw. One win and three places from ten course-and-distance starts gives her a reasonable base to work from. Fourth last time out. The catch is the pace - she's the slowest dog in this field on recent times by a clear margin - but the trap advantage is big enough to make her the most obvious threat to the selection.
The second-fastest dog in the field on recent times but finished last of six in her latest start and hasn't placed from four course-and-distance attempts. Rates the lowest of the field on the day's ratings. The raw speed is there but the current form is a real worry.
Fourth last time out and has failed to win or place from five course-and-distance starts. A reasonable box at this grade but the pace is middling and there's little in the recent form to get excited about. Hard to make a strong case for her against the pace-setters.
Third last time out and drawn in the second-best trap at this grade, winning close to 29% from that box. A win and a place from eight course-and-distance starts is a reasonable record. Solid without any single standout factor to lift her above the top two.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins 39.4% of races at this grade - the strongest speed signal on the whole card today - even though trap 4 and trap 5 are the strongest boxes and trap 6 has been below average.
T1:19.1% T2:19.6% T3:25.0% T4:34.5% T5:28.8% T6:18.6%
344 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Jezabelle | — | 0.654 | — | — |
| 3 | Fond Favourite | — | 0.658 | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Cairo Girl | — | 0.668 | — | — |
| 5 | Savana Hybrid | 0.630 | 0.658 | — | — |
| 6 | Shanghai Stitch | — | 0.651 | 0.654 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.