The D3 sprint regular of the field — nine course and distance runs, and she's placed in five of them, including a second just two weeks ago. But one win from nine tells the familiar story of a dog who's always in the hunt and rarely first past the post, and her performance ratings have been stuck in the 20s and low 30s for months. Now she draws trap 3, which wins just 12% of these — the worst box in the race. Reliable for the forecast slot; hard to back for the win.

Owns the fastest time in the field — a 17.26 that nothing here has matched — and draws trap 4, statistically the best box in these D3 sprints. That's the case for him, and it ends there. He's the slowest breaker in the race, a confirmed slow starter in a discipline where the start is everything, he's winless from six course and distance attempts, and his last run was nearly half a second below his best. That 67-rated run two starts back shows there's ability, but a closer's profile at 290m needs carnage in front to win.

Struggling badly at this level — four course and distance runs without a place, performance ratings marooned in the low 20s, and the slowest times in the field by some way. There was a 64-rated run in her history at 480m and she trialled sharply over 480m only last Monday, so the yard is working on something, but nothing in her sprint form to date suggests she can trouble the principals here. Others are simply faster at every point of the race.

Placed third in both his sprints since dropping to this trip, and his times have been consistent — 17.46 and 17.51 within a few spots of each other. He draws trap 6, the joint-best box in these races at nearly 23%, which gives him the wide clear run. The issue is his style: he's a late runner without early dash, and over 290 metres against the fastest breaker on the card that means playing catch-up from the bend. His earlier 480m form (60 and 63-rated runs) hints at more ability than his sprint record shows.