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Newcastle Greyhound Stadium Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tinnock Shebab 2y 18 | P Singlewood — 18% R122 W22 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 83 (1) | 37 (1) | 36 (2) | 27 (3) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 72 (2) | 50 (5) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 56 | 45 | - | 51 | 68 | 54 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Highview Joeyd 2y 16 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 86 (1) | 67 (3) | 79 (2) | 63 (3) | 46 (5) | 83 (1) | 61 (4) | 39 (6) | 73 (2) | 61 (5) | 45 | 38 | 25 | 38 | 69 | 51 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ambers Herod 2y 12 | R J Buckton — 20% R208 W42 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 62 (4) | 71 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 43 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Romeo Tomatind 2y 18 | S Caile — 19% R195 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 82 (1) | 67 (3) | 69 (4) | 86 (1) | 87 (1) | 63 (4) | 88 (1) | 74 (3) | 82 (1) | 54 (4) | 69 | 15 | 40 | 27 | 76 | 55 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Zenith Magicd 3y 37 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 95 | 40 (6) | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 87 (2) | 53 (4) | 66 (5) | 100 (1) | 82 (2) | 77 (6) | - | 23 | 37 | 26 | 22 | 74 | 56 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zenith Magic | 28.43 | 28.77 | 28.43 | 76 | 0.00 | Open-class dropper | |
| 1 | Tinnock Sheba | 28.93 | 29.26 | 29.13 | 51 | +0.20 | Won A3 last time | |
| 2 | Highview Joey | 28.93 | 29.31 | 28.97 | 48 | +0.04 | Won A2 last time | |
| 4 | Romeo Tomatin | 29.05 | 29.07 | 29.15 | 51 | +0.10 | Fastest breaker | |
| 3 | Ambers Hero | 29.03 | 29.22 | 29.30 | 43 | +0.27 | 0.27 off his best |
Newcastle's 480m is a fair, galloping test with a long home straight that gives late runners every chance — and this A2 is tailor-made for exactly that script. Trap 5 is the best box at this grade, winning 22.6% from 217 runs, with trap 6 (empty today) the worst. Romeo Tomatin is the fastest breaker in the field by a street — he'll be off and gone by the first bend — but he's a dog who burns bright early and can weaken late, and this track's run-in is where that gets ruthlessly exposed. Tinnock Sheba and Highview Joey should race prominently behind him. The wild card is Zenith Magic, dropping in from open-class company: he gives them all a start, but his best here is half a second quicker than anything else in the race, and the long straight is precisely where he does his damage. If Tomatin comes back to the pack, Magic swallows them all.
A class apart on everything the clock can measure. He's been racing in open-class company — the very top level — where he won one and placed in two others of his last five, peaking with a perfect 100-rated run. His best time here of 28.43 is half a second clear of anything else in this field, an eternity over 480 metres, and he sharpened up with the fastest-rated trial of the week here on 9 July. He gives them all a head start — he's the slowest breaker in the race and relies entirely on a ferocious late run — but this is the track for it: a long home straight and a fair galloping layout that lets closers get involved. Drawn in trap 5, the best box at this grade. Dropping from open class to A2 is a massive drop in company.
The best average form in the race — he's been rating in the 80s regularly, took an A3 last time, and has won at A2 and run in open company recently. He's also the fastest breaker in the field by a wide margin: he will lead, no question. The concern is his finishing effort — he shows blistering early pace but can weaken in the closing stages, and Newcastle's long home straight is exactly where that habit costs races. Trainer Caile (28%) has him in form. If he gets an uncontested lead and sees it out, he wins; the track just makes that harder than it would be elsewhere.
Arrives on the back of an emphatic 83-rated win in A3 grade, but scratch the surface and the form is patchy — three very moderate efforts before that latest burst, and her recent runs have come in a mix of A3 and sprint grades rather than at this level. Three wins from seven course and distance starts is a genuinely good record, and the rail draw suits her prominent style. First try at A2 grade, so she needs to prove it against better dogs.
The A2 yardstick in this field — all five recent runs at this grade and trip, and he won here in 28.97 last time out with an 86-rated performance, his best in months. Consistent, honest and versatile, with ten course and distance runs behind him. Trainer Caile is operating at a healthy 28% strike rate. His problem is the clock: his best is half a second slower than Zenith Magic's, so he needs the dropper to misfire.
Just two open races on record — a promising second and then a flat fourth at this grade last time — so there isn't much to hang your hat on. Ran a sharp 29.00 in a trial here late June, which hints at more ability than his race form shows, but trial runs come without traffic and can flatter. Slowest on the clock in this company and ran 0.27 slower than his best last time. Needs to step forward significantly.
Key insight: From 1,634 A2 runs at this trip, the fastest dog on the clock wins 27.1% — comfortably the strongest signal at this grade and well ahead of the top-rated dog at 22.1%. Trap 5 is the best box at 22.6%. Back the clock at Newcastle A2.
T1:18.9% T2:20.6% T3:19.1% T4:20.1% T5:22.6% T6:17.2%
1,634 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tinnock Sheba | 50 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Highview Joey | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ambers Hero | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Romeo Tomatin | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Zenith Magic | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 500m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tinnock Sheba | 0.597 | 0.610 | — | — |
| 2 | Highview Joey | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 3 | Ambers Hero | — | 0.609 | — | — |
| 4 | Romeo Tomatin | — | 0.606 | 0.593 | — |
| 5 | Zenith Magic | — | 0.599 | — | 0.628 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.