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www.Newcastle-Greyhounds.co.uk Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Solway Gypsyb 1y 18 | D Little — 21% R121 W25 P71 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 61 | 46 (1) | 38 (1) | 30 (3) | 25 (6) | 80 (1) | 58 (3) | 39 (6) | 65 (1) | - | - | 52 | 43 | - | 27 | 62 | 53 | 1 | 8/15F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Adrianab 3y 7 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 81 (1) | 57 (4) | 58 (4) | 50 (5) | 34 (6) | 78 (2) | 87 (1) | 70 (2) | 46 (5) | 64 (4) | 43 | 31 | 10 | 35 | 63 | 51 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Texas Queenb 2y 23 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 70 (2) | 32 (2) | 59 (3) | 35 (3) | 74 (2) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 71 (2) | 82 (1) | 63 (2) | 44 | 37 | 33 | 40 | 68 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballinderry Fayeb 2y 27 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 42 | 63 (4) | 58 (5) | 51 (5) | 75 (3) | 60 (4) | 82 (1) | 69 (2) | 52 (5) | 9 (6) | 51 (5) | 6 | 37 | 20 | 16 | 60 | 24 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Solway Ernied 2y 8 | D Little — 21% R121 W25 P71 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 64 (2) | 80 (1) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 64 (2) | 77 (1) | 59 (4) | 67 (4) | 51 (2) | - | 48 | 38 | 31 | 57 | 69 | 55 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solway Gypsy | 28.94 | 29.19 | 28.94 | 57 | 0.00 | Top speed rating | |
| 3 | Fabulous Adriana | 28.94 | 29.24 | 29.22 | 52 | +0.28 | Won last time | |
| 5 | Ballinderry Faye | 29.05 | 29.66 | 29.10 | 43 | +0.05 | First run since April | |
| 4 | Texas Queen | 29.11 | 29.27 | 29.31 | 48 | +0.20 | 6 places from 8 | |
| 6 | Solway Ernie | 29.13 | 29.32 | 29.21 | 48 | +0.08 | 3 wins from 10 here |
A five-runner A3 on Newcastle's fair galloping 480m, where the long home straight lets the strong finishers into the argument — but history at this grade carries a warning for form students: the top-rated dog on paper wins under 18% of these, while the fastest dog on the clock wins over 23%. Speed, not ratings, sorts out Newcastle A3s. Traps 1 and 3 are the strong boxes at around 21%, trap 5 the weakest. The early running belongs to Solway Gypsy from the rail — her early pace and bend numbers lead the field, and she's razor-sharp off two straight sprint wins. Texas Queen should chase her through the first two bends. Then come the stayers: Solway Ernie, the most consistent dog on the card with ten straight competitive runs, Fabulous Adriana, who won this grade in a career-best last week, and the returning Ballinderry Faye all finish their races strongly. If Gypsy gets loose on the front end she's hard to peg back; if she's pressured early, the closers feast.
The speed of the race, at a grade where speed is what wins here. Top speed rating in the field, the best early pace and first-bend numbers, the joint-fastest best time — her 28.94 came when winning at this course and distance — and she arrives off back-to-back sprint wins that will have her absolutely flying from the boxes. The rail draw is made for her: trap 1 wins 21% at this grade, and with her gate speed she should be first to the bend and saving ground all the way round. Her recent racing has been over sprints, so the question is whether she sees out the 480m under pressure — she can weaken late — but she's won over this course and distance before, and a clear lead into the long straight is the best insurance a front-runner can have.
The most dependable dog on the entire card — his last ten runs read second, first, first, second, second at A3 and A4, he has three wins and seven places from ten course and distance starts, and his average performance of 69 tops the field. He ran within 0.08 of his best last week, his distance record here is the strongest in the race, and he never runs a bad one. Two things stand between him and the pick: trap 6 wins barely 15% at this grade, and his raw speed is a step below Solway Gypsy's. But if the pace collapses in front of him — a real possibility with a sprint-sharp Fader setting the fractions — he's the one motoring home down that long straight.
Produced a career-best 81-rated performance to win at this grade and trip last week, and her 28.94 best time matches the fastest in the field. Ten course and distance runs with two wins and four places make her thoroughly proven here, and she draws trap 3, the best box at this grade. The hesitation is the pattern before last week: her previous form was a string of midfield handicap runs, so the question is whether that big win was a breakthrough or a one-off spike. She's a late runner, so the track shape helps her.
The forecast queen — six placed efforts and a win from eight course and distance runs, including a solid second at this grade last week. Her average performance rating of 68 is among the best in the race and she has enough early dash to sit right behind the leader. But the win column tells its own story: one from eight here, and her ratings seesaw from 74-peaks to 32-troughs without warning. Trap 4 is a fair box at this grade. She'll likely be in the frame again; whether she passes whoever's in front is the eternal question.
The mystery runner. She hasn't raced since April — a near three-month absence — but her comeback prep says the yard means business: she trialled here last Friday and clocked the fastest-rated trial of the session, 29.17. Before the break she was competing at A2, a grade above this, peaking with an 82-rated run. So the ability is real and the trial suggests fitness. Against that: race-rustiness is a genuine thing, she's a slow starter, and trap 5 is the worst box at this grade. A fascinating watch first time back rather than a betting proposition.
Key insight: From 1,954 A3 runs at this trip, the top-rated dog wins just 17.8% — one of the weakest model grades at this track — while the fastest dog on the clock wins 23.4%. At Newcastle A3, back the speed, not the ratings.
T1:20.9% T2:16.4% T3:21.3% T4:20.9% T5:15.1% T6:15.3%
1,954 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Solway Gypsy | 61 | 30 | Fader |
3Fabulous Adriana | 50 | 55 | Closer |
4Texas Queen | 55 | 36 | Fader |
5Ballinderry Faye | 38 | 58 | Closer |
6Solway Ernie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solway Gypsy | 0.600 | 0.608 | 0.564 |
| 3 | Fabulous Adriana | — | 0.616 | — |
| 4 | Texas Queen | 0.596 | 0.610 | — |
| 5 | Ballinderry Faye | — | 0.618 | — |
| 6 | Solway Ernie | — | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.