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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fast And Fierced 1y 3 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 60 (1) | 35 (5) | 38 (5) | 59 (1) | 39 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | 34 | - | 37 | 47 | 44 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Stoney Bonod 2y 7 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 61 (1) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 64 (2) | 58 (4) | 49 (2) | 34 (5) | 61 (1) | 48 (3) | 58 (1) | 37 | 37 | - | 38 | 55 | 49 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackshored 2y 17 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 43 (4) | 59 (1) | 37 (4) | 53 (2) | 50 (2) | 52 (2) | 45 (4) | 39 (4) | 57 (2) | 59 (1) | 45 | 44 | - | 46 | 49 | 46 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Saleen Robinb 3y 26 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 70 (2) | 54 (2) | 58 (3) | 76 (4) | 84 (3) | 72 (2) | 63 (5) | 76 (4) | 60 (5) | - | 39 | 31 | - | 40 | 67 | 43 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hes Got Styled 2y 11 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 47 (3) | 53 (2) | 59 (1) | 49 (3) | 44 (2) | 49 (2) | 59 (1) | 45 (3) | 49 (2) | 34 (4) | 37 | 45 | - | 41 | 50 | 46 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast And Fierce | 28.04 | 28.49 | 28.04 | 47 | 0.00 | Model pick's rival | |
| 2 | Stoney Bono | 27.92 | 28.29 | 27.93 | 54 | +0.01 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Blackshore | 27.90 | 28.28 | 28.29 | 50 | +0.39 | Won LTO | |
| 4 | Saleen Robin | 28.07 | 28.07 | 28.17 | 54 | +0.10 | Drops from A2 | |
| 6 | Hes Got Style | 28.04 | 28.43 | 28.31 | 47 | +0.27 | 3rd LTO |
Doncaster's 450-metre trip is a fair galloping test where the first bend doesn't punish wide draws too harshly, and this specific B2 grade has produced a reliable trap 1 at 22.1% from over 2,000 runs, with trap 6 close behind at 21.8% - trap 5 is the one to avoid at 18.5%. Fast And Fierce should get about as fast a break as anyone from the rail but has struggled to sustain it in recent starts. Stoney Bono, drawn two, sets the pace on the clock and should be handy from the get-go without needing the rail to do it. Blackshore and Hes Got Style both come from the regular group of B2 dogs who've been racing each other for weeks - expect them mid-pack early with the finishing kick to matter late. Saleen Robin drops in from A2 company and looks the biggest engine on paper, but she's shown almost nothing early and will need traffic to open up if she's to use that closing speed.
The quickest into stride and matches the fastest recent time in this field, and trainer Steve Watson has been in outstanding form at this course and distance, winning just over three in ten. Ten runs at this exact trip here have produced three wins and five places, including a win last time out. The top-rated dog on the day's ratings too, though the margin over the next two isn't huge - this is more a case of every signal pointing the same way than one single overwhelming figure.
Won last time out at this exact grade and trip, and the course-and-distance record reads two wins and six places from ten starts - about as proven as it gets at Doncaster over 450 metres. Second-fastest in the field on the clock. The main obstacle if the selection doesn't have things her own way.
Drawn on the rail, historically the strongest box at this trip, and won last time out from this exact draw. But she tends to fade late and her recent form has been patchy either side of that win - two fifths in her last five outings. Others in this field look more consistent right now.
Drops down sharply from A2 grade and boasts the biggest raw engine in this field on recent form, but she's shown very little early pace and has barely raced at this venue and distance before - just one run here. If the pace up front collapses she could be dangerous late, but that's asking a lot without proven course knowledge.
Drawn in trap six, the second-best box here at nearly 22%, and shares a trainer with the selection who's among the best in the yard at this venue. Course-and-distance form of two wins and six places from ten starts is solid, though she was found wanting for pace last time out, finishing third. Would need things to open up in front of her to trouble the front two.
Key insight: Trap 1 leads at 22.1% from 348 runs, trap 6 close behind at 21.8% - trap 5 is weakest at 18.5%. The top-rated dog wins 25.2% at this grade, well up on the raw baseline, so B2 rewards trusting the top-rated dog.
T1:22.1% T2:19.0% T3:19.5% T4:18.5% T5:18.5% T6:21.8%
2,044 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fast And Fierce | 37 | 100 | Closer |
2Stoney Bono | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Blackshore | 53 | 17 | All-Rounder |
4Saleen Robin | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Hes Got Style | 52 | 0 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 483m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fast And Fierce | 0.633 | — | — |
| 2 | Stoney Bono | 0.629 | — | — |
| 3 | Blackshore | 0.628 | — | — |
| 4 | Saleen Robin | 0.624 | 0.623 | 0.651 |
| 6 | Hes Got Style | 0.632 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.